PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

SMU Mustangs vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#31
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#167
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v UTSA Roadrunners
08 Dec 2026
SMU v UTSA
upcoming
02 Mar 2024
SMU 73
UTSA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#268
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-34
48-61
31-38
38-39
27-45
51-46
39-38
47-31
26-26
32-36
34-43
45-46
40-38
45-34
47-28
48-42
52-36
46-27
51-17
39-48
156.6Avg total
81.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season at home (4)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.375.3156.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)89.471.8161.2+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.181.6155.7-7.414%
vs Similar (12)80.881.6162.3-0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.170.7161.8+20.491%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#281
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#288
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
41-42
38-44
50-35
28-26
24-34
37-53
37-47
43-34
38-48
29-41
38-43
32-45
39-35
27-45
47-50
31-35
39-33
41-22
45-37
153.0Avg total
73.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
Season at home (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.579.5153.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.682.7150.3-15.115%
vs Similar (1)74.095.0169.0-21.00%
vs Weaker (2)94.564.5159.0+30.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
SMU MustangsUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#268
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.135.478.5+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.371.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.477.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.641.378.9-3.729%-
vs Similar (12)37.638.175.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.732.075.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#281
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#288
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
33.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.139.972.0-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.436.769.1-4.331%-
Last 30 away (17)31.942.474.3-10.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.172.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.669.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.240.771.9-9.519%-
vs Similar (1)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.574.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24SMU Mustangs v UTSA Roadrunners73-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBall State90-65
11/11/26HPrairie View A&M98-63
06/11/26HVMI95-70
03/11/26HSouthern Univ.85-72
19/03/26HMiami (Ohio)79-89
11/03/26ALouisville58-62
10/03/26HSyracuse86-69
07/03/26AFlorida State78-91
05/03/26HMiami (FL)69-77
28/02/26AStanford75-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASeattle86-59
07/11/26HVMI70-68
02/11/26ASan Jose State74-95
08/03/26ARice71-80
02/03/26HWichita State67-84
26/02/26HEast Carolina81-82
22/02/26ATulsa74-100
19/02/26HFlorida Atlantic52-60
15/02/26ACharlotte88-79
12/02/26AEast Carolina72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+24.5+24.5-
Avg total159.5159.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.770.080.0
Allowed / game74.068.077.0
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.0
Avg total150.7138.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
3 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
4 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
5 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
6 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
7 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
8 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
9 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
10 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
11 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
12 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
13 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
14 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
15 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
16 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
17 Louisville32167%89.775.0+14.7
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 Memphis43175%87.086.8+0.2
7 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.