South Carolina faces Gardner Webb on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating the Gamecocks as the clear favourite at 99% because they have gone 3-0 this season, averaging 78.7 points and allowing only 54.7, and have dominated all three of their home games 3-0 with the same averages, while Gardner Webb sits at 1-2 overall, averaging 61.3 and conceding 83.3, and has lost both of its road outings 0-2, scoring just 48.0 and allowing 92.0; the Gamecocks have won four of their last five games, including a 77-41 win over St. Peters, a 78-68 win over Southeast Missouri State, and an 81-55 win over Stetson, whereas the Pioneers have won two of their last five, with a 88-66 home win over Erskine but losses to Texas and Uconn away; the only previous meeting was in 2019 when South Carolina won 74-69; Pythia projects a 89-58 score, a total of 147.3, with a 54% chance of the over on the 145.5 line, and a 0% overtime probability.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
South Carolina winWon
99.3%fair 1.01
Best odds1.01
Implied94.7%
Edge+4.6pp
Gardner Webb winLost
0.7%fair 149.94
Best odds41.00
Implied5.3%
Edge-4.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (South Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Over 140.5
Over 140.5
66.4%
@ 1.50+3.5pp
Under 140.5
33.6%
@ 2.60-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
54.4%
@ 1.94+4.4pp
Under 145.5
45.6%
@ 1.90-4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.94
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
42.0%
@ 2.60+5.5pp
Under 150.5
58.0%
@ 1.47-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
South Carolina total 81Actual: South Carolina under 81
Over 81
80.7%
Under 81
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Carolina total 85 · main lineActual: South Carolina under 85
Over 85
67.3%
@ 1.85+17.3pp
Under 85
32.7%
@ 1.85-17.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
South Carolina total 89Actual: South Carolina under 89
Over 89
51.1%
Under 89
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gardner Webb total 55Actual: Gardner Webb over 55
Over 55
62.3%
Under 55
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gardner Webb total 59 · main lineActual: Gardner Webb over 59
Over 59
45.8%
@ 1.88-4.2pp
Under 59
54.2%
@ 1.87+4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Gardner Webb total 63Actual: Gardner Webb under 63
Over 63
30.0%
Under 63
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread South Carolina -29Actual: Gardner Webb +29
SOUT -29
no forecast
@ 2.12
GARD +29
no forecast
@ 1.64
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Bet365
2.12
GARD
Bet365
1.64
Spread South Carolina -26 · main lineActual: Gardner Webb +26
SOUT -26
no forecast
@ 1.85
GARD +26
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.74
GARD
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.96
1xBet
1.94
SBO
1.85
Spread South Carolina -23Actual: Gardner Webb +23
SOUT -23
77.4%
@ 1.80+20.4pp
GARD +23
22.6%
@ 2.50-20.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.50
GARD
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Be
1.91
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
South CarolinaGardner Webb
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Gardner Webb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gardner WebbLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#10
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H27/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A06/03
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H12/11
NCAA
78.2Avg total
37.0Scored
41.2Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 74.5
Last 30 (30)
36.3
43.2
79.5
-6.9
30%
60%
Last 30 at home (15)
40.7
45.0
85.7
-4.3
40%
80%
Last 30 away (15)
31.8
41.4
73.2
-9.6
20%
40%
Last 10 (10)
37.0
41.2
78.2
-4.2
40%
40%
Last 5 (5)
35.0
39.2
74.2
-4.2
40%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)
34.1
44.0
78.1
-9.8
22%
56%
vs Similar
no games
vs Weaker (2)
60.5
35.0
95.5
+25.5
100%
100%
This opponent (South Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: South Carolina win
SOUT win
no forecast
@ 1.07
GARD win
no forecast
@ 8.50
2nd half Spread South Carolina -12.5 · main lineActual: South Carolina -12.5
SOUT -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
GARD +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Over/Under 74.5 · main lineActual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: South Carolina (regulation)
SOUT
no forecast
@ 1.08
Draw
no forecast
@ 30.00
GARD
no forecast
@ 8.00
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
South Carolina -24
74.6%
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
South Carolina -23
77.4%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
South Carolina -25
71.7%
1.77
SBO
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.66
-
+20.2pp
Lost
South Carolina -24.5
72.5%
1.70
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.74
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.62
-
+18.8pp
Lost
South Carolina -23.5
75.4%
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.87
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+16.8pp
Lost
South Carolina -22.5
78.0%
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.74
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47
-
-
+15.9pp
Lost
South Carolina -21.5
80.5%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Lost
South Carolina -18.5
86.7%
1.30
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
South Carolina -20.5
82.7%
1.37
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
South Carolina -22
80.0%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
South Carolina -19.5
84.8%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
South Carolina -21
82.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Lost
South Carolina over 81.5
78.4%
1.42
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
South Carolina -18
88.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
South Carolina -20
84.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Lost
South Carolina over 82.5
75.3%
1.49
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
South Carolina over 83.5
72.0%
1.54
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Lost
South Carolina over 79.5
83.8%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Lost
South Carolina over 80.5
81.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+11.7pp
Lost
South Carolina over 78.5
86.1%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Won
South Carolina -19
86.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Lost
South Carolina -16.5
89.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
South Carolina -17.5
88.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Lost
South Carolina over 76.5
90.1%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
South Carolina over 74.5
93.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
South Carolina (regulation)
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
South Carolina over 75.5
91.7%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
South Carolina over 77.5
88.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
South Carolina over 72.5
95.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
South Carolina over 70.5
97.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
South Carolina over 71.5
96.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
South Carolina over 69.5
97.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
South Carolina over 73.5
94.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
South Carolina -11.5
95.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
South Carolina -12.5
94.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
South Carolina -6.5
97.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
South Carolina -7.5
97.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
South Carolina win
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 64.5
74.4%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.32
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 74.5
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Over 138.5
70.8%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Over 139
70.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 63.5
71.1%
1.33
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 72.5
92.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 68.5
85.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 70.5
89.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Over 138
72.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Over 125.5
91.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 137.5
72.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 66.5
80.4%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Over 135.5
76.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Gardner Webb over 51.5
74.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 69.5
87.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Gardner Webb under 67.5
83.1%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Over 130.5
85.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 170.5
92.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Under 165.5
87.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Gardner Webb over 52.5
71.0%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
South Carolina under 98.5
82.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
South Carolina under 96.5
76.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Under 160.5
79.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
South Carolina under 95.5
73.6%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
-7.9pp
Won
South Carolina under 94.5
70.2%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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