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St. Polten vs Wels Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-81
8-21 20-17 19-22 21-21
Position#9
Record10-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game75.5
St. Polten
Austria
vs
Wels 🏆
Austria
Position#5
Record9-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.5
AustriaSuperligaRound 16· Sportzentrum NO
Other2023-24
Meetings · St. Polten v Wels
09 Nov 2024
ST. 54
WEL92
06 Mar 2024
ST. 65
WEL89
04 Jan 2024
ST. 68
WEL81
30 Apr 2023
ST. 90
WEL78
26 Apr 2023
ST. 80
WEL72
15 Apr 2023
ST. 97
WEL98
29 Dec 2022
ST. 80
WEL71
08 Dec 2021
ST. 104
WEL77
04 Dec 2021
ST. 79
WEL70
27 Feb 2021
ST. 79
WEL64
19 Nov 2020
ST. 81
WEL82
01 Dec 2017
ST. 66
WEL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Polten winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. PoltenAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolten
Date
Competition
Wels
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
63avg 73
A11/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 73
A18/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
81-63
81
63
+18
76avg 73
A26/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
56avg 73
A01/12
Austria Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 73
H03/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 73
A07/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 73
H16/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
77-49
77
49
+28
74avg 73
A21/12
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
83-63
83
63
+20
no box
H26/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 73
A29/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-8
18-36
14-17
23-27
16-19
24-19
25-20
6-26
23-14
22-11
20-26
16-12
18-23
15-21
19-16
17-17
26-20
19-21
25-24
18-16
18-22
20-18
16-23
20-16
24-24
19-20
21-14
6-18
22-8
26-16
17-4
12-21
24-13
18-11
24-20
17-19
17-19
21-20
26-16
24-25
151.7Avg total
77.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.475.5157.9+6.967%
Season at home (7)82.177.7159.9+4.471%
Season away (8)82.673.5156.1+9.162%
Last 10 (10)77.774.0151.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)78.469.4147.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.183.5162.6-4.435%
vs Similar (4)78.574.5153.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (6)87.261.8149.0+25.3100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
102-73
102
73
+29
94avg 74
A18/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
42avg 74
A25/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
80avg 74
A01/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
68avg 74
H03/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
87-54
87
54
+33
72avg 74
A08/12
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#3
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
A10/12
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
110-74
110
74
+36
116avg 74
H16/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 74
A21/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 74
H26/12
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
116avg 74
H30/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-9
23-16
32-25
17-19
15-16
16-18
8-23
9-26
27-20
31-19
24-9
17-13
12-20
32-14
17-24
27-12
21-12
20-18
19-12
15-18
20-21
16-16
17-13
25-16
36-8
21-23
28-27
16-23
25-13
12-20
16-16
14-16
16-20
19-15
22-27
24-14
16-16
37-22
29-32
158.5Avg total
85.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.974.5154.3+5.460%
Season at home (8)84.573.4157.9+11.175%
Season away (7)74.675.7150.3-1.143%
Last 10 (10)85.173.4158.5+11.770%
Last 5 (5)87.477.2164.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.783.9159.6-8.129%
vs Similar (7)71.973.7145.6-1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.773.9159.6+11.780%
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
St. PoltenWels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. PoltenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wels
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A26/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/12
Austria Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H03/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A21/12
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H26/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
Superliga
77.4Avg total
41.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.379.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.539.883.3+3.662%-
Last 30 away (17)40.137.177.1+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.377.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.276.0+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.540.780.2-1.245%-
vs Similar (4)39.837.877.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)49.730.580.2+19.2100%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A18/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H03/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A08/12
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/12
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
61-24
61
24
+37
H16/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/12
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H30/12
Superliga
73.4Avg total
39.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.776.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.834.474.1+5.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.678.2-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.573.4+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.074.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.743.077.7-8.30%-
vs Similar (7)36.135.671.7+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.236.377.5+4.960%-
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
St. Poltentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Polten: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
71.9%12.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.4
55.2%
51.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
71.9%14.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
St. Polten
WWWLLWLWLL
Wels
WLLWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#5
+4.6
Net rating
+16.8
109.2
Offensive rating
111.8
104.6
Defensive rating
94.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
31.7%
48.9%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 111.8Defence104.6 · 94.9Shooting51.7% · 52.4%3-point %32.7% · 31.7%Ball care18.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ St. Polten   ■ Wels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
St. Polten wins
6
Wels wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Wels v St. Polten88-76
03/05/23Wels v St. Polten80-61
30/04/23St. Polten v Wels90-78
28/04/23Wels v St. Polten67-60
26/04/23St. Polten v Wels80-72
22/04/23Wels v St. Polten71-67
15/04/23St. Polten v Wels97-98 OT
23/03/23Wels v St. Polten102-103 OT
29/12/22St. Polten v Wels80-71
22/10/22Wels v St. Polten87-61
St. Poltenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AVienna Basket88-80
26/12/23HBBC Nord83-63
21/12/23AVienna Timberwolves77-49
16/12/23HGraz UBSC70-76
07/12/23ATraiskirchen Lions74-79
03/12/23HOberwart Gunners88-81
01/12/23ATraiskirchen Lions69-77
26/11/23AFurstenfeld81-63
18/11/23AKlosterneuburg Dukes71-84
11/11/23AWels76-88
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HFurstenfeld106-84
26/12/23HSwans Gmunden71-78
21/12/23AGraz UBSC69-72
16/12/23HBBC Nord110-74
10/12/23AKlosterneuburg Dukes81-78 OT
08/12/23AVienna Timberwolves87-54
03/12/23HKapfenberg Bulls78-71
01/12/23AKapfenberg Bulls91-74
25/11/23AOberwart Gunners56-76
18/11/23AFurstenfeld102-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Polten
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game82.482.182.6
Allowed / game75.577.773.5
Point differential+6.9+4.4+9.1
Avg total157.9159.9156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game79.984.574.6
Allowed / game74.573.475.7
Point differential+5.4+11.1-1.1
Avg total154.3157.9150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes1513287%82.566.9+15.7
2 Traiskirchen Lions1511473%78.168.7+9.4
3 Swans Gmunden1410471%81.973.0+8.9
4 St. Polten1510567%82.475.5+6.9
5 Graz UBSC149564%79.176.7+2.4
6 Wels159660%79.974.5+5.4
7 Vienna Basket137654%84.578.2+6.3
8 Kapfenberg Bulls158753%85.984.6+1.3
9 Oberwart Gunners167944%74.674.8-0.2
10 Vienna Timberwolves1421214%68.484.1-15.7
11 BBC Nord1521313%73.390.3-17.0
12 Furstenfeld150150%70.192.9-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Polten820192168
Wels2117222181
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