PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

St. Thomas (Minn.) vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-59
31-28 34-31
Position#57
Record21-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#288
Record12-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC
01 Feb 2026
ST. 99
UMKC64
01 Mar 2025
ST. 65
UMKC59
31 Dec 2023
ST. 77
UMKC56
11 Feb 2023
ST. 73
UMKC43
08 Feb 2022
ST. 67
UMKC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#101
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A26/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H30/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H02/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
42-47
37-31
31-34
45-42
41-29
45-26
34-36
42-41
44-61
38-37
41-39
45-34
50-50
38-36
42-49
27-25
39-46
47-32
39-39
157.9Avg total
80.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.175.6159.7+8.470%
Season at home (14)89.072.9161.9+16.193%
Season away (16)79.878.0157.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.377.6157.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.277.4158.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.075.1154.1+3.967%
vs Weaker (18)84.178.2162.2+5.967%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H08/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
27-29
31-37
34-31
30-33
38-36
28-45
39-28
30-37
42-41
41-27
39-42
34-38
38-41
23-33
43-45
32-34
33-36
28-16
36-40
138.8Avg total
68.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.167.6140.7+5.540%
Season at home (15)81.762.5144.3+19.267%
Season away (15)64.572.6137.1-8.113%
Last 10 (10)68.370.5138.8-2.220%
Last 5 (5)69.470.4139.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.082.0138.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.671.6137.2-6.121%
vs Weaker (12)73.868.2142.0+5.550%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +0.0+0.0
St. Thomas (Minn.)UMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#101
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H02/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H28/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
40.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.233.274.4+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.834.178.9+10.686%-
Last 30 away (16)38.132.470.5+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.674.6+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.871.8+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.633.973.4+5.767%-
vs Weaker (18)40.733.774.3+7.083%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H26/01
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A02/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H28/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
31.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.466.9+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.530.168.6+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)30.634.765.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)31.433.665.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.661.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.034.056.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.434.865.2-4.436%-
vs Weaker (12)35.332.267.5+3.267%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
UMKC wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HNorth Dakota86-71
23/02/25AOral Roberts66-71
20/02/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes80-85
16/02/25HNebraska O.95-84
08/02/25ADenver79-76
07/02/25ASouth Dakota St.86-102
02/02/25HNorth Dakota St79-62
30/01/25HOral Roberts86-71
26/01/25AUMKC68-65
24/01/25ANebraska O.78-89
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HDenver64-56
23/02/25ASouth Dakota St.65-70
20/02/25HNebraska O.66-78
14/02/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-79
08/02/25HNorth Dakota80-69
07/02/25HNorth Dakota St72-78
02/02/25AOral Roberts67-73
31/01/25ADenver68-69
26/01/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)65-68
24/01/25HSouth Dakota St.64-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %70%93%50%
Points / game84.189.079.8
Allowed / game75.672.978.0
Point differential+8.4+16.1+1.8
Avg total159.7161.9157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
UMKC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %40%67%13%
Points / game73.181.764.5
Allowed / game67.662.572.6
Point differential+5.5+19.2-8.1
Avg total140.7144.3137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)3021970%84.175.6+8.4
2 North Dakota St31211068%81.074.2+6.8
3 South Dakota St.31201165%79.973.1+6.8
4 Nebraska O.31191261%77.475.5+1.9
5 South Dakota Coyotes31181358%85.583.2+2.4
6 UMKC30121840%73.167.6+5.5
7 North Dakota31112035%77.379.7-2.4
8 Denver31112035%72.777.5-4.8
9 Oral Roberts2972224%73.978.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)313465
UMKC283159
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.