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Denver vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-74
41-28 46-46
Position#239
Record7-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.3
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Position#368
Record3-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game82.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Denver v UMKC
31 Dec 2025
DENV87
UMKC74
30 Jan 2025
DENV69
UMKC68
29 Feb 2024
DENV69
UMKC84
29 Dec 2022
DENV85
UMKC83
27 Jan 2022
DENV61
UMKC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A25/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
59-101
59
101
-42
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
129-93
129
93
+36
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-56
45-47
27-37
32-64
48-43
45-46
37-43
42-50
46-29
49-30
45-31
52-30
28-51
58-54
60-38
69-55
40-40
46-39
38-42
47-48
175.5Avg total
88.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.185.3169.4-1.147%
Season at home (6)96.581.8178.3+14.767%
Season away (9)75.987.6163.4-11.733%
Last 10 (10)88.287.3175.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)96.685.6182.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.280.0151.2-8.828%
vs Similar (8)75.982.2158.1-6.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.071.5158.5+15.550%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
45-81
45
81
-36
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-51
17-30
35-42
32-38
23-35
38-47
29-25
30-43
28-47
38-43
31-32
29-32
48-32
54-43
27-54
40-35
44-48
35-43
49-50
42-28
149.5Avg total
69.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.582.1153.6-10.621%
Season at home (6)80.577.3157.8+3.250%
Season away (8)64.885.6150.4-20.90%
Last 10 (10)69.779.8149.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)79.879.4159.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.283.8150.0-17.60%
vs Similar (10)64.672.1136.7-7.50%
vs Weaker (6)70.766.5137.2+4.250%
This opponent (Denver) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.7-2.7
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.7-2.7
DenverUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A25/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
NCAA
80.7Avg total
39.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.572.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.974.2+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)32.838.170.9-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.080.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.482.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.738.370.9-5.622%-
vs Similar (8)35.037.872.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.033.070.0+4.050%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H28/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
34.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.637.470.0-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.233.869.0+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)30.540.270.7-9.612%-
Last 10 (10)34.241.675.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.042.974.9-10.99%-
vs Similar (10)30.135.365.4-5.220%-
vs Weaker (6)32.029.361.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Denver) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver wins
6
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25UMKC v Denver64-56
31/01/25Denver v UMKC69-68
10/03/24UMKC v Denver60-61
01/03/24Denver v UMKC69-84
02/02/24UMKC v Denver85-71
29/01/23UMKC v Denver70-60
30/12/22Denver v UMKC85-83 OT
28/01/22Denver v UMKC61-72
18/01/22UMKC v Denver55-63
21/02/21UMKC v Denver80-69
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25ATulsa85-90
20/12/25ANorthern Colorado86-79
17/12/25HColorado Springs129-93
13/12/25HCS Fullerton86-105
12/12/25HAlaska-Anchorage97-61
10/12/25HColorado Christian95-59
06/12/25AIdaho State79-93
04/12/25HEast. Washington93-89
27/11/25AWyoming59-101
25/11/25AArizona73-103
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HMcPherson91-78
19/12/25AOklahoma State79-91
17/12/25AOklahoma67-89
14/12/25HSpurgeon College102-75
11/12/25HWeber State60-64
06/12/25AEast. Washington66-90
04/12/25HIdaho State59-68
29/11/25AWeber State61-82
25/11/25ALindenwood67-80
20/11/25ATCU45-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%67%33%
Points / game84.196.575.9
Allowed / game85.381.887.6
Point differential-1.1+14.7-11.7
Avg total169.4178.3163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW21%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%50%0%
Points / game71.580.564.8
Allowed / game82.177.385.6
Point differential-10.6+3.2-20.9
Avg total153.6157.8150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1511473%80.770.1+10.7
2 North Dakota St1510567%80.970.2+10.7
3 South Dakota Coyotes158753%83.582.1+1.5
4 South Dakota St.157847%74.771.0+3.7
5 Nebraska O.157847%77.377.5-0.3
6 Denver157847%84.185.3-1.1
7 North Dakota1661038%74.675.2-0.7
8 Oral Roberts1551033%73.776.5-2.9
9 UMKC1431121%71.582.1-10.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver414687
UMKC284674
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