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Southern Miss vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-70
30-33 46-37
Position#21
Record12-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game60.6
Southern Miss 🏆
USA
vs
Appalachian State
USA
Position#203
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Miss v Appalachian State
29 Jan 2026
SOUT63
APPA70
31 Dec 2022
SOUT76
APPA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A22/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Mobile
#592
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H27/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
47-18
39-26
31-32
53-30
50-22
32-24
32-30
39-40
43-44
50-22
45-37
40-29
51-36
42-35
44-32
33-32
30-42
26-23
38-37
142.0Avg total
79.5Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.060.6138.6+17.486%
Season at home (8)80.456.8137.1+23.6100%
Season away (6)74.865.8140.7+9.067%
Last 10 (10)79.562.5142.0+17.080%
Last 5 (5)79.865.0144.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.878.6144.4-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (1)64.060.0124.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (12)79.359.8139.1+19.683%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#43
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H20/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
100-32
100
32
+68
H17/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
39-43
30-35
53-39
32-33
42-37
19-32
42-33
42-31
20-40
51-24
52-19
37-31
29-36
48-17
52-15
29-27
21-34
28-35
25-44
135.2Avg total
71.9Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.664.6140.2+11.150%
Season at home (9)82.661.9144.4+20.756%
Season away (5)63.269.4132.6-6.240%
Last 10 (10)71.963.3135.2+8.640%
Last 5 (5)74.456.4130.8+18.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.065.0126.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)63.665.4128.9-1.841%
vs Weaker (10)84.160.0144.1+24.190%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
Southern MissAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A22/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Mobile
#592
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
38.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.167.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.433.769.1+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)32.132.464.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.429.567.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.266.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.236.467.6-5.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)26.023.049.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (12)38.229.267.5+9.083%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#43
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H20/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H17/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/12
NCAA
63.7Avg total
34.4Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.564.9+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.929.564.4+5.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.831.865.5+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)34.429.363.7+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.626.865.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.728.754.3-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.631.464.0+1.365%-
vs Weaker (10)40.129.569.6+10.660%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HTroy64-60
23/12/22AUNLV63-74
18/12/22HMcNeese State86-67
14/12/22ALamar91-65
10/12/22HLamar95-59
04/12/22ANorthwestern St.82-84
30/11/22HMontana64-54
27/11/22HMobile103-52
23/11/22HIPFW70-58
22/11/22AWinthrop77-52
Appalachian Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22AMarshall53-79
21/12/22HUC Santa Barbara50-61
17/12/22HRegent University100-32
15/12/22AWake Forest66-67
06/12/22HCarlow University103-43
03/12/22ACharlotte62-71
29/11/22HFurman61-65
24/11/22AEast Tennessee St74-70
20/11/22HSE Louisiana83-74
20/11/22HKennesaw State67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game78.080.474.8
Allowed / game60.656.865.8
Point differential+17.4+23.6+9.0
Avg total138.6137.1140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%88%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game75.682.663.2
Allowed / game64.661.969.4
Point differential+11.1+20.7-6.2
Avg total140.2144.4132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1412286%78.060.6+17.4
2 Marshall1512380%82.168.5+13.6
3 James Madison1511473%89.765.3+24.5
4 Louisiana Lafayette1410471%81.672.4+9.2
5 Arkansas State149564%68.363.8+4.5
6 Old Dominion149564%67.864.8+3.0
7 Georgia Southern159660%68.162.7+5.3
8 Troy148657%78.166.4+11.7
9 Georgia State148657%67.663.0+4.6
10 Coastal Carolina137654%77.468.2+9.2
11 Appalachian State147750%75.664.6+11.1
12 Texas State147750%66.766.2+0.5
13 South Alabama146843%69.667.8+1.8
14 Louisiana Monroe145936%70.769.5+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss304676
Appalachian State333770
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