Southern Sabres vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 84-80

22-21 18-22 19-15 25-22

Position#10

Record2-4

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game81.3

Southern Sabres 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record4-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game76.7

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Southern Sabres v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

101-89

101

+12

H31/07

SEABL

Dandenong

98-96

H06/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

62-85

-23

A07/08

SEABL

Canberra

103-90

103

+13

H13/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

94-78

+16

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

68-69

-1

A01/04

SEABL

Bendigo

63-78

-15

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

82-107

107

-25

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

69-93

-24

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

70-63

A22/04

SEABL

21-24

29-21

25-24

26-20

21-30

29-18

28-14

20-34

17-19

21-15

15-26

9-25

24-21

24-24

18-19

37-26

21-17

28-10

22-28

23-23

15-17

11-25

21-12

21-15

17-19

11-26

19-20

16-13

15-30

20-25

26-36

21-16

17-19

18-29

17-26

11-13

26-15

11-15

22-20

165.8Avg total

81.0Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	74.3	81.3	155.7	-7.0	33%
Season at home (1)	63.0	78.0	141.0	-15.0	0%
Season away (5)	76.6	82.0	158.6	-5.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	84.8	165.8	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	82.0	152.4	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	77.3	92.5	169.8	-15.3	27%
vs Similar (11)	79.9	79.8	159.7	+0.1	55%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	74.2	156.5	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

100-79

100

+21

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

93-74

+19

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

115-93

115

+22

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

82-84

-2

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

97-68

+29

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

97-98

-1

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

22-16

30-20

26-24

22-19

29-20

19-14

26-18

19-22

34-28

32-20

27-23

22-22

25-21

22-25

18-18

17-20

18-15

36-19

23-19

20-15

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

25-35

24-22

21-17

27-24

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

169.3Avg total

90.3Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.5	76.7	162.2	+8.8	67%
Season at home (3)	86.3	73.0	159.3	+13.3	67%
Season away (3)	84.7	80.3	165.0	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	79.0	169.3	+11.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	78.4	161.6	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.0	91.3	174.3	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.0	80.0	170.0	+10.0	68%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Southern SabresGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.6	34.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	13%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	27.3	49.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.1	18.5	42.6	+5.6	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.7	40.1	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	22.8	43.8	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	16.8	33.5	+0.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	19.3	44.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	64%	-

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

50-45

H31/07

SEABL

Dandenong

50-48

H06/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

38-34

A07/08

SEABL

Canberra

48-45

H13/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

49-27

+22

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

26-42

-16

A01/04

SEABL

Bendigo

28-45

-17

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

35-55

-20

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

34-38

-4

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

37-28

A22/04

SEABL

80.2Avg total

39.5Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	41.7	80.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	44.5	85.7	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-1.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	40.7	80.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	41.6	73.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.4	45.1	84.5	-5.7	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

52-36

+16

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-34

+14

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-48

+18

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

47-46

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

54-34

+20

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-57

-8

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

88.9Avg total

48.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	40.9	85.8	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	40.4	85.4	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	41.3	86.3	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	40.9	88.9	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.2	84.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	48.3	87.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.5	39.9	87.4	+7.5	86%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.0	24.6	44.6	-4.6	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.0	34.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	20.4	41.6	+0.9	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	21.2	40.5	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	20.6	39.4	-1.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.5	40.7	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	25.3	46.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	19.7	41.0	+1.5	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	43.4	83.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.4	43.5	85.9	-1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.5	43.2	80.7	-5.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	44.1	85.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.6	46.7	84.3	-9.1	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.3	40.7	82.0	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.7	83.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.6	84.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	38.1	80.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.3	43.0	87.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.5	40.1	82.6	+2.4	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Southern Sabres wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
19/06/16	Southern Sabres v Geelong	89-76
27/05/16	Geelong v Southern Sabres	87-80
16/05/15	Southern Sabres v Geelong	88-93

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/17	A	NW Tasmania	70-63
21/04/17	A	Hobart Chargers	69-93
08/04/17	A	Albury	82-107
07/04/17	H	Bendigo	63-78
01/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	68-69
25/03/17	A	Canberra	94-78
13/08/16	H	Canberra	103-90
07/08/16	A	Kilsyth	62-85
06/08/16	H	Dandenong	98-96
31/07/16	H	NW Tasmania	101-89

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80
21/04/17	A	Albury	97-98
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76
25/03/17	H	BA CoE	97-68
20/08/16	H	Albury	82-84
13/08/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	115-93
06/08/16	H	NW Tasmania	93-74
30/07/16	H	BA CoE	100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	1	5
Win %	33%	0%	40%
Points / game	74.3	63.0	76.6
Allowed / game	81.3	78.0	82.0
Point differential	-7.0	-15.0	-5.4
Avg total	155.7	141.0	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	85.5	86.3	84.7
Allowed / game	76.7	73.0	80.3
Point differential	+8.8	+13.3	+4.3
Avg total	162.2	159.3	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	4	4	0	100%	99.8	65.8	+34.0
2	Mt Gambier	6	6	0	100%	93.5	80.3	+13.2
3	Nunawading	6	6	0	100%	87.8	75.7	+12.2
4	Dandenong	7	5	2	71%	77.0	73.9	+3.1
5	Geelong	6	4	2	67%	85.5	76.7	+8.8
6	Bendigo	7	4	3	57%	82.6	78.3	+4.3
7	Ballarat	4	2	2	50%	80.8	87.0	-6.2
8	Kilsyth	7	3	4	43%	73.4	74.6	-1.1
9	Albury	5	2	3	40%	92.0	91.6	+0.4
10	Melbourne Tigers	5	2	3	40%	80.2	88.4	-8.2
11	Southern Sabres	6	2	4	33%	74.3	81.3	-7.0
12	BA CoE	5	1	4	20%	74.4	89.2	-14.8
13	NW Tasmania	6	1	5	17%	72.0	87.5	-15.5
14	Canberra	4	0	4	0%	81.2	92.2	-11.0
15	Frankston	6	0	6	0%	77.8	89.2	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Southern Sabres	22	18	19	25	84
Geelong	21	22	15	22	80

← all games of the day

Southern Sabres vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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