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St. Marys (CA) vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 71-34
33-16 38-18
Position#24
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#271
Record5-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H20/11
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
32-33
37-26
20-35
33-34
21-45
18-28
31-38
44-20
45-35
38-38
33-40
24-34
36-29
43-23
27-34
33-32
31-29
20-14
30-36
130.0Avg total
65.5Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.361.2130.5+8.155%
Season at home (8)73.058.8131.8+14.262%
Season away (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)65.564.5130.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)66.865.2132.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)63.069.0132.0-6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)71.660.3131.9+11.376%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
67-62 OT
67
62
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/11
NCAA
Milligan
#460
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H18/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
40-70
40
70
-30
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A25/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
64-74 OT
64
74
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-31
32-23
33-37
31-29
30-25
58-37
28-29
29-29
21-34
19-36
38-40
30-40
28-31
35-28
27-28
35-34
32-27
34-39
30-38
35-37
133.2Avg total
65.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.166.9133.0-0.845%
Season at home (9)68.865.1133.9+3.756%
Season away (2)54.075.0129.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)65.367.9133.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)67.472.2139.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.669.5135.1-3.938%
vs Similar (9)67.667.0134.6+0.667%
vs Weaker (4)74.868.8143.5+6.050%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
St. Marys (CA)Middle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H13/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
18-28
18
28
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H28/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
20-14
20
14
+6
H17/12
NCAA
60.4Avg total
33.0Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.526.860.3+6.766%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.824.959.8+9.976%-
Last 30 away (12)31.629.561.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.027.460.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.259.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)25.633.459.0-7.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.125.560.6+9.775%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H14/11
NCAA
Milligan
#460
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H18/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/12
NCAA
60.9Avg total
28.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.064.1-1.927%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.329.761.1+1.639%-
Last 30 away (12)30.837.968.7-7.28%-
Last 10 (10)28.932.060.9-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.863.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.633.263.8-2.619%-
vs Similar (9)31.731.863.4-0.133%-
vs Weaker (4)32.237.069.2-4.825%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HUNLV69-67 OT
09/12/23AColorado State64-61
06/12/23HCleveland State70-57
02/12/23ABoise State60-63
28/11/23HUtah Utes71-78
24/11/23HDavidson89-55
20/11/23HXavier49-66
18/11/23ASan Diego State54-79
13/11/23HWeber State57-61
10/11/23HNew Mexico72-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HBelmont65-75
06/12/23HMissouri State77-73 OT
03/12/23HWofford64-74 OT
26/11/23HUMKC63-59
25/11/23AOhio68-80
24/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)40-70
22/11/23HUAB57-58
18/11/23HMilligan88-62
14/11/23HWestern Carolina64-66
10/11/23HStephen F. Austin67-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %55%62%33%
Points / game69.373.059.3
Allowed / game61.258.867.7
Point differential+8.1+14.2-8.3
Avg total130.5131.8127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%12%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %45%56%0%
Points / game66.168.854.0
Allowed / game66.965.175.0
Point differential-0.8+3.7-21.0
Avg total133.0133.9129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %27%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington State108280%78.562.6+15.9
2 Gonzaga118373%82.966.3+16.6
3 Oregon State107370%71.170.3+0.8
4 San Francisco128467%74.861.6+13.2
5 Santa Clara128467%78.372.2+6.2
6 San Diego Toreros128467%73.272.9+0.3
7 Loyola Marymount127558%76.068.2+7.8
8 Seattle116555%75.765.5+10.2
9 St. Marys (CA)116555%69.361.2+8.1
10 Portland126650%77.078.6-1.6
11 Pepperdine135838%71.472.8-1.5
12 Pacific135838%64.474.9-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
2 Louisiana Tech129375%76.162.2+13.8
3 Kennesaw State129375%86.776.1+10.6
4 Western Kentucky129375%80.573.1+7.4
5 Delaware118373%76.168.7+7.4
6 Missouri State128467%74.067.6+6.4
7 UTEP116555%78.970.2+8.7
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 Jacksonville State125742%66.662.7+3.9
11 New Mexico State135838%72.274.3-2.2
12 Florida International134931%76.575.8+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)333871
Middle Tenn. St.161834
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