Split vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 86-76 (OT)

18-24 18-12 23-15 14-22 13-3

Position#4

Record8-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game74.0

Split 🏆

Hermes

Position#10

Record6-5

FormWWLLL

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game89.3

Premijer ligaRound 12

Other2018-19

Meetings · Split v Hermes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Split

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

78-75

A09/12

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

#11

82-76

H12/12

ABA League 2

Zabok

91-86 OT

A15/12

Premijer liga

Vrsac

#12

96-80

+16

A19/12

ABA League 2

Alkar

#11

97-49

+48

H22/12

Premijer liga

KK Dynamic

72-78

-6

H27/12

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

69-74

-5

A03/01

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

109-87

109

+22

H09/01

ABA League 2

Dubrovnik

86-70

+16

A12/01

Croatian Cup

Spars Sarajevo

58-96

-38

A17/01

ABA League 2

11-19

20-16

19-21

28-19

20-12

19-22

20-24

23-18

18-21

14-21

24-20

23-17

23-19

18-18

33-19

22-24

25-6

25-12

37-17

10-14

21-17

21-25

16-15

14-21

18-16

14-20

22-14

15-24

30-21

27-28

30-19

22-19

–

17-26

18-19

14-26

9-25

160.9Avg total

83.8Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.6	74.0	155.6	+7.6	73%
Season at home (5)	76.8	66.8	143.6	+10.0	60%
Season away (6)	85.7	80.0	165.7	+5.7	83%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	77.1	160.9	+6.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	81.0	159.8	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.8	75.2	148.0	-2.4	60%
vs Similar (14)	77.1	80.1	157.2	-3.1	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	85.6	72.9	158.5	+12.7	91%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

99-78

+21

H20/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita

93-103

103

-10

H27/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

84-79

A03/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

88-86

H11/11

Premijer liga

Bosco

#12

103-92

103

+11

A17/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

95-79

+16

H23/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

99-98

A08/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

90-102

102

-12

H13/12

Premijer liga

Osijek

77-79

-2

A22/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

73-89

-16

H12/01

Croatian Cup

29-21

28-23

23-15

19-19

30-22

15-36

20-18

28-27

20-18

21-22

23-14

20-25

12-28

24-17

22-19

30-22

33-27

19-18

20-22

31-25

20-24

24-25

25-18

26-12

25-24

24-29

25-23

25-22

25-28

28-28

17-26

20-20

18-21

19-15

20-24

20-19

–

178.6Avg total

90.1Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	89.2	89.3	178.5	-0.1	55%
Season at home (6)	89.3	89.7	179.0	-0.3	50%
Season away (5)	89.0	88.8	177.8	+0.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	90.1	88.5	178.6	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	89.4	176.2	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	77.6	88.1	165.6	-10.5	28%
vs Similar (4)	80.8	80.8	161.5	+0.0	25%
vs Weaker (6)	86.7	84.7	171.3	+2.0	50%

This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SplitHermes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	16.6	37.7	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	17.4	37.8	+2.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	18.6	40.2	+2.9	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.4	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.6	23.7	47.2	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.8	49.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	16.2	31.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.7	15.6	35.4	+4.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	23.7	46.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	23.6	42.8	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-

SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

31-35

-4

A09/12

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

#11

39-34

H12/12

ABA League 2

Zabok

32-42

-10

A15/12

Premijer liga

Vrsac

#12

41-37

A19/12

ABA League 2

Alkar

#11

50-18

+32

H22/12

Premijer liga

KK Dynamic

42-42

H27/12

ABA League 2

Rogaska

#10

32-36

-4

A03/01

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

57-49

H09/01

ABA League 2

Spars Sarajevo

35-45

-10

A17/01

ABA League 2

77.4Avg total

39.9Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	34.0	75.0	+7.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.9	37.6	77.4	+2.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.0	81.2	+5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	35.5	73.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.3	34.3	75.5	+7.0	73%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

57-44

+13

H20/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita

45-58

-13

H27/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

41-40

A03/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

36-45

-9

H11/11

Premijer liga

Bosco

#12

52-45

A17/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

44-49

-5

H23/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

49-53

-4

A08/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

53-56

-3

H13/12

Premijer liga

Osijek

37-36

A22/12

Premijer liga

93.3Avg total

46.0Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	43.7	83.8	-3.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	43.8	85.4	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	43.5	81.8	-5.3	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.0	47.3	93.3	-1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	47.8	94.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.6	45.7	85.2	-6.1	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.8	41.5	86.3	+3.3	50%	-

This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.8	21.0	34.8	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.9	18.4	42.3	+5.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.8	39.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.1	39.5	-2.6	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	17.2	36.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	19.8	38.2	-1.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	20.1	38.6	-1.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.6	34.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.3	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.3	21.2	45.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	39.4	77.7	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	36.6	74.3	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	42.1	80.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.3	39.6	81.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.5	41.0	72.5	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.9	21%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.3	38.0	81.3	+5.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	42.0	80.9	-3.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	41.9	82.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.0	41.1	87.1	+4.9	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	42.2	88.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.0	42.4	80.4	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.8	43.2	85.0	-1.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Split wins

Hermes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/18	Hermes v Split	71-90
15/02/18	Hermes v Split	85-94
22/10/17	Split v Hermes	94-67
25/02/17	Hermes v Split	69-76
05/11/16	Split v Hermes	91-61

Splitlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/19	A	Spars Sarajevo	58-96
12/01/19	A	Dubrovnik	86-70
09/01/19	H	Sutjeska	109-87
03/01/19	A	Rogaska	69-74
27/12/18	H	KK Dynamic	72-78
22/12/18	H	Alkar	97-49
19/12/18	A	Vrsac	96-80
15/12/18	A	Zabok	91-86 OT
12/12/18	H	Helios Domzale	82-76
09/12/18	A	Osijek	78-75

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/19	H	Gorica	73-89
22/12/18	A	Osijek	77-79
13/12/18	H	Cibona	90-102
08/12/18	A	Gorica	99-98
23/11/18	H	Zadar	95-79
17/11/18	A	Bosco	103-92
11/11/18	H	GKK Sibenik	88-86
03/11/18	A	Skrljevo	84-79
27/10/18	H	Cedevita	93-103
20/10/18	H	Zabok	99-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	73%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	60%	83%
Points / game	81.6	76.8	85.7
Allowed / game	74.0	66.8	80.0
Point differential	+7.6	+10.0	+5.7
Avg total	155.6	143.6	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	40%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Hermes

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	55%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LWWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	89.2	89.3	89.0
Allowed / game	89.3	89.7	88.8
Point differential	-0.1	-0.3	+0.2
Avg total	178.5	179.0	177.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	12	10	2	83%	88.7	73.5	+15.2
2	Zadar	12	9	3	75%	85.3	78.8	+6.5
3	Split	11	8	3	73%	81.6	74.0	+7.6
4	Zabok	12	7	5	58%	81.2	78.2	+2.9
5	Cedevita	12	7	5	58%	79.8	77.1	+2.7
6	Hermes	11	6	5	55%	89.2	89.3	-0.1
7	Osijek	12	6	6	50%	77.2	80.7	-3.4
8	GKK Sibenik	12	5	7	42%	80.2	81.9	-1.7
9	Alkar	12	5	7	42%	76.0	87.4	-11.4
10	Gorica	12	4	8	33%	81.9	82.8	-0.8
11	Skrljevo	12	3	9	25%	79.7	85.6	-5.9
12	Bosco	12	1	11	8%	78.8	89.7	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Split	18	18	23	14	13	86
Hermes	24	12	15	22	3	76

← all games of the day

Split vs Hermes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature