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Middle Tenn. St. vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-73 (OT)
32-27 34-39 11-7
Position#271
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#198
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Missouri State
23 Jan 2027
MIDD v MISS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIDD90
MISS87
05 Dec 2023
MIDD77
MISS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
67-62 OT
67
62
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/11
NCAA
Milligan
#460
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H18/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
40-70
40
70
-30
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A25/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
64-74 OT
64
74
-10
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
40-31
45-21
29-36
22-31
32-23
33-37
31-29
30-25
58-37
28-29
29-29
21-34
19-36
38-40
30-40
28-31
35-28
27-28
35-34
130.6Avg total
65.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.065.3130.3-0.344%
Season at home (7)68.162.6130.7+5.657%
Season away (2)54.075.0129.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)65.065.6130.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)58.468.2126.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.868.9133.6-4.136%
vs Similar (11)67.367.7135.0-0.564%
vs Weaker (4)74.868.8143.5+6.050%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
40-27
30-25
21-29
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
137.5Avg total
72.0Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.468.0142.4+6.475%
Season at home (5)81.868.4150.2+13.4100%
Season away (3)62.067.3129.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)72.065.5137.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)76.469.4145.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.164.7126.9-2.657%
vs Similar (14)69.366.4135.6+2.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)73.364.4137.8+8.978%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
Middle Tenn. St.Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H14/11
NCAA
Milligan
#460
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H18/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/12
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.863.6-2.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.629.259.9+1.435%-
Last 30 away (13)30.837.568.4-6.78%-
Last 10 (10)29.731.361.0-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.460.8-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.533.363.8-2.814%-
vs Similar (11)30.531.562.0-0.927%-
vs Weaker (4)32.237.069.2-4.825%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.365.6+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.630.467.0+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.932.264.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.629.766.3+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.470.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.033.062.0-4.043%-
vs Similar (14)37.131.768.8+5.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.329.263.6+5.178%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Missouri State v Middle Tenn. St.75-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HWofford64-74 OT
26/11/23HUMKC63-59
25/11/23AOhio68-80
24/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)40-70
22/11/23HUAB57-58
18/11/23HMilligan88-62
14/11/23HWestern Carolina64-66
10/11/23HStephen F. Austin67-62 OT
07/11/23HNorthern Kentucky74-57
10/03/23AFlorida Atlantic65-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67
04/03/23ASouthern Illinois51-54
03/03/23HIllinois (Chi.)74-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %44%57%0%
Points / game65.068.154.0
Allowed / game65.362.675.0
Point differential-0.3+5.6-21.0
Avg total130.3130.7129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %22%29%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game74.481.862.0
Allowed / game68.068.467.3
Point differential+6.4+13.4-5.3
Avg total142.4150.2129.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty97278%79.362.6+16.8
2 Louisiana Tech86275%77.862.0+15.8
3 Missouri State86275%74.468.0+6.4
4 UTEP96367%81.968.1+13.8
5 Kennesaw State96367%85.777.0+8.7
6 Delaware96367%77.470.1+7.3
7 Western Kentucky96367%80.973.8+7.1
8 Sam Houston St.95456%75.272.7+2.6
9 Jacksonville State94544%69.462.2+7.2
10 Middle Tenn. St.94544%65.065.3-0.3
11 New Mexico State104640%71.874.7-2.9
12 Florida International103730%72.075.6-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Middle Tenn. St.32341177
Missouri State2739773
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