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St. Polten vs Wels Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-89
6-18 22-26 19-24 18-21
Position#9
Record13-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.6
St. Polten
Austria
vs
Wels 🏆
Austria
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game72.9
AustriaSuperligaRound 2· NV Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · St. Polten v Wels
09 Nov 2024
ST. 54
WEL92
06 Mar 2024
ST. 65
WEL89
04 Jan 2024
ST. 68
WEL81
30 Apr 2023
ST. 90
WEL78
26 Apr 2023
ST. 80
WEL72
15 Apr 2023
ST. 97
WEL98
29 Dec 2022
ST. 80
WEL71
08 Dec 2021
ST. 104
WEL77
04 Dec 2021
ST. 79
WEL70
27 Feb 2021
ST. 79
WEL64
19 Nov 2020
ST. 81
WEL82
01 Dec 2017
ST. 66
WEL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Polten winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. PoltenAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolten
Date
Competition
BBC Nord
#11
W
83-63
83
63
+20
no box
H26/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 71
A29/12
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
68-81
68
81
-13
57avg 71
H04/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 71
A07/01
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
95-70
95
70
+25
91avg 71
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 71
H27/01
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 71
A04/02
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 71
H10/02
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
70avg 71
A17/02
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 71
H02/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
18-11
24-20
17-19
17-19
21-20
26-16
24-25
8-21
20-17
19-22
21-21
17-16
19-16
19-18
23-19
19-20
25-19
28-16
23-15
19-23
14-23
19-17
19-19
13-21
16-20
17-22
19-22
21-20
16-21
14-17
26-27
19-19
25-13
20-17
20-28
23-18
21-17
14-19
21-27
156.1Avg total
78.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.676.6157.2+4.057%
Season at home (12)80.478.6159.0+1.850%
Season away (11)80.774.5155.2+6.364%
Last 10 (10)78.877.3156.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)75.282.0157.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.379.3155.6-3.042%
vs Similar (4)76.578.2154.8-1.825%
vs Weaker (7)88.363.0151.3+25.3100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
116avg 74
H30/12
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
71avg 74
A04/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
53avg 74
A06/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
71-62
71
62
+9
66avg 74
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
W
71-66
71
66
+5
64avg 74
A21/01
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
78avg 74
A28/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
93-69
93
69
+24
97avg 74
H03/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
68-80 OT
68
80
-12
no box
A11/02
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
97-63
97
63
+34
96avg 74
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 74
H03/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
16-16
37-22
29-32
21-8
17-20
22-19
21-21
19-20
11-14
14-18
20-21
18-14
16-13
19-14
18-21
20-18
10-15
23-20
18-13
14-14
26-15
19-14
21-20
22-18
21-25
19-18
31-8
16-20
18-12
12-14
15-15
20-9
21-17
27-25
29-12
19-17
19-17
21-27
12-21
151.2Avg total
80.2Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.372.9152.2+6.361%
Season at home (12)84.071.9155.9+12.175%
Season away (11)74.174.0148.1+0.145%
Last 10 (10)80.271.0151.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)81.871.4153.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.781.0153.7-8.333%
vs Similar (12)72.273.8145.9-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.671.4162.0+19.391%
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
St. PoltenWels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. PoltenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BBC Nord
#11
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H26/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H04/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/01
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H27/01
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A04/02
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H10/02
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A17/02
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Superliga
74.2Avg total
37.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.6+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.982.4+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.935.475.4+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.774.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.339.377.6-0.947%-
vs Similar (4)40.839.580.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)48.931.780.6+17.1100%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H30/12
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A04/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A21/01
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/02
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/03
Superliga
68.4Avg total
36.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.873.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.633.673.2+6.069%-
Last 30 away (17)36.737.574.2-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)36.831.668.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.872.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.840.773.5-7.80%-
vs Similar (12)35.234.970.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.334.077.3+9.382%-
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
St. Poltentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Polten: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
51.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
71.9%12.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.1
50.7%
51.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
71.9%12.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
St. Polten
LWLLLWWLWW
Wels
LWLWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#5
+2.8
Net rating
+13.9
109.8
Offensive rating
108.4
107.0
Defensive rating
94.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
36.1%
52.0%
Assist %
71.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 108.4Defence107.0 · 94.5Shooting53.2% · 52.2%3-point %34.2% · 36.1%Ball care18.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 34.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ St. Polten   ■ Wels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
St. Polten wins
6
Wels wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24St. Polten v Wels68-81
11/11/23Wels v St. Polten88-76
03/05/23Wels v St. Polten80-61
30/04/23St. Polten v Wels90-78
28/04/23Wels v St. Polten67-60
26/04/23St. Polten v Wels80-72
22/04/23Wels v St. Polten71-67
15/04/23St. Polten v Wels97-98 OT
23/03/23Wels v St. Polten102-103 OT
29/12/22St. Polten v Wels80-71
St. Poltenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HGraz UBSC79-81
17/02/24AKapfenberg Bulls84-77
10/02/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes77-85
04/02/24ASwans Gmunden65-85
27/01/24HTraiskirchen Lions71-82
13/01/24HFurstenfeld95-70
07/01/24AOberwart Gunners78-69
04/01/24HWels68-81
29/12/23AVienna Basket88-80
26/12/23HBBC Nord83-63
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions71-82
17/02/24HVienna Timberwolves97-63
11/02/24ATraiskirchen Lions68-80 OT
03/02/24HVienna Basket93-69
28/01/24AKapfenberg Bulls80-63
21/01/24ATraiskirchen Lions71-66
13/01/24HOberwart Gunners71-62
06/01/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes64-73
04/01/24ASt. Polten81-68
30/12/23HFurstenfeld106-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Polten
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL57%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game80.680.480.7
Allowed / game76.678.674.5
Point differential+4.0+1.8+6.3
Avg total157.2159.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game79.384.074.1
Allowed / game72.971.974.0
Point differential+6.3+12.1+0.1
Avg total152.2155.9148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes2321291%83.068.9+14.1
2 Swans Gmunden2217577%84.972.2+12.7
3 Traiskirchen Lions2315865%75.668.7+6.8
4 Graz UBSC2315865%78.275.4+2.8
5 Wels2314961%79.372.9+6.3
6 St. Polten23131057%80.676.6+4.0
7 Kapfenberg Bulls23131057%83.983.1+0.7
8 Vienna Basket22111150%81.978.0+3.9
9 Oberwart Gunners2391439%75.175.1+0.0
10 Vienna Timberwolves2361726%70.080.3-10.3
11 BBC Nord232219%73.691.0-17.4
12 Furstenfeld231224%70.092.9-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Polten622191865
Wels1826242189
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