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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 60-61
22-31 38-30
Position#118
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game59.3
vs
Position#364
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H10/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
100-54
100
54
+46
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-45
47-50
34-20
39-23
36-29
46-40
31-28
33-45
38-40
36-42
30-34
37-26
33-32
32-38
34-35
32-36
27-26
27-27
54-22
46-32
140.3Avg total
73.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.359.3132.7+14.067%
Season at home (2)77.053.5130.5+23.5100%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)73.367.0140.3+6.350%
Last 5 (5)70.461.6132.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)67.870.4138.2-2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.968.4145.3+8.669%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
35-44
21-36
41-47
31-27
25-32
26-24
26-34
29-28
33-34
35-40
53-28
32-26
22-38
47-33
33-29
33-51
43-46
31-41
35-39
138.2Avg total
66.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)71.088.5159.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)66.871.4138.2-4.620%
Last 5 (5)72.874.2147.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)60.168.2128.3-8.113%
vs Similar (6)59.863.5123.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.5-2.5
St. Thomas (Minn.)Cal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/02
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H12/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.867.4+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.128.867.9+10.479%-
Last 30 away (16)32.434.466.9-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)35.831.166.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.865.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (10)30.731.562.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.631.469.0+6.256%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.731.359.0-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.630.659.3-2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)26.831.958.8-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)31.233.264.4-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.273.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)27.332.259.5-4.835%-
vs Similar (6)25.727.853.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
0
Cal Poly wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HNorth Central Rams100-54
11/11/23HIdaho State54-53
07/11/23ACalifornia66-71
07/03/23AOral Roberts65-70
06/03/23AWestern Illinois67-60
25/02/23ANorth Dakota74-82
24/02/23ANorth Dakota St64-73
19/02/23HWestern Illinois82-69
12/02/23HUMKC73-43
10/02/23HOral Roberts88-95
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AWyoming66-80
10/11/23ADenver76-97
07/11/23HLa Verne80-62
10/03/23AUC Santa Barbara54-64
08/03/23ALong Beach State88-68
05/03/23HUC Riverside72-73 OT
25/02/23HUC Davis52-58
21/02/23HUC Irvine56-59
19/02/23ACS Fullerton62-83
16/02/23HCSU Bakersfield62-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.377.066.0
Allowed / game59.353.571.0
Point differential+14.0+23.5-5.0
Avg total132.7130.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.080.071.0
Allowed / game79.762.088.5
Point differential-5.7+18.0-17.5
Avg total153.7142.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota Coyotes43175%82.571.2+11.2
2 UMKC32167%78.363.0+15.3
3 St. Thomas (Minn.)32167%73.359.3+14.0
4 North Dakota32167%82.080.3+1.7
5 North Dakota St53260%72.873.6-0.8
6 Denver52340%84.883.0+1.8
7 Nebraska O.52340%73.673.0+0.6
8 South Dakota St.31233%75.375.7-0.3
9 Oral Roberts31233%71.376.0-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego330100%93.369.0+24.3
2 Hawaii110100%92.073.0+19.0
3 CS Northridge43175%81.873.0+8.8
4 UC Irvine32167%75.068.7+6.3
5 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
6 Long Beach State42250%80.081.2-1.2
7 CSU Bakersfield42250%68.071.0-3.0
8 Cal Poly31233%74.079.7-5.7
9 CS Fullerton31233%59.767.7-8.0
10 UC Riverside31233%64.775.7-11.0
11 UC Santa Barbara2020%76.085.5-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)223860
Cal Poly313061
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