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Split vs Spars Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-60
19-16 28-10 21-18 22-16
Position#11
Record9-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game75.3
Split 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2020
Meetings · Split v Spars Sarajevo
20 May 2021
SPL90
SSA60
12 May 2021
SPL70
SSA76
24 Oct 2018
SPL60
SSA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spars Sarajevo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A22/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A25/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A26/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
126-93
126
93
+33
H29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
91-51
91
51
+40
A07/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H09/05
Premijer liga
Spars Sarajevo
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H12/05
ABA League
Spars Sarajevo
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A15/05
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H18/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
14-12
15-19
18-25
19-22
8-13
15-26
16-17
13-26
8-16
22-19
15-19
33-14
31-29
30-27
32-23
17-17
22-15
23-12
27-17
23-14
19-10
30-10
19-17
21-21
13-21
24-14
8-6
22-26
24-23
16-13
8-14
17-18
22-17
19-16
26-13
22-27
25-17
30-19
18-17
153.0Avg total
80.8Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.475.3145.7-5.032%
Season at home (14)72.474.8147.1-2.436%
Season away (14)68.475.9144.2-7.529%
Last 10 (10)80.872.2153.0+8.660%
Last 5 (5)81.266.6147.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.175.0146.1-3.950%
vs Similar (8)79.877.6157.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.070.9155.9+14.186%
This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spars SarajevoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H19/04
ABA League 2
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A21/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A23/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H25/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A29/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Studentski Centar
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H04/05
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#1
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A06/05
ABA League 2
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A07/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Split
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A12/05
ABA League
Split
#11
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H15/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-27
12-21
23-12
14-21
26-22
24-20
18-11
29-19
17-13
10-14
16-18
17-6
29-17
17-23
11-13
29-21
16-18
30-21
10-25
22-21
14-28
25-25
28-25
13-21
22-19
19-17
18-14
21-23
14-27
27-6
18-21
26-22
23-24
13-16
14-8
18-17
17-22
16-19
13-26
156.4Avg total
78.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
Season at home (1)64.084.0148.0-20.00%
Season away (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.777.7156.4+1.070%
Last 5 (5)76.280.2156.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.281.0156.2-5.850%
vs Similar (5)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
vs Weaker (21)79.868.9148.6+10.981%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
SplitSpars Sarajevo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A25/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A26/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A07/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/05
Premijer liga
Spars Sarajevo
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H12/05
ABA League
Spars Sarajevo
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A15/05
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/05
Premijer liga
77.6Avg total
39.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.539.680.1+0.952%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.941.385.2+2.665%-
Last 30 away (12)35.737.272.8-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.977.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.039.675.6-3.638%-
vs Similar (8)39.438.978.2+0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.940.083.9+3.969%-
This opponent (Spars Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spars SarajevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/04
ABA League 2
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A23/04
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#6
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H25/04
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A29/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Studentski Centar
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H04/05
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/05
ABA League 2
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Split
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A12/05
ABA League
Split
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H15/05
ABA League
82.1Avg total
41.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.738.380.1+3.452%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.038.280.2+3.838%-
Last 30 away (16)41.538.580.0+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.082.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.882.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.843.582.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker (20)43.037.580.5+5.560%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.7
51.1%
52.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
36.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.110.7
81.7%
75.0%10.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spars Sarajevotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spars Sarajevo: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.0
57.6%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.5
23.9%
36.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.514.5
64.4%
75.0%14.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 20 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWLWWWWLLL
Spars Sarajevo
LWWWLWWWWL
#11
League position
#12
-6.9
Net rating
-11.5
99.0
Offensive rating
99.3
105.9
Defensive rating
110.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.9%
3-point %
23.9%
71.0%
Assist %
75.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 99.3Defence105.9 · 110.8Shooting50.3% · 48.7%3-point %32.9% · 23.9%Ball care20.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 23.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Spars Sarajevo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
3
Spars Sarajevo wins
DateGameScore
15/05/21Spars Sarajevo v Split64-84
12/05/21Split v Spars Sarajevo70-76
17/01/19Spars Sarajevo v Split96-58
24/10/18Split v Spars Sarajevo60-63
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/21HCibona95-80
15/05/21ASpars Sarajevo84-64
12/05/21HSpars Sarajevo70-76
09/05/21HZabok66-62
07/05/21AZabok91-51
04/05/21AGorica89-61
29/04/21HDubrava126-93
26/04/21APartizan58-80
25/04/21AZadar58-78
22/04/21ASkrljevo71-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HSplit64-84
12/05/21ASplit76-70
07/05/21ALeotar Trebinje80-77
06/05/21AStudentski Centar72-71
04/05/21HStudentski Centar89-99
29/04/21ASiroki Brijeg99-97 OT
25/04/21HPodgorica74-59
23/04/21APodgorica72-64
21/04/21AZlatibor Cajetina82-74
19/04/21HZlatibor Cajetina79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%36%29%
Points / game70.472.468.4
Allowed / game75.374.875.9
Point differential-5.0-2.4-7.5
Avg total145.7147.1144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Spars Sarajevo
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game70.064.076.0
Allowed / game77.084.070.0
Point differential-7.0-20.0+6.0
Avg total147.0148.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda3127487%79.166.0+13.1
2 Buducnost3024680%80.171.6+8.5
3 Cedevita Olimpija2618869%81.474.9+6.5
4 Igokea2920969%74.871.2+3.5
5 Mornar Bar2819968%79.874.2+5.6
6 Mega Soccerbet26141254%76.875.2+1.6
7 Partizan26131350%77.073.2+3.8
8 Spars Sarajevo21150%70.077.0-7.0
9 FMP Beograd26111542%78.882.1-3.3
10 Cibona26101638%73.076.8-3.9
11 Zadar2691735%69.474.0-4.6
12 Split2891932%70.475.3-5.0
13 Borac Mozzart2681831%73.876.1-2.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2681831%67.274.5-7.3
15 Primorska260260%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1928212290
Spars Sarajevo1610181660
← all games of the day
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