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Split vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-66
27-20 26-17 24-11 26-18
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game72.9
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record9-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Alkar
15 Jan 2027
SPL v ALKA
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
SPL80
ALKA64
17 Oct 2025
SPL79
ALKA62
21 May 2025
SPL96
ALKA81
15 May 2025
SPL97
ALKA71
14 Mar 2025
SPL103
ALKA66
21 Jan 2025
SPL86
ALKA60
13 Mar 2024
SPL89
ALKA68
13 Nov 2023
SPL80
ALKA65
13 Feb 2023
SPL91
ALKA67
04 Mar 2022
SPL78
ALKA87
27 Sep 2020
SPL84
ALKA71
16 Nov 2019
SPL99
ALKA69
22 Dec 2018
SPL97
ALKA49
19 Nov 2017
SPL79
ALKA54
15 Oct 2016
SPL85
ALKA74
30 Jan 2016
SPL81
ALKA67
22 Dec 2015
SPL76
ALKA54
03 Jan 2015
SPL67
ALKA73
25 Jan 2014
SPL79
ALKA68
24 Apr 2013
SPL84
ALKA74
22 Feb 2012
SPL83
ALKA65
27 Apr 2011
SPL55
ALKA72
13 Nov 2010
SPL78
ALKA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 77
A07/02
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 77
A09/02
ABA League
Zadar
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 77
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#4
W
85-59
85
59
+26
89avg 77
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
W
77-60
77
60
+17
74avg 77
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
69avg 77
H28/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
70-59
70
59
+11
61avg 77
H03/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
79-61
79
61
+18
73avg 77
H06/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 77
A09/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
99-85
99
85
+14
92avg 77
A12/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-7
30-22
15-27
14-32
23-18
25-17
20-17
21-21
18-22
16-15
16-12
15-17
23-15
25-15
22-12
25-8
17-16
21-19
14-17
21-14
18-16
15-21
18-24
25-18
15-15
18-12
12-14
18-18
23-17
17-14
21-12
14-17
24-23
19-21
22-21
29-27
27-24
16-16
27-18
151.2Avg total
80.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.072.9159.9+14.278%
Season at home (11)87.570.8158.3+16.673%
Season away (12)86.774.8161.4+11.983%
Last 10 (10)80.071.2151.2+8.870%
Last 5 (5)79.872.4152.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.386.7158.0-15.30%
vs Similar (5)73.872.8146.6+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.570.7155.2+13.980%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
54avg 68
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
71avg 68
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
63avg 68
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 68
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 68
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-62 OT
72
62
+10
69avg 68
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
52avg 68
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
80avg 68
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
81avg 68
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 68
H12/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-22
11-26
10-23
19-12
22-21
18-14
14-17
11-19
19-17
19-15
18-18
20-8
11-24
21-19
17-11
22-9
17-11
20-20
18-9
21-14
13-16
16-19
8-9
8-25
16-17
19-21
17-14
27-13
12-20
16-20
26-8
30-23
23-14
15-28
18-31
13-31
16-18
23-10
20-11
141.3Avg total
71.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.076.4147.4-5.439%
Season at home (12)74.971.6146.5+3.375%
Season away (11)66.781.6148.4-14.90%
Last 10 (10)71.769.6141.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)74.273.2147.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.580.6151.1-10.125%
vs Similar (9)71.872.6144.3-0.844%
vs Weaker (4)74.867.2142.0+7.575%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
SplitAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/02
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A09/02
ABA League
Zadar
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H06/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A12/03
Premijer liga
77.7Avg total
41.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.777.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.036.875.8+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.778.8+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.677.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.044.779.7-9.711%-
vs Similar (5)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.533.576.0+9.173%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H12/03
Premijer liga
70.8Avg total
35.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.774.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.739.676.3-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.872.9-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.970.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.274.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.841.976.7-7.231%-
vs Similar (9)35.636.271.8-0.756%-
vs Weaker (4)39.232.071.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.1
49.3%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
73.3%14.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.1
54.6%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.1
28.9%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
73.3%11.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWWLWWWLW
Alkar
WLWLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#7
+13.0
Net rating
+3.2
111.5
Offensive rating
99.3
98.6
Defensive rating
96.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
28.9%
66.4%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 99.3Defence98.6 · 96.1Shooting51.6% · 49.9%3-point %36.5% · 28.9%Ball care16.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Split wins
1
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Alkar v Split60-77
21/01/25Split v Alkar86-60
02/11/24Alkar v Split57-80
13/03/24Split v Alkar89-68
31/01/24Alkar v Split86-91
13/11/23Split v Alkar80-65
13/02/23Split v Alkar91-67
25/11/22Alkar v Split88-94
04/03/22Split v Alkar78-87
17/11/21Alkar v Split57-83
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AGKK Sibenka99-85
09/03/25ASpartak Subotica79-82
06/03/25HDinamo Zagreb79-61
03/03/25HBorac Mozzart70-59
28/02/25HCibona72-75
15/02/25AAlkar77-60
14/02/25HCibona85-59
12/02/25HZadar71-70
09/02/25AMega Basket82-84
07/02/25AOsijek86-77
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HCedevita Junior72-70
01/03/25ADinamo Zagreb86-96
22/02/25HKvarner81-61
15/02/25HSplit60-77
14/02/25HCedevita Junior72-62 OT
12/02/25AKastela77-49
08/02/25HGKK Sibenka69-62
02/02/25ACedevita Junior67-69
25/01/25HDubrovnik73-64
21/01/25ASplit60-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%73%83%
Points / game87.087.586.7
Allowed / game72.970.874.8
Point differential+14.2+16.6+11.9
Avg total159.9158.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%75%0%
Points / game71.074.966.7
Allowed / game76.471.681.6
Point differential-5.4+3.3-14.9
Avg total147.4146.5148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2421388%78.364.8+13.5
2 Split2318578%87.072.9+14.2
3 Cedevita Junior2317674%83.675.8+7.8
4 Cibona2415962%84.078.9+5.1
5 Dinamo Zagreb23121152%85.184.6+0.5
6 Kvarner23111248%80.081.0-1.0
7 Zabok23101343%80.585.3-4.9
8 Alkar2391439%71.076.4-5.4
9 Dubrava2491538%79.084.5-5.6
10 Osijek2371630%75.683.8-8.2
11 GKK Sibenka2471729%74.882.8-8.0
12 Dubrovnik2341917%74.983.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split27262426103
Alkar2017111866
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