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Southern Illinois vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-78
48-34 53-44
Position#203
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game42.0
vs
Position#368
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A07/03
NCAA
McKendree
#556
W
83-42
83
42
+41
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-22
49-45
28-35
36-43
38-25
30-48
24-33
36-29
37-31
42-52
43-35
45-44
31-52
46-43
47-43
39-42
25-36
28-34
40-20
43-22
147.1Avg total
73.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.042.0125.0+41.0100%
Season at home (1)83.042.0125.0+41.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.773.4147.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.677.6148.2-7.122%
vs Similar (10)74.172.4146.5+1.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)81.054.0135.0+27.0100%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#85
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H08/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H28/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A02/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Evangel
#381
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
42-41
41-27
39-42
34-38
38-41
23-33
43-45
32-34
33-36
28-16
36-40
28-31
31-34
29-23
44-33
26-40
35-30
35-39
45-35
138.7Avg total
69.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.269.5138.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)67.464.2131.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)65.570.6136.1-5.120%
vs Weaker (13)73.767.3141.0+6.454%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
Southern IllinoisUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A02/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A07/03
NCAA
McKendree
#556
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H04/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.367.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.833.768.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)31.335.066.3-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.267.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.236.467.7-5.228%-
vs Similar (10)35.632.968.5+2.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)33.025.058.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#85
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H28/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Evangel
#381
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.265.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.130.566.6+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)30.733.964.6-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.862.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.229.859.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)29.934.063.9-4.133%-
vs Weaker (13)34.831.566.3+3.469%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Illinois wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HMcKendree83-42
07/03/25ADrake53-70
06/03/25HIndiana State86-85
02/03/25AIndiana State77-95
26/02/25HIllinois State88-79
23/02/25HValparaiso79-83
20/02/25AMurray State60-62
16/02/25HBelmont68-73
13/02/25ABradley64-78
08/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)79-67
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HEvangel80-74
07/03/25ANebraska O.61-70
06/03/25HOral Roberts73-56
02/03/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)59-65
28/02/25HDenver64-56
23/02/25ASouth Dakota St.65-70
20/02/25HNebraska O.66-78
14/02/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-79
08/02/25HNorth Dakota80-69
07/02/25HNorth Dakota St72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game42.042.0-
Point differential+41.0+41.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois110100%83.042.0+41.0
2 Northern Iowa110100%86.057.0+29.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)110100%91.071.0+20.0
4 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
5 Indiana State21150%90.082.5+7.5
6 Evansville21150%71.566.0+5.5
7 Drake21150%78.076.0+2.0
8 Belmont21150%65.081.0-16.0
9 Valparaiso21150%62.585.0-22.5
10 Illinois State1010%68.072.0-4.0
11 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.220100%71.564.0+7.5
2 UMKC110100%80.074.0+6.0
3 Nebraska O.2020%74.079.0-5.0
4 North Dakota St2020%66.573.5-7.0
5 South Dakota Coyotes2020%77.586.5-9.0
6 Denver2020%71.584.0-12.5
7 North Dakota2020%66.082.5-16.5
8 Oral Roberts1010%71.095.0-24.0
9 St. Thomas (Minn.)1010%58.084.0-26.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois4853101
UMKC344478
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