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Southeast Missouri State vs Lipscomb Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 86-79
40-42 46-37
Position#145
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Southeast Missouri State 🏆
USA
Vs
63%
37%
■ SOUT 63%■ LIPS 37%
Pythia win probability
Projected 75-71
Projected total 145.9
Lipscomb
USA
Position#290
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southeast Missouri State v Lipscomb
02 Nov 2026
SOUT86
LIPS79
29 Nov 2025
SOUT77
LIPS88
07 Dec 2020
SOUT82
LIPS77
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Southeast Missouri State will host Lipscomb on 2 November 2026 in a low-scoring NCAA matchup where the model expects a tight contest, with the defensive intensity and slow pace likely keeping points low. The two teams have split their four meetings, with Lipscomb winning three and Southeast Missouri State one, the most recent being an 88-77 victory for Lipscomb on 29 November 2025. Southeast Missouri State has won three of its last five games, including a 68-66 home win over Lindenwood on 5 March 2026 and a 89-73 victory over Tennessee Tech on 28 February 2026, while Lipscomb also has three wins in its last five, highlighted by an 80-77 away win over Eastern Kentucky on 28 February 2026. The Pythia model names Southeast Missouri State as the favourite with a 63% chance of winning versus Lipscomb's 37%, projecting a 75-71 score for the home team and a total of 145.9 points. The home line of 2.5 gives a 69% probability that Southeast Missouri State will cover, and the over/under line of 152.5 carries a 34% chance of exceeding it, with a 5% probability of overtime. The game will likely hinge on the defensive battle and the teams' recent form.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southeast Missouri State winWon
62.8%fair 1.59
Best odds2.20
Implied43.8%
Edge+19.0pp
Lipscomb winLost
37.2%fair 2.69
Best odds1.83
Implied56.2%
Edge-19.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A13/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
56-53 OT
56
53
+3
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-29
39-41
39-42
51-23
40-34
16-40
26-29
47-32
26-16
21-31
30-32
40-33
38-33
33-46
34-36
55-37
25-34
43-32
36-29
25-37
138.8Avg total
71.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.667.2138.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)71.869.8141.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.091.5162.5-20.50%
vs Similar (14)69.670.4140.1-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.267.9146.2+10.385%
This opponent (Lipscomb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LipscombUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H12/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A19/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H21/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-45
64-49
38-35
38-52
33-45
45-41
43-31
32-30
38-52
43-35
36-28
39-44
24-26
49-25
37-44
40-40
42-41
38-36
27-36
26-41
154.4Avg total
76.8Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.877.6154.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.884.2159.0-9.525%
vs Similar (10)76.976.2153.1+0.750%
vs Weaker (16)83.970.4154.3+13.481%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
45.4%
@ 1.50-17.1pp
Under 147.5
54.6%
@ 2.55+17.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
33.8%
@ 1.91-16.2pp
Under 152.5
66.2%
@ 1.90+16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
23.7%
@ 2.55-13.2pp
Under 157.5
76.3%
@ 1.47+13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Southeast Missouri State total 71Actual: Southeast Missouri State over 71
Over 71
65.0%
Under 71
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southeast Missouri State total 75 · main lineActual: Southeast Missouri State over 75
Over 75
49.1%
@ 1.85-1.2pp
Under 75
50.9%
@ 1.87+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Southeast Missouri State total 79Actual: Southeast Missouri State over 79
Over 79
33.3%
Under 79
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lipscomb total 73.5Actual: Lipscomb over 73.5
Over 73.5
40.4%
@ 1.42-23.1pp
Under 73.5
59.6%
@ 2.47+23.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.47
Lipscomb total 77.5 · main lineActual: Lipscomb over 77.5
Over 77.5
26.6%
@ 1.94-22.8pp
Under 77.5
73.4%
@ 1.85+22.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Lipscomb total 81.5Actual: Lipscomb under 81.5
Over 81.5
15.8%
@ 2.65-18.5pp
Under 81.5
84.2%
@ 1.38+18.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Southeast Missouri State -0.5Actual: Southeast Missouri State -0.5
SOUT -0.5
62.8%
LIPS +0.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
LIPS
No market prices yet.
Spread Southeast Missouri State +2.5 · main lineActual: Southeast Missouri State +2.5
SOUT +2.5
69.3%
@ 1.88+19.1pp
LIPS -2.5
30.7%
@ 1.90-19.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.80
LIPS
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Spread Southeast Missouri State +5.5Actual: Southeast Missouri State +5.5
SOUT +5.5
78.0%
@ 1.53+17.4pp
LIPS -5.5
22.0%
@ 2.40-17.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
LIPS
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.30

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
Southeast Missouri StateLipscomb
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#112
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A14/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71.5
Last 30 (30)34.333.567.7+0.853%27%
Last 30 at home (15)34.033.967.9+0.147%20%
Last 30 away (15)34.533.067.5+1.560%33%
Last 10 (10)33.731.465.1+2.350%30%
Last 5 (5)32.632.865.4-0.240%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.045.072.0-18.00%50%
vs Similar (14)33.533.166.6+0.457%29%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.032.267.2+2.854%15%
This opponent (Lipscomb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LipscombLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A19/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H21/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H06/03
NCAA
73.7Avg total
35.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71.5
Last 30 (30)36.234.270.4+2.153%50%
Last 30 at home (15)38.530.769.3+7.873%53%
Last 30 away (15)33.937.671.5-3.733%47%
Last 10 (10)35.438.373.7-2.940%70%
Last 5 (5)33.235.068.2-1.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.837.574.2-0.825%75%
vs Similar (10)32.734.667.3-1.940%20%
vs Weaker (16)38.333.171.4+5.269%62%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Lipscomb win
SOUT win
no forecast
@ 2.12
LIPS win
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State +1 · main lineActual: Lipscomb -1
SOUT +1
no forecast
@ 1.87
LIPS -1
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 71.5 · main lineActual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Southeast Missouri State 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: Southeast Missouri State over 36
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Lipscomb 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: Lipscomb over 37
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 73Actual: Over 73
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State +2.5Actual: Southeast Missouri State +2.5
SOUT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
LIPS -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State -1.5Actual: Lipscomb +1.5
SOUT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
LIPS +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State +3.5Actual: Southeast Missouri State +3.5
SOUT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
LIPS -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State -2.5Actual: Lipscomb +2.5
SOUT -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
LIPS +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State +4.5Actual: Southeast Missouri State +4.5
SOUT +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
LIPS -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Spread Southeast Missouri State -3.5Actual: Lipscomb +3.5
SOUT -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.90
LIPS +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Southeast Missouri State (regulation)
SOUT
no forecast
@ 2.18
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
LIPS
no forecast
@ 1.85

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SOUT win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
LIPS win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SOUT leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lipscomb under 77.573.4%1.82
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77		-+22.8ppLost
Lipscomb under 7772.6%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+22.6ppLost
Lipscomb under 76.570.2%1.91
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
WilliamHill
1.85		--+22.5ppLost
Lipscomb under 78.576.5%1.67
Betano
1.67		----+21.1ppLost
Lipscomb under 79.579.3%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+20.8ppWon
Lipscomb under 80.581.9%1.45
Betano
1.45		----+19.5ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +371.3%1.77
Marathon Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.74		---+19.2ppWon
Lipscomb under 81.584.2%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+18.5ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +3.572.1%1.73
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
Bet365
1.68		-+18.2ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +4.575.2%1.63
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60		--+18.2ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +474.4%1.64
Bet365
1.64		----+18.0ppWon
Lipscomb under 82.586.4%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+17.7ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +577.4%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+17.7ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +5.578.0%1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52		---+17.4ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +6.580.6%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45		---+17.1ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +680.1%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+16.7ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +782.6%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+16.6ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +7.583.0%1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38		---+16.4ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +884.8%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+15.8ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +8.585.1%1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33		---+15.7ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +986.8%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+15.3ppWon
Southeast Missouri State +9.587.0%1.29
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.28		---+15.2ppWon
Under 154.570.4%1.68
1xBet
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66		-+15.1ppLost
Under 15571.9%1.63
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.62		---+14.9ppLost
Under 155.572.5%1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58		---+14.4ppLost
Under 15673.9%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+14.2ppLost
Under 156.574.4%1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53		---+14.1ppLost
Under 15775.8%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+13.3ppLost
Under 157.576.3%1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47		---+13.2ppLost
Under 15877.7%1.44
Bet365
1.44		----+13.1ppLost
Under 158.578.1%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+12.7ppLost
Under 15979.4%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+12.4ppLost
Under 159.579.8%1.37
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36		---+12.2ppLost
Under 16081.1%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+11.6ppLost
Under 160.581.4%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.9ppLost
Southeast Missouri State under 81.574.6%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+6.1ppLost
Overtime: no94.9%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+5.1pp-
Southeast Missouri State under 80.571.3%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+3.0ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southeast Missouri State wins
3
Lipscomb wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Southeast Missouri State v Lipscomb77-88
05/12/24Lipscomb v Southeast Missouri State78-60
10/12/20Lipscomb v Southeast Missouri State80-74 OT
08/12/20Southeast Missouri State v Lipscomb82-77
Southeast Missouri Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AMorehead State61-66
06/03/26HLindenwood68-66
28/02/26HTennessee Tech89-73
27/02/26HTennessee State71-79
21/02/26AUALR70-65
18/02/26AUT Martin56-53 OT
14/02/26ALindenwood73-61
13/02/26ASiu Edwardsville56-74
07/02/26HSouthern Indiana90-65
06/02/26HMorehead State82-70
Lipscomblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HFlorida Gulf Coast53-77
28/02/26AEastern Kentucky80-77
26/02/26AWest Georgia77-84
21/02/26HNorth Alabama73-51
19/02/26ABellarmine75-72
14/02/26AQueens Royals81-87
12/02/26HEastern Kentucky75-61
07/02/26HCentral Arkansas78-86
05/02/26AAustin Peay76-87
31/01/26ANorth Florida100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lipscomb
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville110100%91.039.0+52.0
2 UALR1010%72.082.0-10.0
3 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
4 Eastern Illinois1010%57.091.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky110100%105.054.0+51.0
2 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
3 Florida Gulf Coast1010%95.096.0-1.0
4 Stetson1010%72.085.0-13.0
5 Bellarmine1010%47.093.0-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southeast Missouri State404686
Lipscomb423779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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