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St. Marys (CA) vs Oregon State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 81-51
36-25 45-26
Position#16
Record17-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#195
Record10-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Oregon State
21 Jan 2026
ST. 81
OREG51
01 Mar 2025
ST. 74
OREG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
35-31
38-30
50-45
28-27
35-31
33-33
45-40
34-25
38-20
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
42-28
40-40
25-32
29-30
142.7Avg total
76.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.765.0143.6+13.785%
Season at home (12)84.163.4147.5+20.7100%
Season away (8)70.567.2137.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)76.366.4142.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)79.069.0148.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.562.5125.0+0.050%
vs Similar (5)69.672.0141.6-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.863.5140.3+13.395%
This opponent (Oregon State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oregon StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
64-102
64
102
-38
H28/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
53-84
53
84
-31
A03/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H09/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H15/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-46
38-39
38-40
40-35
20-53
44-49
25-30
45-32
34-49
19-35
33-47
34-34
37-35
31-20
38-39
38-43
36-37
40-33
32-35
32-46
146.8Avg total
69.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.074.4145.4-3.548%
Season at home (16)71.372.1143.4-0.856%
Season away (5)69.881.8151.6-12.020%
Last 10 (10)69.177.7146.8-8.640%
Last 5 (5)70.273.8144.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.171.3138.4-4.250%
vs Similar (7)76.180.0156.1-3.929%
vs Weaker (7)77.474.9152.3+2.657%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
St. Marys (CA)Oregon State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.766.8+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.329.968.2+8.384%-
Last 30 away (11)32.232.164.3+0.155%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.168.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.873.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.068.0-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.829.666.4+7.182%-
This opponent (Oregon State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oregon StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
20-53
20
53
-33
H28/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
33.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.269.8-2.627%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.634.166.8-1.533%-
Last 30 away (9)35.941.076.9-5.111%-
Last 10 (10)33.041.174.1-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.673.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.135.166.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (7)36.137.173.3-1.029%-
vs Weaker (7)36.737.774.4-1.029%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Oregon State wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25St. Marys (CA) v Oregon State74-64
09/02/25Oregon State v St. Marys (CA)49-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ASanta Clara54-62
14/01/26ASan Francisco82-68
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
29/12/25ALoyola Marymount78-73
23/12/25HNorthern Iowa63-58
20/12/25HFlorida Atlantic88-75
14/12/25ABoise State67-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HPacific64-81
15/01/26HLoyola Marymount76-70
11/01/26APortland76-82
09/01/26HSeattle68-55
05/01/26AWashington State67-81
03/01/26APacific53-84
31/12/25HSan Francisco70-62
28/12/25HSanta Clara64-102
21/12/25AArizona State78-75
18/12/25HSam Houston St.75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %85%100%62%
Points / game78.784.170.5
Allowed / game65.063.467.2
Point differential+13.7+20.7+3.2
Avg total143.6147.5137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%83%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oregon State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21165
Win %48%56%20%
Points / game71.071.369.8
Allowed / game74.472.181.8
Point differential-3.5-0.8-12.0
Avg total145.4143.4151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga2120195%89.966.5+23.3
2 St. Marys (CA)2017385%78.765.0+13.7
3 Santa Clara2116576%82.370.5+11.8
4 Seattle2114767%75.167.7+7.4
5 Pacific2113862%75.869.2+6.5
6 San Francisco2113862%75.869.8+6.0
7 Loyola Marymount22111150%74.971.3+3.5
8 Portland21101148%78.179.3-1.2
9 Oregon State21101148%71.074.4-3.5
10 San Diego Toreros2191243%76.277.3-1.0
11 Washington State2181338%75.777.8-2.1
12 Pepperdine2161529%69.175.9-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)364581
Oregon State252651
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