PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South Florida vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-88
48-50 61-38
Position#40
Record14-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game79.0
South Florida 🏆
USA
vs
UTSA Roadrunners
USA
Position#365
Record4-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Florida v UTSA Roadrunners
04 Feb 2026
SOUT109
UTSA88
27 Jan 2024
SOUT89
UTSA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia College
#688
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
61-31
50-19
38-36
45-47
25-30
49-40
51-36
42-42
44-31
38-40
36-37
41-40
45-34
37-35
33-36
56-39
52-39
45-44
38-39
40-40
166.7Avg total
89.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.579.0168.6+10.564%
Season at home (13)88.874.2163.1+14.669%
Season away (9)90.686.0176.6+4.656%
Last 10 (10)89.777.0166.7+12.770%
Last 5 (5)86.278.4164.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.078.2145.2-11.20%
vs Similar (10)79.577.7157.2+1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.680.0169.6+9.667%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
70-110
70
110
-40
A31/12
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H10/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H15/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A18/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A22/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H24/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-37
44-34
28-60
42-50
30-39
27-37
26-34
32-40
21-39
31-46
40-51
33-38
33-43
36-52
23-45
39-36
33-31
31-39
36-38
37-45
148.0Avg total
64.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.279.0147.2-10.819%
Season at home (10)70.673.1143.7-2.520%
Season away (11)66.184.4150.5-18.318%
Last 10 (10)64.683.4148.0-18.80%
Last 5 (5)68.283.6151.8-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.281.7146.9-16.510%
vs Similar (8)76.676.1152.8+0.525%
vs Weaker (2)100.050.0150.0+50.0100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -12.3-12.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -6.5-6.5
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -12.3-12.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -6.5-6.5
South FloridaUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia College
#688
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/02
NCAA
77.2Avg total
42.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.876.1+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.834.673.4+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.279.1+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.334.977.2+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.241.072.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (10)37.035.972.9+1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.536.678.1+4.960%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A31/12
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A18/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A22/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H24/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
29.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.137.369.4-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.434.670.1+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)29.239.668.9-10.419%-
Last 10 (10)29.441.771.1-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.041.674.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.440.269.7-10.910%-
vs Similar (8)33.432.966.2+0.562%-
vs Weaker (2)54.525.580.0+29.0100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South Florida wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25UTSA Roadrunners v South Florida73-78
22/02/24UTSA Roadrunners v South Florida61-66
27/01/24South Florida v UTSA Roadrunners89-72
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ATemple78-79
29/01/26ATulane97-83
25/01/26HFlorida Atlantic89-75
23/01/26AUAB82-69
18/01/26HWichita State85-86 OT
15/01/26HEast Carolina82-71
10/01/26ATulsa93-78
08/01/26ANorth Texas74-70
04/01/26HUAB106-109 OT
29/12/25HGeorgia College111-50
UTSA Roadrunnerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HUAB73-83
24/01/26HTemple64-70
22/01/26ANorth Texas62-81
18/01/26AMemphis69-95
15/01/26HRice73-89
10/01/26HTulane52-85
08/01/26HCharlotte58-74
03/01/26ATemple57-76
31/12/25AFlorida Atlantic70-110
22/12/25HSeattle68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %64%69%56%
Points / game89.588.890.6
Allowed / game79.074.286.0
Point differential+10.5+14.6+4.6
Avg total168.6163.1176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %14%23%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%20%18%
Points / game68.270.666.1
Allowed / game79.073.184.4
Point differential-10.8-2.5-18.3
Avg total147.2143.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2219386%87.972.4+15.5
2 South Florida2214864%89.579.0+10.5
3 UAB2214864%81.974.9+7.0
4 Temple2214864%75.470.3+5.1
5 Florida Atlantic2314961%81.674.6+7.0
6 Wichita State2213959%78.070.6+7.5
7 Charlotte2213959%74.673.3+1.3
8 Tulane2213959%73.874.7-0.9
9 North Texas22121055%69.665.7+3.9
10 Memphis21101148%74.273.1+1.1
11 Rice2291341%74.374.4-0.0
12 East Carolina2271532%68.776.4-7.7
13 UTSA Roadrunners2141719%68.279.0-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida4861109
UTSA Roadrunners503888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.