PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
South Carolina hosts Elon on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Gamecocks the clear favourite, rating them 85% to win largely because of their undefeated 3-0 season, 78.7 points scored and 54.7 points allowed per game, and a league position of 45 that places them well above Elon's 192; Elon, meanwhile, is 2-1 with 69.3 points scored and 68.3 allowed per game and a 192 league position, and has a 15% chance of victory. South Carolina's 3-0 record includes a 3-0 home record, 78.7 points per game at home and 54.7 allowed, and a 4-1 last-five showing a 77-41 win over St. Peters, a 78-68 win over Southeast Missouri State, and an 81-55 win over Stetson; Elon's 1-1 road record, 67.0 points per game on the road and 70.0 allowed, and a 2-3 last-five that includes a 50-69 loss to George Washington, a 74-65 win over NC Greensboro, and a 84-71 win over Columbia. In their only prior meeting, South Carolina beat Elon 70-43 on 22 December 2023. The Pythia projection is 80-69 for the Gamecocks, a total of 149.1 points, with an 85% chance of a home win and a 15% chance of an Elon win, and a 3% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 78.7 | 54.7 | 133.3 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 78.7 | 54.7 | 133.3 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 72.3 | 71.3 | 143.6 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.8 | 62.2 | 137.0 | +12.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 70.1 | 81.3 | 151.4 | -11.2 | 15% |
| vs Similar (5) | 81.0 | 70.2 | 151.2 | +10.8 | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 82.6 | 57.0 | 139.6 | +25.6 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 69.3 | 68.3 | 137.7 | +1.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 74.0 | 65.0 | 139.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 67.0 | 70.0 | 137.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 65.7 | 72.9 | 138.6 | -7.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 65.4 | 70.6 | 136.0 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 74.2 | 74.8 | 149.0 | -0.7 | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 72.0 | 75.8 | 147.8 | -3.8 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 88.7 | 85.0 | 173.7 | +3.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.7 | 35.1 | 69.8 | -0.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.6 | 33.0 | 68.6 | +2.6 | 61% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.4 | 38.2 | 71.6 | -4.8 | 17% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.7 | 33.8 | 68.5 | +0.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 28.8 | 66.4 | +8.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 32.2 | 37.9 | 70.1 | -5.6 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 39.4 | 32.8 | 72.2 | +6.6 | 80% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 40.2 | 26.2 | 66.4 | +14.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.4 | 35.8 | 72.3 | +0.6 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 40.9 | 78.9 | -2.8 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.8 | 30.8 | 65.6 | +4.0 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 32.5 | 63.9 | -1.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 28.6 | 59.8 | +2.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 36.4 | 33.3 | 69.8 | +3.1 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 34.1 | 36.4 | 70.5 | -2.2 | 21% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | -2.0 | 33% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | St. Peters | 77-41 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Southeast Missouri State | 78-68 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Stetson | 81-55 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Oklahoma | 74-86 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Ole Miss | 64-61 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Tennessee | 59-78 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Georgia | 68-87 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Kentucky | 63-72 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Mississippi St. | 97-89 |
| 18/02/26 | A | Florida | 62-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | George Washington | 50-69 |
| 07/11/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 74-65 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Columbia | 84-71 |
| 08/03/26 | A | William & Mary | 62-72 |
| 04/03/26 | H | NC Wilmington | 57-76 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Monmouth | 57-73 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Towson | 56-58 |
| 22/02/26 | H | N. Carolina A&T | 82-102 |
| 14/02/26 | A | William & Mary | 81-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | NC Wilmington | 54-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 78.7 | 78.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 54.7 | 54.7 | - |
| Point differential | +24.0 | +24.0 | - |
| Avg total | 133.3 | 133.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 69.3 | 74.0 | 67.0 |
| Allowed / game | 68.3 | 65.0 | 70.0 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +9.0 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 137.7 | 139.0 | 137.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 57.0 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  LSU | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 52.7 | +41.3 |
| 3 |  Ole Miss | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 56.3 | +37.7 |
| 4 |  Mississippi St. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 63.0 | +32.3 |
| 5 |  Texas A&M | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 99.2 | 67.2 | +32.0 |
| 6 |  Vanderbilt | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 59.7 | +31.0 |
| 7 |  Auburn | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 56.0 | +27.5 |
| 8 |  Tennessee | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 53.0 | +27.0 |
| 9 |  Alabama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.0 | 76.0 | +26.0 |
| 10 | South Carolina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 54.7 | +24.0 |
| 11 |  Florida | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 65.3 | +16.7 |
| 12 |  Georgia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.3 | +12.7 |
| 13 |  Missouri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 66.0 | +31.0 |
| 14 |  Arkansas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 68.3 | +16.3 |
| 15 |  Oklahoma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.3 | 65.7 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 75.3 | +5.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 104.7 | 67.3 | +37.3 |
| 2 |  NC Wilmington | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 71.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  William & Mary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 91.3 | 78.0 | +13.3 |
| 4 | Elon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 69.3 | 68.3 | +1.0 |
| 5 |  Towson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 65.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 |  Stony Brook | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 64.7 | +9.0 |
| 7 |  N. Carolina A&T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 68.3 | +8.0 |
| 8 |  Hofstra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 72.7 | 65.3 | +7.3 |
| 9 |  Hampton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.0 | 68.7 | -7.7 |
| 10 |  Drexel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.0 | 76.3 | -9.3 |
| 11 |  Northeastern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.0 | 86.7 | -9.7 |
| 12 |  Monmouth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.0 | 79.2 | -18.2 |
| 13 |  Campbell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.3 | -16.7 |
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