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Southeast Missouri State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 82-70
43-29 39-41
Position#110
Record13-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#112
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southeast Missouri State v Morehead State
05 Feb 2026
SOUT82
MORE70
11 Jan 2025
SOUT56
MORE67
31 Dec 2023
SOUT64
MORE83
11 Feb 2023
SOUT59
MORE65
27 Jan 2022
SOUT73
MORE74
16 Jan 2021
SOUT50
MORE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southeast Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A09/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H16/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H17/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H21/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
38-22
34-27
39-23
43-36
41-40
38-30
31-41
18-45
58-43
21-43
34-25
40-20
26-30
33-30
37-35
36-29
42-45
37-24
40-35
137.6Avg total
71.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.872.1148.0+3.757%
Season at home (11)74.565.0139.5+9.564%
Season away (12)77.078.7155.7-1.750%
Last 10 (10)71.666.0137.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)69.263.2132.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.791.7161.3-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.374.3146.6-2.040%
vs Weaker (16)77.265.4142.6+11.881%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A17/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-44
26-33
33-35
40-37
43-32
25-44
30-38
41-31
36-46
50-40
38-29
38-41
39-32
32-34
35-35
38-33
27-33
40-32
39-36
39-43
148.8Avg total
74.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.576.6153.0-0.152%
Season at home (10)83.168.7151.8+14.480%
Season away (13)71.482.6154.0-11.231%
Last 10 (10)74.174.7148.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)73.069.6142.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.878.8147.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.373.7140.0-7.430%
vs Weaker (7)83.770.0153.7+13.786%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
Southeast Missouri StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
18-45
18
45
-27
H16/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H17/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H21/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A31/01
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.268.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.430.463.9+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)37.136.473.6+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.165.1+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.262.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.744.774.3-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.236.972.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker (16)35.228.964.1+6.475%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
35.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.969.0-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.932.771.6+6.258%-
Last 30 away (18)31.036.367.3-5.328%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.071.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.068.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.137.669.7-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.832.463.2-1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)38.734.473.1+4.343%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AEastern Illinois77-59
30/01/26AWestern Illinois78-74
23/01/26HUALR70-65
21/01/26HUT Martin66-50
17/01/26HSiu Edwardsville55-68
16/01/26HLindenwood76-88
10/01/26AMorehead State69-71
09/01/26ASouthern Indiana84-76
03/01/26HWestern Illinois73-50
02/01/26HEastern Illinois68-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HLindenwood78-79
30/01/26HSiu Edwardsville67-65
24/01/26HEastern Illinois73-68
23/01/26HWestern Illinois71-66
17/01/26ATennessee Tech76-70
16/01/26ATennessee State100-105 OT
10/01/26HSoutheast Missouri State71-69
09/01/26HUT Martin68-76
03/01/26ASiu Edwardsville73-72
01/01/26ALindenwood64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game75.874.577.0
Allowed / game72.165.078.7
Point differential+3.7+9.5-1.7
Avg total148.0139.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %52%80%31%
Points / game76.583.171.4
Allowed / game76.668.782.6
Point differential-0.1+14.4-11.2
Avg total153.0151.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin2318578%72.763.0+9.7
2 Tennessee State2214864%81.076.8+4.2
3 Siu Edwardsville2415962%72.164.8+7.2
4 Lindenwood25151060%79.972.8+7.1
5 Southeast Missouri State23131057%75.872.1+3.7
6 Morehead State23121152%76.576.6-0.1
7 Tennessee Tech2391439%74.776.8-2.2
8 Eastern Illinois2391439%66.970.2-3.3
9 UALR2491538%70.675.5-4.9
10 Southern Indiana2251723%69.072.6-3.7
11 Western Illinois2341917%65.375.6-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southeast Missouri State433982
Morehead State294170
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