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Southern Illinois vs UT Martin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 77-67
Projected total 143.6
Scheduled
Position#156
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
Vs
82%
18%
■ SOUT 82%■ UT M 18%
Pythia win probability
Position#198
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southern Illinois v UT Martin
20 Nov 2026
SOUT v UT M
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
SOUT83
UT M54
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Southern Illinois host UT Martin in the NCAA. Pythia makes Southern Illinois the favourite at 82% and projects 77-67, about 144 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Southern Illinois are 2-1 this season (85.0 scored, 70.0 allowed a game), form WLWLW; UT Martin are 2-2 this season (85.0 scored, 74.2 allowed a game), form LLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois win
81.9%fair 1.22
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UT Martin win
18.1%fair 5.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
82-40
82
40
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
43-28
28-28
32-42
31-36
35-25
33-30
26-27
36-23
30-32
38-27
43-40
31-27
32-40
34-11
48-29
42-55
51-45
43-32
37-38
138.3Avg total
73.6Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.070.0155.0+15.067%
Season at home (2)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.664.7138.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.868.8148.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.066.8137.8+4.283%
vs Similar (16)69.872.0141.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.969.4146.3+7.471%
This opponent (UT Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
53-56 OT
53
56
-3
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Tulane
#219
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
A03/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#228
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A11/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#437
W
86-57
86
57
+29
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-26
31-21
32-28
33-39
23-22
41-27
21-35
21-32
27-22
39-41
28-36
27-32
37-35
43-45
34-36
40-39
54-34
28-31
36-39
50-18
135.2Avg total
68.5Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.074.2159.2+10.850%
Season at home (1)86.057.0143.0+29.0100%
Season away (3)84.780.0164.7+4.733%
Last 10 (10)68.566.7135.2+1.840%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)63.467.8131.2-4.433%
vs Weaker (18)74.761.3135.9+13.483%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
41.0%
Under 147
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
29.5%
Under 152
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
19.9%
Under 157
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Southern Illinois total 82
Over 82
29.9%
Under 82
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southern Illinois total 86
Over 86
17.3%
Under 86
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southern Illinois total 90
Over 90
8.8%
Under 90
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UT Martin total 62
Over 62
67.7%
Under 62
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UT Martin total 66
Over 66
51.9%
Under 66
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UT Martin total 70
Over 70
36.0%
Under 70
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Southern Illinois -3
SOUT -3
76.0%
UT M +3
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
UT M
No market prices yet.
Spread Southern Illinois 0
SOUT 0
81.9%
UT M 0
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
UT M
No market prices yet.
Spread Southern Illinois +3
SOUT +3
87.3%
UT M -3
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
UT M
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
Southern IllinoisUT Martin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
34-11
34
11
+23
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.764.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.928.161.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.967.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.166.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.468.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.230.261.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (16)31.532.263.7-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.334.971.1+1.457%-
This opponent (UT Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#228
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A11/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#437
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.564.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.729.058.7+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.434.069.4+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)30.831.362.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.073.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)30.832.563.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (18)33.730.864.6+2.961%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Illinois wins
0
UT Martin wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Southern Illinois v UT Martin83-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HRichmond Spiders80-70
07/11/26AUMKC93-100
03/11/26HMaryville82-40
05/03/26HDrake63-67
01/03/26AEvansville81-67
26/02/26HIndiana State66-55
21/02/26ANorthern Iowa59-57
19/02/26ADrake66-61
15/02/26HBradley60-70
13/02/26HEvansville86-60
UT Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HChampion Christian Tigers86-57
11/11/26AArkansas State82-65
07/11/26AIU Indy74-75
03/11/26ATulane98-100 OT
07/03/26ATennessee State55-68
06/03/26HEastern Illinois66-63
28/02/26HTennessee State42-67
27/02/26HTennessee Tech64-49
20/02/26AUALR65-67
18/02/26HSoutheast Missouri State53-56 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.081.093.0
Allowed / game70.055.0100.0
Point differential+15.0+26.0-7.0
Avg total155.0136.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Martin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game85.086.084.7
Allowed / game74.257.080.0
Point differential+10.8+29.0+4.7
Avg total159.2143.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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