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Southern Miss vs Grambling St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-60
29-31 39-29
Position#174
Record5-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#260
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v Grambling St.
29 Nov 2026
SOUT v GRAM
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
SOUT68
GRAM60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grambling St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-33
40-45
38-36
41-49
52-35
41-22
34-38
36-32
30-42
40-33
38-28
44-31
35-46
57-37
41-22
29-38
31-29
51-46
34-34
30-54
151.8Avg total
77.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.073.9152.9+5.156%
Season at home (4)84.264.8149.0+19.5100%
Season away (5)74.881.2156.0-6.420%
Last 10 (10)77.574.3151.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)78.073.0151.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.278.9149.1-8.815%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.873.6146.4-0.838%
vs Weaker (4)86.867.2154.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#499
W
91-47
91
47
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
62-102
62
102
-40
A07/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H14/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A22/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-29
28-20
36-33
26-31
41-21
50-26
30-44
32-58
32-33
41-37
42-30
33-40
26-35
42-43
22-40
37-32
36-30
38-53
31-30
32-35
140.5Avg total
69.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.673.4144.0-2.838%
Season at home (2)83.058.5141.5+24.5100%
Season away (6)66.578.3144.8-11.817%
Last 10 (10)69.271.3140.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)67.873.6141.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.874.0137.8-10.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)65.068.8133.8-3.823%
vs Weaker (11)72.860.5133.3+12.473%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -1.6-1.6
Southern MissGrambling St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.470.1-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.233.169.3+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)33.437.470.8-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.370.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.867.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.836.571.4-1.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.034.367.3-1.331%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#499
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A19/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A22/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.631.663.3+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.829.062.8+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)30.033.663.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.732.564.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.064.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.235.864.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.931.863.8+0.154%-
vs Weaker (11)33.229.162.3+4.164%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
1
Grambling St. wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Grambling St. v Southern Miss75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AMiami (FL)64-88
04/12/25ARadford82-75
23/11/25HUT Martin70-60
23/11/25HNorth Florida92-83
19/11/25HWilliam Carey82-59
14/11/25AGrambling St.70-75
09/11/25ASouth Carolina79-83 OT
07/11/25HTougaloo93-57
03/11/25ABuffalo79-85
05/03/25AGeorgia Southern64-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ATulane63-65
24/11/25AUC Riverside74-83
22/11/25ACalifornia Baptist59-72
19/11/25ASan Diego Toreros68-78
14/11/25HSouthern Miss75-70
09/11/25AHoward73-70
07/11/25AIowa State62-102
04/11/25HHuston Tillotson91-47
14/03/25AAlabama State62-64
12/03/25ASouthern Univ.65-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game79.084.274.8
Allowed / game73.964.881.2
Point differential+5.1+19.5-6.4
Avg total152.9149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Grambling St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game70.683.066.5
Allowed / game73.458.578.3
Point differential-2.8+24.5-11.8
Avg total144.0141.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State107370%80.879.6+1.2
2 James Madison117464%75.174.2+0.9
3 Coastal Carolina106460%76.570.5+6.0
4 South Alabama106460%74.470.1+4.3
5 Southern Miss95456%79.073.9+5.1
6 Marshall95456%80.179.6+0.6
7 Troy116555%89.379.5+9.7
8 Texas State116555%73.565.5+8.1
9 Georgia Southern116555%80.380.0+0.3
10 Appalachian State105550%74.567.2+7.3
11 Old Dominion103730%75.378.6-3.3
12 Louisiana Monroe92722%71.080.2-9.2
13 Georgia State101910%64.176.9-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette101910%57.471.7-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.84450%92.278.0+14.2
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs84450%65.973.9-8.0
3 Prairie View A&M94544%81.975.1+6.8
4 Grambling St.83538%70.673.4-2.8
5 Alabama State93633%79.481.4-2.0
6 Bethune-Cookman93633%73.878.8-5.0
7 Florida A&M61517%66.386.8-20.5
8 Texas Southern71614%73.786.7-13.0
9 Jackson State81712%61.190.9-29.8
10 Miss. Valley St.91811%69.188.4-19.3
11 Arkansas-Pine Bluff101910%68.992.3-23.4
12 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss293968
Grambling St.312960
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