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Sodertalje vs Boras Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Projected 84-80
Projected total 163.6
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.9
Sodertalje
Sweden
Vs
66%
34%
■ SOD 66%■ BORA 34%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Boras
Sweden
Position#5
Record7-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.0
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sodertalje v Boras
09 Feb 2027
SOD v BORA
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
SOD v BORA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
SOD89
BORA97
27 Jan 2026
SOD99
BORA79
02 Jan 2026
SOD81
BORA100
14 Mar 2025
SOD82
BORA87
29 Oct 2024
SOD73
BORA82
10 Apr 2024
SOD63
BORA77
08 Apr 2024
SOD94
BORA78
19 Jan 2024
SOD75
BORA94
05 Dec 2023
SOD78
BORA77
28 Mar 2023
SOD81
BORA90
07 Mar 2023
SOD84
BORA86
27 Dec 2022
SOD102
BORA93
08 Mar 2022
SOD89
BORA62
14 Dec 2021
SOD103
BORA77
20 Jan 2021
SOD97
BORA73
09 Nov 2020
SOD75
BORA97
20 Mar 2020
SOD v BORA
upcoming
21 Dec 2019
SOD64
BORA81
12 May 2019
SOD81
BORA70
07 May 2019
SOD79
BORA76
03 May 2019
SOD92
BORA81
14 Jan 2019
SOD93
BORA75
13 Oct 2018
SOD101
BORA93
10 Mar 2018
SOD81
BORA67
16 Dec 2017
SOD82
BORA68
14 Jan 2017
SOD86
BORA80
15 Oct 2016
SOD77
BORA72
11 Apr 2016
SOD73
BORA71
02 Apr 2016
SOD101
BORA92
30 Mar 2016
SOD79
BORA61
20 Feb 2016
SOD96
BORA79
20 Oct 2015
SOD75
BORA65
07 Feb 2015
SOD79
BORA82
17 Jan 2015
SOD88
BORA75
18 Mar 2014
SOD93
BORA68
03 Jan 2014
SOD71
BORA73
08 Mar 2013
SOD99
BORA85
11 Nov 2012
SOD83
BORA94
27 Dec 2011
SOD89
BORA76
08 Oct 2011
SOD93
BORA99
26 Feb 2011
SOD94
BORA95
04 Dec 2010
SOD70
BORA62
08 Jan 2010
SOD88
BORA67
06 Oct 2009
SOD76
BORA89
17 Feb 2009
SOD98
BORA86
20 Jan 2009
SOD84
BORA74
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Sodertalje host Boras on 17 November 2026 in the Basketligan, with the model favouring the home side and predicting a 66% chance of victory. Sodertalje have gone 9-1 in all ten games this season, averaging 88.0 points scored and 74.2 points allowed, and sit first in the league; they are undefeated at home with a 6-0 record, 92.2 points per game and 72.7 points allowed, and have won four of their last five outings, including a 91-69 win over Nassjo at home on 10 November. Boras are 6-4 overall, 87.3 points scored and 83.6 points allowed, and rank fifth; they are 4-1 on the road, 93.0 points per game and 80.4 points allowed, and also have four wins in their last five, highlighted by a 95-83 victory over Sloga Uppsala on 9 November. Historically, the teams have met ten times, with Boras winning eight and Sodertalje two, the most recent meeting being a 81-76 win for Boras on 6 November. The Pythia model projects a final score of 84-80, a total of 163.6 points, and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje win
65.5%fair 1.53
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boras win
34.5%fair 2.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
68avg 77
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 77
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 77
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
74avg 77
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 77
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 77
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-57
104
57
+47
108avg 77
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-24
24-9
20-13
15-11
22-11
24-15
30-39
21-17
31-19
19-25
23-24
29-19
26-17
12-26
26-23
26-21
20-22
22-17
17-22
19-16
16-20
23-19
21-21
19-21
30-10
30-8
25-18
16-22
13-10
26-25
21-24
16-23
28-16
19-13
28-17
20-20
18-16
13-22
20-24
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.574.9161.4+11.582%
Season at home (6)92.272.7164.8+19.5100%
Season away (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)84.273.0157.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.889.8169.7-10.017%
vs Similar (8)76.278.0154.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.872.1159.9+15.888%
This opponent (Boras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBoras
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#10
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 87
A29/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 87
A02/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 87
H09/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 87
A13/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
75avg 87
H17/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 87
H23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
92-51
92
51
+41
no box
A02/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A09/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
28-27
16-28
28-21
20-21
21-16
18-23
30-20
25-26
24-25
16-22
16-40
26-23
26-21
15-27
32-21
26-23
21-21
11-16
28-18
17-22
18-33
22-16
28-17
21-16
23-11
31-12
17-12
22-16
10-13
25-26
24-21
21-26
23-19
27-12
24-26
30-17
27-26
21-18
22-27
174.3Avg total
89.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.584.0172.5+4.564%
Season at home (6)84.787.0171.7-2.350%
Season away (5)93.080.4173.4+12.680%
Last 10 (10)89.884.5174.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)90.677.2167.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.093.7180.7-6.767%
vs Similar (16)92.188.2180.2+3.956%
vs Weaker (11)89.277.8167.0+11.482%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
42.2%
Under 166.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
31.0%
Under 171.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
21.4%
Under 176.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sodertalje total 83.5
Over 83.5
52.0%
Under 83.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje total 87.5
Over 87.5
36.6%
Under 87.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje total 91.5
Over 91.5
23.2%
Under 91.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boras total 80
Over 80
47.5%
Under 80
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boras total 84
Over 84
32.3%
Under 84
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boras total 88
Over 88
19.9%
Under 88
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sodertalje -3
SOD -3
57.1%
BORA +3
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
BORA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sodertalje 0
SOD 0
65.5%
BORA 0
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
BORA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sodertalje +3
SOD +3
73.7%
BORA -3
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
BORA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
SodertaljeBoras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/11
Basketligan
77.2Avg total
41.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.981.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.682.4+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.180.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.377.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.248.890.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.877.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.135.879.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Boras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A29/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A13/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A02/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H13/11
Basketligan
86.9Avg total
44.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.188.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.043.490.4+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.986.6+0.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.286.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.341.385.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (16)44.045.489.4-1.431%-
vs Weaker (11)47.640.387.9+7.473%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
52.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
74.1%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boras: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.7
50.2%
52.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.9
36.4%
33.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.5
78.8%
74.1%17.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
LWLWWWWWWW
Boras
WWWWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+2.8
102.2
Offensive rating
100.4
90.5
Defensive rating
97.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
36.4%
48.3%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 100.4Defence90.5 · 97.6Shooting55.7% · 52.3%3-point %35.2% · 36.4%Ball care12.6% · 13.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Boras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sodertalje wins
8
Boras wins
DateGameScore
06/11/26Boras v Sodertalje81-76
27/03/26Sodertalje v Boras89-97
24/03/26Boras v Sodertalje82-71
22/03/26Boras v Sodertalje91-70
27/01/26Sodertalje v Boras99-79
02/01/26Sodertalje v Boras81-100
10/10/25Boras v Sodertalje67-79
21/03/25Boras v Sodertalje96-59
14/03/25Sodertalje v Boras82-87 OT
27/12/24Boras v Sodertalje60-57
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABC Lulea71-82
10/11/26HNassjo91-69
06/11/26ABoras76-81
27/10/26HUppsala104-57
23/10/26AKoping Stars79-76
16/10/26HBC Lulea85-82
13/10/26HHogsbo93-85
09/10/26ANorrkoping94-85
03/10/26HJamtland91-76
29/09/26AUmea78-64
Boraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKoping Stars100-88
09/11/26ASloga Uppsala95-83
06/11/26HSodertalje81-76
02/11/26AUppsala92-51
23/10/26HNorrkoping85-88
17/10/26HUmea86-78
13/10/26AJamtland99-92
09/10/26HBC Lulea81-113
02/10/26AKoping Stars89-80
29/09/26AHogsbo90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game86.592.279.6
Allowed / game74.972.777.6
Point differential+11.5+19.5+2.0
Avg total161.4164.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boras
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game88.584.793.0
Allowed / game84.087.080.4
Point differential+4.5-2.3+12.6
Avg total172.5171.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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