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Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-83
37-31 42-52
Position#270
Record12-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#248
Record12-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Valparaiso
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
SOUT75
VALP70
22 Feb 2025
SOUT79
VALP83
24 Jan 2024
SOUT75
VALP69
30 Jan 2022
SOUT77
VALP55
21 Feb 2021
SOUT65
VALP66
17 Jan 2021
SOUT v VALP
upcoming
07 Jan 2020
SOUT63
VALP50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
W
73-49
73
49
+24
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-15
40-34
32-34
32-40
46-46
43-39
29-34
50-41
27-28
38-47
38-23
30-36
30-22
49-45
28-35
36-43
38-25
30-48
24-33
36-29
140.6Avg total
70.9Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.273.1145.3-0.943%
Season at home (14)72.271.9144.1+0.443%
Season away (14)72.274.3146.5-2.143%
Last 10 (10)70.969.7140.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)67.867.8135.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.076.8147.8-5.822%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.969.8141.7+2.167%
vs Weaker (2)81.569.0150.5+12.550%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
36-43
29-43
42-38
26-44
42-34
34-29
41-50
38-45
40-41
31-39
31-41
23-33
33-41
56-39
45-47
44-40
25-39
26-30
40-34
150.8Avg total
72.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.874.9150.7+0.943%
Season at home (16)81.371.9153.2+9.462%
Season away (12)68.479.0147.4-10.617%
Last 10 (10)72.078.8150.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)70.876.6147.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.479.1148.6-9.722%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.375.3149.6-0.947%
vs Weaker (5)81.473.8155.2+7.660%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -3.3-3.3
Southern IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
W
33-15
33
15
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A20/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.266.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.134.567.6-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)32.133.966.1-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)32.529.562.0+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.627.659.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.736.367.9-4.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.730.665.2+4.156%-
vs Weaker (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H20/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.071.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.433.071.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)30.539.870.4-9.315%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.072.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.272.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.937.869.7-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.435.169.5-0.747%-
vs Weaker (5)36.838.875.6-2.060%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Southern Illinois wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AMurray State60-62
16/02/25HBelmont68-73
13/02/25ABradley64-78
08/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)79-67
06/02/25AEvansville68-59
01/02/25HDrake65-75
29/01/25AValparaiso79-75
25/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)89-85
23/01/25HMurray State64-74
19/01/25HNorthern Iowa73-49
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HMissouri State66-64
17/02/25AEvansville69-79
13/02/25HBelmont101-86
08/02/25HMurray State56-74
06/02/25AIndiana State62-80
01/02/25AIllinois State78-86
29/01/25HSouthern Illinois75-79
25/01/25HEvansville68-78
23/01/25ADrake71-81
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game72.272.272.2
Allowed / game73.171.974.3
Point differential-0.9+0.4-2.1
Avg total145.3144.1146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %43%62%17%
Points / game75.881.368.4
Allowed / game74.971.979.0
Point differential+0.9+9.4-10.6
Avg total150.7153.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2724389%71.359.2+12.1
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa2819968%75.167.8+7.4
4 Belmont29191066%81.078.8+2.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)29171259%78.274.1+4.2
6 Illinois State28161257%76.772.7+4.0
7 Murray State29141548%72.169.4+2.6
8 Indiana State29131645%79.679.2+0.4
9 Valparaiso28121643%75.874.9+0.9
10 Southern Illinois28121643%72.273.1-0.9
11 Evansville29111838%67.171.1-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois374279
Valparaiso315283
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