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Sodertalje vs Umea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:04
Projected 91-72
Projected total 163.6
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.9
Vs
94%
■ SOD 94%■ UMEA 6%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.6/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sodertalje v Umea
21 Nov 2026
SOD v UMEA
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
SOD94
UMEA68
17 Oct 2025
SOD68
UMEA72
03 Mar 2025
SOD101
UMEA78
10 Jan 2025
SOD79
UMEA59
25 Jan 2024
SOD113
UMEA80
16 Dec 2023
SOD78
UMEA79
14 Mar 2023
SOD72
UMEA100
13 Dec 2022
SOD88
UMEA87
23 Jan 2022
SOD106
UMEA81
03 Oct 2021
SOD91
UMEA80
23 Apr 2021
SOD82
UMEA69
21 Apr 2021
SOD93
UMEA63
14 Feb 2021
SOD86
UMEA66
12 Feb 2021
SOD93
UMEA67
28 Feb 2020
SOD93
UMEA66
11 Oct 2019
SOD84
UMEA83
01 Apr 2019
SOD85
UMEA70
26 Mar 2019
SOD90
UMEA73
05 Jan 2019
SOD86
UMEA74
21 Oct 2018
SOD86
UMEA75
03 Apr 2018
SOD81
UMEA78
13 Feb 2018
SOD84
UMEA98
06 Jan 2018
SOD85
UMEA66
28 Mar 2017
SOD126
UMEA62
31 Jan 2017
SOD100
UMEA78
08 Jan 2016
SOD93
UMEA74
11 Oct 2014
SOD76
UMEA69
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Sodertalje host Umea in the Basketligan. Pythia makes Sodertalje the favourite at 94% and projects 91-72, about 164 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Sodertalje are 9-2 this season (86.5 scored, 74.9 allowed a game), form WWLWL; Umea are 2-8 this season (78.9 scored, 87.0 allowed a game), form WLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje win
94.5%fair 1.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Umea win
5.5%fair 18.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
68avg 77
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 77
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 77
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
74avg 77
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 77
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 77
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-57
104
57
+47
108avg 77
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-24
24-9
20-13
15-11
22-11
24-15
30-39
21-17
31-19
19-25
23-24
29-19
26-17
12-26
26-23
26-21
20-22
22-17
17-22
19-16
16-20
23-19
21-21
19-21
30-10
30-8
25-18
16-22
13-10
26-25
21-24
16-23
28-16
19-13
28-17
20-20
18-16
13-22
20-24
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.574.9161.4+11.582%
Season at home (6)92.272.7164.8+19.5100%
Season away (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)84.273.0157.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.889.8169.7-10.017%
vs Similar (8)76.278.0154.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.872.1159.9+15.888%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 70
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 70
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 70
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 70
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 70
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 70
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 70
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 70
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167
Over 167
41.1%
Under 167
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172
Over 172
29.5%
Under 172
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 177
Over 177
19.7%
Under 177
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sodertalje total 83.5
Over 83.5
78.0%
Under 83.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje total 87.5
Over 87.5
64.3%
Under 87.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sodertalje total 91.5
Over 91.5
48.4%
Under 91.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Umea total 80.5
Over 80.5
20.9%
Under 80.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Umea total 84.5
Over 84.5
11.6%
Under 84.5
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Umea total 88.5
Over 88.5
5.8%
Under 88.5
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sodertalje -3
SOD -3
92.2%
UMEA +3
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
UMEA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sodertalje 0
SOD 0
94.5%
UMEA 0
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
UMEA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sodertalje +3
SOD +3
96.4%
UMEA -3
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
SOD
No market prices yet.
UMEA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -6.8-6.8
SodertaljeUmea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/11
Basketligan
77.2Avg total
41.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.981.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.682.4+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.180.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.377.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.248.890.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.877.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.135.879.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
52.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
74.1%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
LWLWWWWWWW
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+11.7
Net rating
-10.2
102.2
Offensive rating
83.0
90.5
Defensive rating
93.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
24.1%
48.3%
Assist %
52.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 83.0Defence90.5 · 93.3Shooting55.7% · 47.4%3-point %35.2% · 24.1%Ball care12.6% · 18.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Umea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sodertalje wins
2
Umea wins
DateGameScore
29/09/26Umea v Sodertalje64-78
20/12/25Umea v Sodertalje65-81
12/12/25Sodertalje v Umea94-68
17/10/25Sodertalje v Umea68-72
03/03/25Sodertalje v Umea101-78
10/01/25Sodertalje v Umea79-59
15/10/24Umea v Sodertalje67-74
19/03/24Umea v Sodertalje85-91
25/01/24Sodertalje v Umea113-80
16/12/23Sodertalje v Umea78-79
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABC Lulea71-82
10/11/26HNassjo91-69
06/11/26ABoras76-81
27/10/26HUppsala104-57
23/10/26AKoping Stars79-76
16/10/26HBC Lulea85-82
13/10/26HHogsbo93-85
09/10/26ANorrkoping94-85
03/10/26HJamtland91-76
29/09/26AUmea78-64
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game86.592.279.6
Allowed / game74.972.777.6
Point differential+11.5+19.5+2.0
Avg total161.4164.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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