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Southern Illinois vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-79
43-35 45-44
Position#270
Record12-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#141
Record17-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Illinois State
18 Dec 2025
SOUT68
ILLI75
25 Feb 2025
SOUT88
ILLI79
10 Feb 2024
SOUT69
ILLI66
14 Jan 2023
SOUT69
ILLI57
23 Feb 2022
SOUT90
ILLI69
22 Feb 2022
SOUT v ILLI
upcoming
14 Feb 2021
SOUT59
ILLI49
13 Feb 2021
SOUT55
ILLI80
04 Jan 2020
SOUT67
ILLI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
32-40
46-46
43-39
29-34
50-41
27-28
38-47
38-23
30-36
30-22
49-45
28-35
36-43
38-25
30-48
24-33
36-29
37-31
42-52
144.6Avg total
71.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.473.4145.9-1.041%
Season at home (15)72.772.6145.3+0.140%
Season away (14)72.274.3146.5-2.143%
Last 10 (10)71.573.1144.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.072.6142.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.076.8147.8-5.822%
vs Similar (9)72.969.9142.8+3.067%
vs Weaker (2)81.569.0150.5+12.550%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
45-41
26-28
31-33
35-31
46-47
45-38
41-40
45-37
36-42
36-32
29-36
32-40
45-44
33-40
43-45
35-27
47-44
35-32
35-36
151.3Avg total
76.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.572.5149.0+4.059%
Season at home (16)81.071.7152.7+9.375%
Season away (13)70.973.5144.5-2.638%
Last 10 (10)76.075.3151.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)74.075.2149.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.271.6140.8-2.420%
vs Similar (18)76.976.2153.2+0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.161.7138.9+15.486%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
Southern IllinoisIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H23/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
32.9Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.166.9-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.334.367.6-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)32.133.966.1-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)32.931.164.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.260.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.736.367.9-4.628%-
vs Similar (9)35.030.265.2+4.867%-
vs Weaker (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#254
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.569.7+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.532.068.5+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)35.635.571.2+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.570.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.268.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.834.466.2-2.620%-
vs Similar (18)37.735.272.9+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.328.663.9+6.771%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HValparaiso79-83
20/02/25AMurray State60-62
16/02/25HBelmont68-73
13/02/25ABradley64-78
08/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)79-67
06/02/25AEvansville68-59
01/02/25HDrake65-75
29/01/25AValparaiso79-75
25/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)89-85
23/01/25HMurray State64-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AMissouri State70-68
20/02/25HBradley82-71
15/02/25AIndiana State76-85
13/02/25HDrake77-84
08/02/25ANorthern Iowa65-68
06/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)81-79
01/02/25HValparaiso86-78
30/01/25HBelmont81-78
25/01/25ABradley57-61
22/01/25HIndiana State85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%40%43%
Points / game72.472.772.2
Allowed / game73.472.674.3
Point differential-1.0+0.1-2.1
Avg total145.9145.3146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%75%38%
Points / game76.581.070.9
Allowed / game72.571.773.5
Point differential+4.0+9.3-2.6
Avg total149.0152.7144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2825389%71.159.1+11.9
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa29191066%74.667.6+6.9
4 Belmont29191066%81.078.8+2.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)29171259%78.274.1+4.2
6 Illinois State29171259%76.572.5+4.0
7 Murray State29141548%72.169.4+2.6
8 Valparaiso29131645%76.075.1+1.0
9 Indiana State29131645%79.679.2+0.4
10 Southern Illinois29121741%72.473.4-1.0
11 Evansville29111838%67.171.1-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois434588
Illinois State354479
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