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Split vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-81
28-30 28-14 19-13 21-24
Position#2
Record27-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game73.6
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record16-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game76.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Quarter-finals· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Alkar
15 Jan 2027
SPL v ALKA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
SPL80
ALKA64
17 Oct 2025
SPL79
ALKA62
21 May 2025
SPL96
ALKA81
15 May 2025
SPL97
ALKA71
14 Mar 2025
SPL103
ALKA66
21 Jan 2025
SPL86
ALKA60
13 Mar 2024
SPL89
ALKA68
13 Nov 2023
SPL80
ALKA65
13 Feb 2023
SPL91
ALKA67
04 Mar 2022
SPL78
ALKA87
27 Sep 2020
SPL84
ALKA71
16 Nov 2019
SPL99
ALKA69
22 Dec 2018
SPL97
ALKA49
19 Nov 2017
SPL79
ALKA54
15 Oct 2016
SPL85
ALKA74
30 Jan 2016
SPL81
ALKA67
22 Dec 2015
SPL76
ALKA54
03 Jan 2015
SPL67
ALKA73
25 Jan 2014
SPL79
ALKA68
24 Apr 2013
SPL84
ALKA74
22 Feb 2012
SPL83
ALKA65
27 Apr 2011
SPL55
ALKA72
13 Nov 2010
SPL78
ALKA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 77
H14/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
87-67
87
67
+20
85avg 77
H17/04
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
69avg 77
A20/04
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 77
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
75avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
63avg 77
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 77
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
118-49
118
49
+69
118avg 77
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 77
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 77
A18/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
22-22
15-25
18-19
13-16
31-17
23-12
20-22
17-28
17-21
26-23
22-15
24-23
19-15
22-29
28-22
19-23
24-22
24-19
19-12
16-16
19-17
17-23
28-25
10-26
18-29
23-17
14-15
31-10
24-15
32-13
31-11
22-15
27-22
22-16
26-18
14-19
18-26
22-21
18-17
162.7Avg total
85.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.773.6161.3+14.177%
Season at home (18)92.371.1163.3+21.283%
Season away (17)82.976.3159.2+6.671%
Last 10 (10)85.277.5162.7+7.750%
Last 5 (5)86.474.2160.6+12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.483.0160.4-5.60%
vs Similar (6)73.380.8154.2-7.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.273.1161.3+15.284%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 65
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
63avg 65
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 65
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 65
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 65
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 65
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
54avg 65
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 65
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 65
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 65
H18/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
16-21
24-14
18-11
22-11
17-17
12-12
18-20
21-21
21-32
11-20
25-22
13-14
19-25
21-13
18-10
22-20
20-20
23-13
20-18
28-24
26-23
23-23
15-28
13-8
19-20
18-16
13-18
17-30
28-11
22-22
23-22
15-22
22-27
16-22
18-26
19-14
26-18
21-22
17-18
153.7Avg total
77.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)71.976.7148.7-4.846%
Season at home (17)73.169.8142.9+3.376%
Season away (18)70.883.2154.1-12.417%
Last 10 (10)77.576.2153.7+1.370%
Last 5 (5)79.882.8162.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.279.7152.9-6.444%
vs Similar (9)74.671.3145.9+3.267%
vs Weaker (4)72.063.8135.8+8.275%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
SplitAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/04
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/04
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/05
Premijer liga
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.281.2+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.537.381.8+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.180.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.842.677.4-7.820%-
vs Similar (6)37.243.080.2-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.537.182.6+8.579%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/05
Premijer liga
79.1Avg total
39.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.9-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.073.5-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.278.3-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.279.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.482.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.240.478.7-2.250%-
vs Similar (9)38.037.475.4+0.656%-
vs Weaker (4)33.830.864.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.4
37.8%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.915.2
84.9%
73.3%15.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.8
49.0%
53.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
73.3%13.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWLLWWLWL
Alkar
WLWWLWWLWW
#2
League position
#7
+10.8
Net rating
+1.5
118.1
Offensive rating
105.4
107.3
Defensive rating
103.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.8%
3-point %
34.4%
55.1%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 105.4Defence107.3 · 103.8Shooting55.1% · 50.1%3-point %37.8% · 34.4%Ball care13.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Split wins
1
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
18/05/25Alkar v Split83-72
15/05/25Split v Alkar97-71
14/03/25Split v Alkar103-66
15/02/25Alkar v Split60-77
21/01/25Split v Alkar86-60
02/11/24Alkar v Split57-80
13/03/24Split v Alkar89-68
31/01/24Alkar v Split86-91
13/11/23Split v Alkar80-65
13/02/23Split v Alkar91-67
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AAlkar72-83
15/05/25HAlkar97-71
10/05/25HOsijek118-49
04/05/25AZadar65-87
02/05/25AZadar80-81
28/04/25AMornar Bar86-76
26/04/25HDubrovnik93-89
20/04/25ADubai82-87
17/04/25HCedevita Junior87-67
14/04/25HFMP Beograd72-85
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HSplit83-72
15/05/25ASplit71-97
10/05/25ACibona90-85
02/05/25HDinamo Zagreb63-62
25/04/25AKvarner92-98
19/04/25HDubrava85-71
13/04/25AZabok71-62
08/04/25ADubrovnik78-95
04/04/25HGKK Sibenka69-60
29/03/25AOsijek73-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game87.792.382.9
Allowed / game73.671.176.3
Point differential+14.1+21.2+6.6
Avg total161.3163.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayLWLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %46%76%17%
Points / game71.973.170.8
Allowed / game76.769.883.2
Point differential-4.8+3.3-12.4
Avg total148.7142.9154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3532391%81.465.1+16.3
2 Split3527877%87.773.6+14.1
3 Cedevita Junior35221363%86.979.0+7.9
4 Cibona36201656%86.079.8+6.2
5 Kvarner36191753%81.581.6-0.1
6 Dinamo Zagreb35181751%85.384.0+1.3
7 Alkar35161946%71.976.7-4.8
8 Zabok35152043%80.786.0-5.3
9 Dubrava33112233%79.586.8-7.3
10 GKK Sibenka33112233%74.982.9-8.0
11 Dubrovnik35112431%79.083.7-4.8
12 Osijek3372621%72.890.0-17.2
13 Mladost2020%89.599.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2828192196
Alkar3014132481
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