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Southeast Missouri State vs IPFW Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 81-68
Projected total 149.4
Scheduled
Position#223
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
Vs
86%
14%
■ SOUT 86%■ IPFW 14%
Pythia win probability
Position#280
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southeast Missouri State v IPFW
24 Nov 2026
SOUT v IPFW
upcoming
07 Dec 2022
SOUT68
IPFW89
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Southeast Missouri State host IPFW in the NCAA. Pythia makes Southeast Missouri State the favourite at 86% and projects 81-68, about 149 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Southeast Missouri State are 2-2 this season (79.8 scored, 77.5 allowed a game), form LWWLL; IPFW are 1-2 this season (77.7 scored, 74.7 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southeast Missouri State win
86.3%fair 1.16
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
IPFW win
13.7%fair 7.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
56-53 OT
56
53
+3
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#396
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H05/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#38
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#138
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-16
21-31
30-32
40-33
38-33
33-46
34-36
55-37
25-34
43-32
36-29
25-37
40-42
46-37
42-37
48-28
32-33
36-45
32-50
43-38
144.6Avg total
73.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.877.5157.2+2.250%
Season at home (2)88.072.0160.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)71.583.0154.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)73.471.2144.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)76.075.2151.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.078.0146.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.072.1143.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (11)78.366.9145.2+11.491%
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A04/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#75
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Albion
#444
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#104
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-42
36-34
42-36
41-42
33-42
38-45
43-40
49-46
26-31
44-43
40-43
47-38
22-34
34-30
37-36
34-42
60-26
43-39
28-35
31-46
152.1Avg total
75.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.774.7152.3+3.033%
Season at home (2)81.073.0154.0+8.050%
Season away (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.177.0152.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)75.273.8149.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.779.9151.6-8.143%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.275.4145.5-5.238%
vs Weaker (9)83.377.3160.7+6.078%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
69.9%
Under 141
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
58.1%
Under 146
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
45.6%
Under 151
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Southeast Missouri State total 75.5
Over 75.5
70.9%
Under 75.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southeast Missouri State total 79.5
Over 79.5
55.9%
Under 79.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southeast Missouri State total 83.5
Over 83.5
39.9%
Under 83.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IPFW total 62.5
Over 62.5
71.8%
Under 62.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IPFW total 66.5
Over 66.5
57.1%
Under 66.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IPFW total 70.5
Over 70.5
41.4%
Under 70.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Southeast Missouri State -3
SOUT -3
81.5%
IPFW +3
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
IPFW
No market prices yet.
Spread Southeast Missouri State 0
SOUT 0
86.3%
IPFW 0
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
IPFW
No market prices yet.
Spread Southeast Missouri State +3
SOUT +3
90.7%
IPFW -3
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
IPFW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.8-0.8
Southeast Missouri StateIPFW
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#396
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#38
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#138
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.568.9+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.234.269.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)35.632.868.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.267.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.834.768.5-0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)36.131.767.8+4.464%-
This opponent (IPFW) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#75
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Albion
#444
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#104
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.772.9-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.835.473.2+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)32.739.972.6-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.439.372.7-5.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.436.869.2-4.523%-
vs Weaker (9)38.038.976.9-0.956%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southeast Missouri State wins
3
IPFW wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMiddle Tenn. St.75-88
08/11/26ASouth Carolina68-78
05/11/26HWebster Gorloks90-65
03/11/26HLipscomb86-79
07/03/26AMorehead State61-66
06/03/26HLindenwood68-66
28/02/26HTennessee Tech89-73
27/02/26HTennessee State71-79
21/02/26AUALR70-65
18/02/26AUT Martin56-53 OT
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HWestern Michigan59-81
08/11/26HAlbion103-65
04/11/26ADuquesne71-78
04/03/26AWisc. Green Bay56-64
28/02/26AIU Indy87-81
26/02/26HWright State70-74
22/02/26ACleveland State92-86
19/02/26ANorthern Kentucky71-87
15/02/26HIU Indy83-78
13/02/26AWisc. Green Bay59-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.888.071.5
Allowed / game77.572.083.0
Point differential+2.2+16.0-11.5
Avg total157.2160.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
IPFW
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.781.071.0
Allowed / game74.773.078.0
Point differential+3.0+8.0-7.0
Avg total152.3154.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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