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Southern Miss vs Grambling St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#230
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#251
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game90.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southern Miss v Grambling St.
29 Nov 2026
SOUT v GRAM
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
SOUT68
GRAM60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Grambling St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
82-35
82
35
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-53
40-36
35-29
33-26
35-33
51-47
37-33
44-44
44-28
42-45
28-41
42-37
45-12
37-23
29-46
28-37
32-40
37-29
37-44
28-41
149.8Avg total
76.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.8142.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.373.5149.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.179.2150.3-8.130%
vs Similar (13)73.874.8148.7-1.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)73.267.2140.3+6.083%
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H24/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A06/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H10/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A11/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#173
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/11
NCAA
Texas
#5
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-48
49-39
38-36
45-26
36-33
35-43
17-30
42-36
21-39
42-38
27-36
38-27
34-19
43-33
27-28
38-40
43-36
46-51
27-55
35-38
143.8Avg total
70.7Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.590.0165.5-14.550%
Season at home (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)62.093.0155.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)70.773.1143.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.672.6144.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.285.2153.5-17.025%
vs Similar (15)68.972.0140.9-3.127%
vs Weaker (10)70.764.8135.5+5.960%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +4.2+4.2
Southern MissGrambling St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.130.262.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.836.470.2-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.737.870.5-5.120%-
vs Similar (13)32.333.565.8-1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)32.830.062.8+2.883%-
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A21/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
17-30
17
30
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#173
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H02/11
NCAA
Texas
#5
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A10/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
29.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.064.5-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.929.462.3+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)30.435.866.2-5.541%-
Last 10 (10)29.436.065.4-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.866.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.042.571.5-13.525%-
vs Similar (15)31.133.764.8-2.553%-
vs Weaker (10)30.929.660.5+1.350%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Miss wins
1
Grambling St. wins
DateGameScore
09/12/25Southern Miss v Grambling St.68-60
14/11/25Grambling St. v Southern Miss75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas State65-85
12/11/26HJackson State84-80 OT
07/11/26AIowa State57-83
03/11/26HTougaloo82-35
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ATexas62-93
02/11/26HNorthern Illinois89-87
11/03/26AJackson State65-68
10/03/26HMiss. Valley St.77-52
06/03/26AAlabama State65-63
04/03/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs63-77
28/02/26HFlorida A&M59-66
26/02/26HBethune-Cookman71-76
24/02/26HMiss. Valley St.83-62
21/02/26ASouthern Univ.73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.083.061.0
Allowed / game70.857.584.0
Point differential+1.2+25.5-23.0
Avg total142.8140.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Grambling St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.589.062.0
Allowed / game90.087.093.0
Point differential-14.5+2.0-31.0
Avg total165.5176.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 James Madison42250%77.076.8+0.2
7 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
8 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
9 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
10 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs53260%79.669.0+10.6
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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