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Morehead State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 66-61
0-0 29-36 0-0 37-25
Position#112
Record19-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#110
Record20-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morehead State v Southeast Missouri State
06 Mar 2026
MORE66
SOUT61
10 Jan 2026
MORE71
SOUT69
06 Feb 2025
MORE51
SOUT80
29 Feb 2024
MORE72
SOUT50
03 Mar 2023
MORE58
SOUT65
14 Jan 2023
MORE86
SOUT91
19 Feb 2022
MORE84
SOUT92
03 Mar 2021
MORE61
SOUT54
21 Jan 2021
MORE76
SOUT65
30 Jan 2020
MORE90
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-33
0-0
40-32
0-0
39-36
0-0
39-43
0-0
29-43
0-0
41-39
0-0
23-22
0-0
38-33
0-0
34-22
0-0
39-44
0-0
37-41
0-0
57-45
0-0
29-28
0-0
44-42
0-0
43-27
0-0
38-32
0-0
29-29
0-0
35-34
0-0
37-24
0-0
39-46
143.2Avg total
73.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.874.6150.4+1.361%
Season at home (13)81.769.4151.1+12.385%
Season away (18)71.678.3149.9-6.744%
Last 10 (10)73.769.5143.2+4.280%
Last 5 (5)77.669.6147.2+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.181.4154.5-8.336%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.474.4143.9-5.056%
vs Weaker (9)79.866.4146.2+13.389%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A31/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A13/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
56-53 OT
56
53
+3
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-24
0-0
40-35
0-0
43-29
0-0
39-41
0-0
39-42
0-0
51-23
0-0
40-34
0-0
16-40
0-0
26-29
0-0
47-32
0-0
26-16
0-0
21-31
0-0
30-32
0-0
40-33
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-46
0-0
34-36
0-0
55-37
0-0
25-34
0-0
43-32
139.7Avg total
73.2Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.070.8145.8+4.262%
Season at home (16)76.266.8143.0+9.569%
Season away (16)73.774.8148.5-1.156%
Last 10 (10)73.266.5139.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)70.867.2138.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.091.5162.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.370.8141.1-0.554%
vs Weaker (14)78.966.0144.9+12.986%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
Morehead StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.970.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.031.971.9+8.158%-
Last 30 away (18)33.036.969.9-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)32.730.563.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.029.864.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.539.172.6-5.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.934.667.4-1.744%-
vs Weaker (9)38.730.869.4+7.956%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A31/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H06/03
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.267.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.833.267.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)34.433.367.7+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.964.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.260.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.333.466.7-0.154%-
vs Weaker (14)35.831.567.3+4.357%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70
14/02/26HTennessee State94-86
13/02/26HTennessee Tech73-66
07/02/26AUT Martin61-55
06/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State70-82
31/01/26HLindenwood78-79
30/01/26HSiu Edwardsville67-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HLindenwood68-66
28/02/26HTennessee Tech89-73
27/02/26HTennessee State71-79
21/02/26AUALR70-65
18/02/26AUT Martin56-53 OT
14/02/26ALindenwood73-61
13/02/26ASiu Edwardsville56-74
07/02/26HSouthern Indiana90-65
06/02/26HMorehead State82-70
31/01/26AEastern Illinois77-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311318
Win %61%85%44%
Points / game75.881.771.6
Allowed / game74.669.478.3
Point differential+1.3+12.3-6.7
Avg total150.4151.1149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%23%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)86% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%69%56%
Points / game75.076.273.7
Allowed / game70.866.874.8
Point differential+4.2+9.5-1.1
Avg total145.8143.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State3122971%80.173.5+6.6
2 UT Martin33221167%69.863.2+6.6
3 Southeast Missouri State32201262%75.070.8+4.2
4 Morehead State31191261%75.874.6+1.3
5 Siu Edwardsville32191359%71.064.7+6.3
6 Lindenwood33181555%77.872.7+5.1
7 Tennessee Tech31131842%73.374.5-1.2
8 Eastern Illinois33132039%67.170.3-3.2
9 UALR32122038%70.574.1-3.6
10 Southern Indiana3072323%68.773.7-5.0
11 Western Illinois3152616%64.976.8-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Morehead State02903766
Southeast Missouri State03602561
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