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Florida State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-77
25-43 41-34
Position#342
Record9-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game76.5
Florida State
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#117
Record18-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida State v North Carolina
13 Jan 2027
FLOR v NORT
upcoming
24 Feb 2025
FLOR85
NORT96
27 Jan 2024
FLOR68
NORT75
27 Feb 2023
FLOR66
NORT77
12 Mar 2021
FLOR69
NORT66
16 Jan 2021
FLOR82
NORT75
03 Feb 2020
FLOR65
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H09/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
32-35
28-54
35-32
34-33
47-49
27-49
39-45
45-36
36-42
35-29
32-47
33-37
42-46
26-47
28-47
27-38
42-37
31-54
54-30
152.8Avg total
71.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.176.5146.6-6.431%
Season at home (16)72.475.2147.6-2.831%
Season away (13)67.378.2145.5-10.831%
Last 10 (10)71.281.6152.8-10.430%
Last 5 (5)70.082.4152.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.577.4147.0-7.927%
vs Similar (2)63.085.5148.5-22.50%
vs Weaker (2)78.065.5143.5+12.5100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
46-36
38-34
34-34
33-34
31-31
32-33
25-30
25-47
60-45
42-33
49-38
34-35
38-45
31-32
38-45
19-27
44-32
42-26
29-37
143.1Avg total
72.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.171.8148.9+5.362%
Season at home (15)79.868.6148.4+11.287%
Season away (14)74.275.3149.5-1.136%
Last 10 (10)72.470.7143.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)73.270.0143.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.081.2169.2+6.850%
vs Similar (18)73.472.7146.1+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.065.1144.1+13.9100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +2.1+2.1
Florida StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A25/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
32.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.436.969.3-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.836.570.4-2.741%-
Last 30 away (13)30.537.568.0-6.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.540.673.1-8.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.441.071.4-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.237.069.2-4.738%-
vs Similar (2)26.543.570.0-17.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.530.070.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#66
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H25/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.467.7+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.931.068.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)32.733.966.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.664.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.534.575.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (18)33.533.266.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.629.866.4+6.988%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
2
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22North Carolina v Florida State94-74
13/03/21Florida State v North Carolina69-66
27/02/21North Carolina v Florida State78-70
16/01/21Florida State v North Carolina82-75
04/02/20Florida State v North Carolina65-59
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AMiami (FL)85-84
18/02/23HBoston College69-75
16/02/23AClemson54-94
11/02/23HPittsburgh75-83
09/02/23HSyracuse67-76
04/02/23ALouisville81-78
02/02/23ANC State66-94
28/01/23HClemson81-82
25/01/23HMiami (FL)63-86
21/01/23APittsburgh71-64
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HVirginia71-63
23/02/23ANotre Dame63-59
19/02/23ANC State69-77
14/02/23HMiami (FL)72-80
11/02/23HClemson91-71
08/02/23AWake Forest85-92
04/02/23ADuke57-63
02/02/23HPittsburgh64-65
25/01/23ASyracuse72-68
21/01/23HNC State80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayWLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %31%31%31%
Points / game70.172.467.3
Allowed / game76.575.278.2
Point differential-6.4-2.8-10.8
Avg total146.6147.6145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLWLW87%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%87%36%
Points / game77.179.874.2
Allowed / game71.868.675.3
Point differential+5.3+11.2-1.1
Avg total148.9148.4149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2721678%68.160.6+7.4
2 NC State3022873%78.770.3+8.5
3 Duke2921872%72.263.9+8.2
4 Clemson2921872%75.768.3+7.4
5 Pittsburgh2921872%75.868.4+7.4
6 North Carolina29181162%77.171.8+5.3
7 Wake Forest29181162%77.573.9+3.6
8 Miami (FL)58342459%76.873.1+3.7
9 Virginia Tech29161355%74.269.9+4.3
10 Syracuse29161355%74.172.3+1.8
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Stanford29121741%69.467.8+1.6
13 Georgia Tech29121741%68.670.5-1.9
14 Notre Dame29101934%69.371.4-2.1
15 SMU Mustangs29101934%70.474.6-4.2
16 Florida State2992031%70.176.5-6.4
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2932610%58.569.7-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State254166
North Carolina433477
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