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Wels vs St. Polten Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-76
8-21 36-18 17-14 27-23
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game76.5
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
St. Polten
Austria
Position#9
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.2
AustriaSuperligaRound 7· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wels v St. Polten
08 Feb 2025
WEL73
ST. 53
13 Apr 2024
WEL76
ST. 87
11 Nov 2023
WEL88
ST. 76
03 May 2023
WEL80
ST. 61
28 Apr 2023
WEL67
ST. 60
22 Apr 2023
WEL71
ST. 67
23 Mar 2023
WEL102
ST. 103
22 Oct 2022
WEL87
ST. 61
02 Feb 2022
WEL69
ST. 50
21 Mar 2021
WEL72
ST. 77
06 Jan 2021
WEL83
ST. 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Polten winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A11/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A18/05
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
59avg 67
H01/10
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
65avg 67
A07/10
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 67
H14/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
61-92
61
92
-31
53avg 67
A22/10
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#23
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 67
A28/10
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
61-81
61
81
-20
48avg 67
A01/11
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
84avg 67
H04/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
12-20
18-18
20-19
17-23
24-21
18-17
22-19
15-19
14-27
26-22
26-32
17-17
15-14
16-24
12-19
19-35
22-18
24-20
21-9
18-22
25-12
19-19
21-12
16-25
16-23
14-20
15-24
19-15
25-22
19-6
25-20
17-20
17-21
5-27
22-13
21-14
18-22
20-9
21-20
153.5Avg total
75.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.876.5148.3-4.750%
Season at home (3)74.368.0142.3+6.367%
Season away (3)69.385.0154.3-15.733%
Last 10 (10)75.278.3153.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)74.673.2147.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.486.5161.8-11.118%
vs Similar (8)74.472.0146.4+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.180.3164.4+3.870%
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolten
Date
Competition
Wels
#4
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
A28/04
Superliga
Wels
#4
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H30/04
Superliga
Wels
#4
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
A03/05
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 79
H01/10
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 79
A08/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
65avg 79
H14/10
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
64avg 79
H21/10
Superliga
Salzburg
#6
W
94-54
94
54
+40
89avg 79
A28/10
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
106-66
106
66
+40
112avg 79
A01/11
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
62avg 79
H04/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
16-20
15-9
9-26
27-13
25-24
14-20
24-21
10-27
16-18
20-18
15-17
30-17
17-28
22-25
21-15
25-18
18-17
23-23
22-21
22-17
25-17
17-17
15-18
20-28
21-26
23-20
19-20
12-23
30-9
30-11
22-11
38-21
30-14
26-11
12-20
24-26
29-17
17-23
12-10
158.1Avg total
83.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.078.2166.2+9.883%
Season at home (4)83.581.0164.5+2.575%
Season away (2)97.072.5169.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.374.8158.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)88.871.8160.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.183.4162.4-4.333%
vs Similar (7)75.375.9151.1-0.671%
vs Weaker (5)89.871.2161.0+18.680%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
WelsSt. Polten
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H14/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/05
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H01/10
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/10
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#23
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/10
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/11
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/11
Superliga
78.2Avg total
36.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.078.5-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.277.6+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.679.2-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.478.2-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.277.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.842.778.5-6.99%-
vs Similar (8)38.935.574.4+3.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wels
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/04
Superliga
Wels
#4
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/04
Superliga
Wels
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A03/05
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/10
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A08/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H14/10
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H21/10
Superliga
Salzburg
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A28/10
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A01/11
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
Superliga
84.7Avg total
45.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.080.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.240.184.3+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.238.176.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.284.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)50.239.689.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.140.880.9-0.750%-
vs Similar (7)36.735.972.6+0.943%-
vs Weaker (5)50.236.887.0+13.4100%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.0
47.1%
51.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.9
30.0%
32.5%26.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.4
73.2%
71.9%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
St. Poltentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Polten: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.5%
51.4%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.6
36.5%
32.5%34.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.0%
71.9%13.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
WLWLWWLLWL
St. Polten
WWWLWWWLWL
#5
League position
#9
-1.0
Net rating
+19.7
97.8
Offensive rating
118.4
98.8
Defensive rating
98.7
46.1%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
22.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.0%
3-point %
36.5%
76.4%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 118.4Defence98.8 · 98.7Shooting46.1% · 55.7%3-point %30.0% · 36.5%Ball care22.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds38.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Wels   ■ St. Polten
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wels wins
4
St. Polten wins
DateGameScore
03/05/23Wels v St. Polten80-61
30/04/23St. Polten v Wels90-78
28/04/23Wels v St. Polten67-60
26/04/23St. Polten v Wels80-72
22/04/23Wels v St. Polten71-67
15/04/23St. Polten v Wels97-98 OT
23/03/23Wels v St. Polten102-103 OT
29/12/22St. Polten v Wels80-71
22/10/22Wels v St. Polten87-61
02/02/22Wels v St. Polten69-50
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HGraz UBSC80-65
01/11/23ASwans Gmunden61-81
28/10/23AVienna Timberwolves88-63
22/10/23AVienna Basket61-92
14/10/23HTraiskirchen Lions83-65
07/10/23ABBC Nord86-82
01/10/23HKlosterneuburg Dukes60-74
18/05/23ASwans Gmunden81-100
14/05/23HSwans Gmunden81-80
11/05/23ASwans Gmunden71-81
St. Poltenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HVienna Timberwolves82-76
01/11/23ABBC Nord106-66
28/10/23ASalzburg94-54
21/10/23HSwans Gmunden83-94
14/10/23HVienna Basket79-69
08/10/23AGraz UBSC88-79
01/10/23HKapfenberg Bulls90-85
03/05/23AWels61-80
30/04/23HWels90-78
28/04/23AWels60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game71.874.369.3
Allowed / game76.568.085.0
Point differential-4.7+6.3-15.7
Avg total148.3142.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Polten
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game88.083.597.0
Allowed / game78.281.072.5
Point differential+9.8+2.5+24.5
Avg total166.2164.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes660100%81.860.0+21.8
2 St. Polten65183%88.078.2+9.8
3 Swans Gmunden54180%85.467.6+17.8
4 Traiskirchen Lions64267%79.863.7+16.2
5 Kapfenberg Bulls64267%89.080.0+9.0
6 Vienna Basket53260%87.273.8+13.4
7 Oberwart Gunners63350%72.274.8-2.7
8 Wels63350%71.876.5-4.7
9 Graz UBSC52340%73.278.4-5.2
10 Vienna Timberwolves5050%67.682.2-14.6
11 BBC Nord6060%65.594.7-29.2
12 Furstenfeld6060%61.090.8-29.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels836172788
St. Polten2118142376
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