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Split vs Alkar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 16· Dvorana KK Split
Other2026-27
Meetings · Split v Alkar
15 Jan 2027
SPL v ALKA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
SPL80
ALKA64
17 Oct 2025
SPL79
ALKA62
21 May 2025
SPL96
ALKA81
15 May 2025
SPL97
ALKA71
14 Mar 2025
SPL103
ALKA66
21 Jan 2025
SPL86
ALKA60
13 Mar 2024
SPL89
ALKA68
13 Nov 2023
SPL80
ALKA65
13 Feb 2023
SPL91
ALKA67
04 Mar 2022
SPL78
ALKA87
27 Sep 2020
SPL84
ALKA71
16 Nov 2019
SPL99
ALKA69
22 Dec 2018
SPL97
ALKA49
19 Nov 2017
SPL79
ALKA54
15 Oct 2016
SPL85
ALKA74
30 Jan 2016
SPL81
ALKA67
22 Dec 2015
SPL76
ALKA54
03 Jan 2015
SPL67
ALKA73
25 Jan 2014
SPL79
ALKA68
24 Apr 2013
SPL84
ALKA74
22 Feb 2012
SPL83
ALKA65
27 Apr 2011
SPL55
ALKA72
13 Nov 2010
SPL78
ALKA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Split
4.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
77.2▼ 8.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
83.8▲ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
56%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.2
16.8▼ 2.4
🔥 Form · Alkar
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.0
76.6▲ 2.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.9
85.0▲ 4.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
55%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.1
18.2▲ 1.1
SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-25
23-21
11-18
15-24
23-16
22-19
21-7
28-24
18-14
26-20
22-15
17-13
24-19
14-21
19-15
19-15
18-17
21-16
28-14
22-19
6-19
23-18
18-22
24-16
19-18
14-23
16-27
32-22
10-31
16-26
22-21
20-24
16-23
21-16
19-12
19-22
19-18
31-21
19-21
156.3Avg total
79.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.072.0154.0+10.080%
Season at home (2)83.578.5162.0+5.050%
Season away (3)81.067.7148.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)79.776.6156.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.283.8161.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.784.6162.4-6.936%
vs Similar (6)82.378.7161.0+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.375.2165.5+15.2100%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A01/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A09/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#11
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
20-19
21-22
20-29
15-22
10-21
21-22
24-22
18-23
25-23
10-23
25-15
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
21-17
16-22
26-16
21-29
23-22
23-21
18-26
9-19
20-22
26-32
16-16
20-23
21-20
26-28
16-17
15-18
24-20
23-16
16-21
12-19
17-26
16-20
20-19
22-20
167.1Avg total
80.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.084.5163.5-5.517%
Season at home (3)75.382.7158.0-7.30%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)80.686.5167.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)76.685.0161.6-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.081.0152.0-10.019%
vs Similar (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Weaker (3)82.382.0164.3+0.367%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
SplitAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.4Avg total
39.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.478.5+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.284.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.378.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.479.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.540.680.2-1.136%-
vs Similar (6)43.540.884.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.237.581.7+6.877%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A01/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A09/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Premijer liga
83.6Avg total
40.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.777.6-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.138.175.2-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)36.643.179.7-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.483.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.489.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.240.575.8-5.319%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.580.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker (3)43.042.785.7+0.333%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.6
53.7%
54.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.9
34.9%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.8%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
71.8%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWLLLWWWWL
Alkar
LLLLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#10
+4.2
Net rating
-6.7
96.3
Offensive rating
93.5
92.1
Defensive rating
100.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
31.8%
66.5%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 93.5Defence92.1 · 100.3Shooting53.0% · 52.7%3-point %34.9% · 31.8%Ball care15.5% · 15.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Split   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Split wins
1
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Alkar v Split75-76
29/03/26Split v Alkar80-64
09/01/26Alkar v Split87-97
17/10/25Split v Alkar79-62
21/05/25Split v Alkar96-81
18/05/25Alkar v Split83-72
15/05/25Split v Alkar97-71
14/03/25Split v Alkar103-66
15/02/25Alkar v Split60-77
21/01/25Split v Alkar86-60
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPromitheas88-82
25/10/26AAlkar76-75
21/10/26ATrier80-100
18/10/26HZadar73-84
14/10/26HTrepca69-78
10/10/26ADubrava86-62
07/10/26AOpava74-68
02/10/26HKvarner94-73
26/09/26ADubrovnik81-66
28/05/26ACibona76-78
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADinamo Zagreb75-85
25/10/26HSplit75-76
18/10/26ACedevita Junior78-83
14/10/26ASpartak Pleven82-93
10/10/26HSkrljevo73-88
04/10/26ASamobor95-91 OT
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
27/09/26HCibona78-84
09/05/26ADubrovnik70-87
01/05/26AGKK Sibenka88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game82.083.581.0
Allowed / game72.078.567.7
Point differential+10.0+5.0+13.3
Avg total154.0162.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game79.075.382.7
Allowed / game84.582.786.3
Point differential-5.5-7.3-3.7
Avg total163.5158.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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