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South Alabama vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-65 (OT)
32-29 28-31 10-5
Position#83
Record17-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#207
Record13-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · South Alabama v Texas State
19 Feb 2026
SOUT82
TEXA90
15 Feb 2025
SOUT70
TEXA65
15 Feb 2024
SOUT72
TEXA55
07 Jan 2023
SOUT58
TEXA64
23 Feb 2022
SOUT52
TEXA55
14 Mar 2020
SOUT v TEXA
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
SOUT58
TEXA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
L
63-71 OT
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H16/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
62-58 OT
62
58
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
24-30
42-33
33-29
42-22
22-41
26-32
29-33
27-35
39-42
26-34
32-28
18-31
38-25
43-20
41-39
30-36
35-44
42-36
35-41
136.2Avg total
68.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.563.6136.2+8.965%
Season at home (15)76.563.9140.4+12.573%
Season away (11)67.263.2130.4+4.055%
Last 10 (10)68.367.9136.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)72.068.2140.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)69.170.6139.7-1.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)72.064.2136.2+7.861%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-45
46-31
46-35
48-45
39-39
38-38
38-33
51-41
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
154.5Avg total
76.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.772.7148.4+3.050%
Season at home (12)79.168.8147.9+10.267%
Season away (14)72.976.0148.9-3.136%
Last 10 (10)76.278.3154.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)68.275.0143.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.576.8147.3-6.333%
vs Similar (11)72.173.1145.2-1.045%
vs Weaker (13)81.769.8151.5+11.869%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -0.4-0.4
South AlabamaTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.566.3+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.231.869.1+5.461%-
Last 30 away (12)31.131.162.2+0.042%-
Last 10 (10)33.531.264.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.463.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)34.033.267.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)33.331.664.9+1.856%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
34.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.368.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.233.070.2+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)32.435.267.6-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.870.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.065.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.837.868.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (11)32.533.766.3-1.236%-
vs Weaker (13)37.833.170.9+4.862%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South Alabama wins
3
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HMarshall91-82 OT
08/02/25AAkron65-80
06/02/25ACoastal Carolina84-59
02/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette62-58 OT
31/01/25HLouisiana Monroe58-62
28/01/25ALouisiana Monroe66-77
25/01/25ATroy55-65
18/01/25HTroy64-63
16/01/25HSouthern Miss75-62
11/01/25HOld Dominion63-71 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
23/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette89-74
18/01/25HSouthern Miss85-82 OT
16/01/25HGeorgia State94-80
11/01/25ASouthern Miss88-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %65%73%55%
Points / game72.576.567.2
Allowed / game63.663.963.2
Point differential+8.9+12.5+4.0
Avg total136.2140.4130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %15%20%9%
Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%67%36%
Points / game75.779.172.9
Allowed / game72.768.876.0
Point differential+3.0+10.2-3.1
Avg total148.4147.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2619773%79.369.8+9.5
2 South Alabama2617965%72.563.6+8.9
3 Troy2516964%72.965.0+8.0
4 James Madison27171063%72.868.9+3.9
5 Appalachian State26161062%68.962.7+6.2
6 Marshall26151158%75.872.1+3.7
7 Texas State26131350%75.772.7+3.0
8 Georgia Southern26131350%74.576.7-2.2
9 Georgia State27121544%75.478.7-3.3
10 Old Dominion26111542%68.372.5-4.2
11 Southern Miss27101737%72.076.3-4.3
12 Louisiana Lafayette2681831%66.174.2-8.1
13 Coastal Carolina2781930%66.070.9-4.9
14 Louisiana Monroe2772026%68.873.7-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
South Alabama32281070
Texas State2931565
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