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Southern Miss vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-60
26-23 38-37
Position#21
Record11-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game60.7
vs
Position#115
Record8-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Miss v Troy
13 Jan 2027
SOUT v TROY
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SOUT69
TROY65
28 Feb 2025
SOUT58
TROY70
20 Jan 2024
SOUT64
TROY63
29 Dec 2022
SOUT64
TROY60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#30
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A22/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Mobile
#592
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H27/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-22
37-50
30-34
47-18
39-26
31-32
53-30
50-22
32-24
32-30
39-40
43-44
50-22
45-37
40-29
51-36
42-35
44-32
33-32
30-42
144.4Avg total
80.7Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.160.7139.8+18.485%
Season at home (7)82.756.3139.0+26.4100%
Season away (6)74.865.8140.7+9.067%
Last 10 (10)80.763.7144.4+17.080%
Last 5 (5)83.469.8153.2+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.878.6144.4-12.812%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (13)80.959.0139.9+21.985%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
35-25
38-36
38-42
26-32
47-30
66-30
52-31
33-31
28-43
34-41
38-37
33-29
22-31
43-30
44-34
37-37
40-34
32-41
47-41
145.5Avg total
77.1Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.566.5146.0+12.962%
Season at home (6)90.061.7151.7+28.383%
Season away (7)70.470.7141.1-0.343%
Last 10 (10)77.168.4145.5+8.750%
Last 5 (5)74.071.0145.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.466.4131.7-1.043%
vs Weaker (10)73.165.1138.2+8.080%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
Southern MissTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#30
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A19/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A22/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Mobile
#592
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
39.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.368.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.434.171.4+3.350%-
Last 30 away (14)32.132.464.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.729.469.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.672.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.236.467.6-5.224%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (13)39.729.268.9+10.585%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.265.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.729.164.8+6.560%-
Last 30 away (15)33.733.266.9+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.671.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.671.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.731.463.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)34.730.465.1+4.360%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22AUNLV63-74
18/12/22HMcNeese State86-67
14/12/22ALamar91-65
10/12/22HLamar95-59
04/12/22ANorthwestern St.82-84
30/11/22HMontana64-54
27/11/22HMobile103-52
23/11/22HIPFW70-58
22/11/22AWinthrop77-52
19/11/22ALiberty76-72
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HMercer79-82
17/12/22ASE Louisiana77-71
10/12/22HTennessee Tech87-64
06/12/22ASan Diego State55-60
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78
29/11/22AArkansas61-74
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
20/11/22AMontana73-62
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game79.182.774.8
Allowed / game60.756.365.8
Point differential+18.4+26.4+9.0
Avg total139.8139.0140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game79.590.070.4
Allowed / game66.561.770.7
Point differential+12.9+28.3-0.3
Avg total146.0151.7141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%83%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall1412286%83.368.3+15.0
2 Southern Miss1311285%79.160.7+18.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette1310377%82.872.6+10.2
4 James Madison1410471%91.065.2+25.8
5 Arkansas State149564%68.363.8+4.5
6 Troy138562%79.566.5+12.9
7 Old Dominion138562%67.664.7+2.9
8 Coastal Carolina127558%78.567.8+10.8
9 Georgia Southern137654%68.063.6+4.4
10 Georgia State137654%67.563.4+4.2
11 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
12 Appalachian State147750%75.664.6+11.1
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss263864
Troy233760
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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