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Sollentuna vs Alvik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 82-81
Projected total 163.0
Final 78-104
23-29 20-21 18-19 17-35
Position#10
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game79.1
Sollentuna
Sweden
Vs
53%
47%
■ SOLL 53%■ ALVI 47%
Pythia win probability
Alvik 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game74.8
SwedenSuperettan· Sollentuna Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sollentuna v Alvik
08 Nov 2026
SOLL78
ALVI104
01 Nov 2025
SOLL79
ALVI54
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sollentuna host Alvik in a Superettan clash on 8 November 2026, and the contest feels razor-thin with only a 53% edge for the home side according to Pythia, who projects a 82-81 win for Sollentuna and a total of 163.1 points; the model gives the home team a 5% chance of overtime. Sollentuna finish the season 5-4, averaging 86.6 points and allowing 79.1, and sit 8th in the league, while their home record is 2-2 with 87.0 points for and 76.0 against. In the last five games they have won three, including a 100-84 victory over Djurgarden, an 81-61 win at Huddinge, and an 82-63 home win over Trelleborg. Alvik are stronger overall, 6-2 with 92.0 points for and 74.8 against, and 3rd in the standings; their road record is perfect 2-0, scoring 87.5 and conceding 74.5. They have won four of their last five, highlighted by a 78-65 win over Ockelbo and a 86-65 triumph at Malbas.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sollentuna winLost
52.6%fair 1.90
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik winWon
47.4%fair 2.11
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SollentunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSollentuna
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 75
H11/04
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
90-60
90
60
+30
87avg 75
H20/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#6
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
82avg 75
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
79avg 75
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
L
67-93
67
93
-26
44avg 75
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 75
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 75
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
W
82-63
82
63
+19
74avg 75
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
81-61
81
61
+20
74avg 75
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A01/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
10-27
9-25
38-17
24-13
19-18
30-13
17-16
19-28
16-20
31-17
18-19
21-16
18-18
21-20
25-13
10-18
23-19
19-34
15-22
24-21
20-32
23-19
18-15
22-25
26-23
21-23
22-23
21-23
19-5
22-11
20-24
20-19
26-20
18-6
17-16
13-15
29-29
30-22
28-18
166.7Avg total
85.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.679.1165.7+7.456%
Season at home (4)87.076.0163.0+11.050%
Season away (5)86.281.6167.8+4.660%
Last 10 (10)85.880.9166.7+4.950%
Last 5 (5)87.877.8165.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.591.7174.2-9.217%
vs Similar (18)81.282.6163.7-1.439%
vs Weaker (6)88.270.7158.8+17.583%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 78
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 78
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 78
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 78
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 78
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 78
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 78
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 78
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 78
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 78
A01/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-22
21-28
24-19
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
168.2Avg total
90.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.074.8166.8+17.275%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.178.1168.2+12.060%
Last 5 (5)85.075.0160.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)81.682.3163.9-0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.975.3167.2+16.680%
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Actual: Over 158
Over 158
61.3%
Under 158
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
49.1%
Under 163
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Over 168
Over 168
37.1%
Under 168
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sollentuna total 79Actual: Sollentuna under 79
Over 79
61.1%
Under 79
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sollentuna total 83Actual: Sollentuna under 83
Over 83
45.2%
Under 83
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sollentuna total 87Actual: Sollentuna under 87
Over 87
30.1%
Under 87
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 76Actual: Alvik over 76
Over 76
69.4%
Under 76
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 80Actual: Alvik over 80
Over 80
54.2%
Under 80
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 84Actual: Alvik over 84
Over 84
38.4%
Under 84
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sollentuna -3Actual: Alvik +3
SOLL -3
43.4%
ALVI +3
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
ALVI
No market prices yet.
Spread Sollentuna 0Actual: Alvik 0
SOLL 0
52.6%
ALVI 0
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
ALVI
No market prices yet.
Spread Sollentuna +3Actual: Alvik -3
SOLL +3
61.7%
ALVI -3
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
ALVI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
SollentunaAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SollentunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H11/04
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/11
Superettan
81.9Avg total
40.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.041.482.4-0.446%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.840.681.3+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.781.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.486.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.047.687.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (17)40.541.682.2-1.147%-
vs Weaker (6)43.335.578.8+7.867%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
86.6Avg total
45.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.883.0+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.378.2-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.286.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.481.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.140.086.1+6.160%-
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sollentunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sollentuna: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.1
26.6%
29.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.717.1
66.5%
65.8%17.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.8%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sollentuna
WWWLLLWLWL
Alvik
WWWWLWLWLL
#10
League position
#3
+3.6
Net rating
+12.7
86.4
Offensive rating
94.6
82.7
Defensive rating
81.8
46.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
26.6%
3-point %
33.3%
58.1%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 94.6Defence82.7 · 81.8Shooting46.2% · 51.2%3-point %26.6% · 33.3%Ball care14.3% · 16.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sollentuna   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sollentuna wins
1
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Alvik v Sollentuna95-84
01/11/25Sollentuna v Alvik79-54
Sollentunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ADjurgarden100-84
28/10/26AHuddinge81-61
25/10/26HTrelleborg82-63
18/10/26HEskilstuna91-94
14/10/26HFryshuset Basket85-87
10/10/26ATrelleborg67-93
04/10/26ACross Over85-67
03/10/26AWetterbygden Stars98-103 OT
20/09/26HCross Over90-60
11/04/26HEskilstuna79-97
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
30/04/26AEskilstuna83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sollentuna
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game86.687.086.2
Allowed / game79.176.081.6
Point differential+7.4+11.0+4.6
Avg total165.7163.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game92.093.587.5
Allowed / game74.874.874.5
Point differential+17.2+18.7+13.0
Avg total166.8168.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket65183%83.371.0+12.3
2 Fryshuset Basket108280%89.679.2+10.4
3 Alvik86275%92.074.8+17.2
4 IK Eos64267%93.076.0+17.0
5 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
6 Wetterbygden Stars96367%84.680.8+3.8
7 Trelleborg74357%80.179.3+0.9
8 Sollentuna95456%86.679.1+7.4
9 Eskilstuna95456%86.085.9+0.1
10 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo93633%71.681.8-10.2
13 Malbas100100%70.085.9-15.9
14 Cross Over9090%70.293.8-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sollentuna2320181778
Alvik29211935104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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