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Texas State vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 93-92 (OT)
36-36 46-46 11-10
Position#207
Record14-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#83
Record19-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v South Alabama
20 Dec 2025
TEXA67
SOUT65
22 Feb 2025
TEXA93
SOUT92
01 Feb 2024
TEXA74
SOUT66
22 Feb 2023
TEXA67
SOUT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
38-38
38-33
51-41
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
146.9Avg total
72.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.572.2147.8+3.250%
Season at home (13)79.268.4147.5+10.869%
Season away (15)72.375.6147.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)72.574.4146.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)70.270.6140.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.775.9145.6-6.129%
vs Similar (10)71.874.5146.3-2.740%
vs Weaker (13)80.868.3149.1+12.569%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
62-58 OT
62
58
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-22
22-41
26-32
29-33
27-35
39-42
26-34
32-28
18-31
38-25
43-20
41-39
30-36
35-44
42-36
35-41
32-29
28-31
25-21
35-35
134.2Avg total
67.5Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.063.4135.4+8.668%
Season at home (16)76.164.0140.1+12.175%
Season away (12)66.662.6129.2+4.058%
Last 10 (10)67.566.7134.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.068.4142.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)66.766.3133.0+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)71.964.3136.2+7.663%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
Texas StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.168.9+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.232.070.2+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)32.135.867.9-3.624%-
Last 10 (10)33.533.567.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.063.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.637.067.6-6.414%-
vs Similar (10)32.434.867.2-2.430%-
vs Weaker (13)38.832.170.8+6.769%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A20/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
31.1Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.464.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.031.468.4+5.667%-
Last 30 away (12)30.228.959.1+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)31.129.660.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.428.462.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.630.062.6+2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)33.331.464.7+1.858%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
4
South Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
23/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette89-74
18/01/25HSouthern Miss85-82 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AArkansas State60-56
15/02/25HTexas State70-65 OT
14/02/25HMarshall91-82 OT
08/02/25AAkron65-80
06/02/25ACoastal Carolina84-59
02/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette62-58 OT
31/01/25HLouisiana Monroe58-62
28/01/25ALouisiana Monroe66-77
25/01/25ATroy55-65
18/01/25HTroy64-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%69%33%
Points / game75.579.272.3
Allowed / game72.268.475.6
Point differential+3.2+10.8-3.3
Avg total147.8147.5147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %11%8%13%
South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %68%75%58%
Points / game72.076.166.6
Allowed / game63.464.062.6
Point differential+8.6+12.1+4.0
Avg total135.4140.1129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %18%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2920969%78.769.5+9.2
2 South Alabama2819968%72.063.4+8.6
3 James Madison29191066%73.368.8+4.5
4 Troy28181064%73.165.4+7.6
5 Appalachian State28171161%68.963.3+5.6
6 Marshall29171259%75.472.1+3.4
7 Texas State28141450%75.572.2+3.2
8 Georgia Southern29141548%74.676.8-2.2
9 Georgia State28121643%74.978.8-3.9
10 Old Dominion28111739%68.973.0-4.1
11 Southern Miss28101836%72.276.6-4.4
12 Louisiana Lafayette28101836%66.873.8-7.0
13 Coastal Carolina2992031%66.771.5-4.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2972224%68.674.7-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Texas State36461193
South Alabama36461092
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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