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Cal Poly vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 62-70
27-26 35-44
Position#355
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#311
Record9-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield
21 Jan 2027
CAL v CSU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CAL 108
CSU 76
01 Mar 2025
CAL 98
CSU 72
02 Mar 2024
CAL 56
CSU 68
15 Feb 2023
CAL 62
CSU 70
22 Feb 2022
CAL 60
CSU 61
21 Dec 2019
CAL 50
CSU 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A13/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H20/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
52-70
52
70
-18
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
36-65
36
65
-29
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-36
37-41
26-32
40-34
32-37
32-34
29-20
34-45
29-39
23-31
16-37
20-28
27-35
35-33
25-36
31-33
28-28
26-27
28-20
25-44
126.3Avg total
57.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)59.565.6125.1-6.124%
Season at home (12)63.164.4127.5-1.342%
Season away (13)56.266.7122.9-10.58%
Last 10 (10)57.668.7126.3-11.10%
Last 5 (5)52.264.2116.4-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)58.266.0124.3-7.823%
vs Similar ◀ (7)60.763.6124.3-2.929%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H12/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H14/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
46-76
46
76
-30
A17/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A22/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H27/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A29/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
H03/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
75-69 OT
75
69
+6
A05/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
22-27
18-30
38-22
19-27
27-49
24-39
34-37
22-40
36-39
28-45
41-27
33-35
37-35
19-29
42-32
43-24
30-34
27-39
42-40
133.1Avg total
63.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)61.464.6126.0-3.236%
Season at home (13)64.761.6126.3+3.146%
Season away (12)57.867.8125.6-10.125%
Last 10 (10)63.469.7133.1-6.340%
Last 5 (5)73.670.8144.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)59.368.6127.9-9.316%
vs Similar ◀ (8)61.462.4123.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (3)72.043.0115.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
Cal PolyCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A13/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H20/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
16-37
16
37
-21
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A11/02
NCAA
58.1Avg total
26.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.230.557.6-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.431.460.8-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)24.929.554.5-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)26.132.058.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)24.831.256.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)26.831.558.2-4.732%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)25.028.753.7-3.729%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H12/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H14/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A17/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A22/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H27/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A29/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A05/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H10/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H12/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
25.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.129.457.6-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.628.058.6+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)25.730.956.5-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)25.934.160.0-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.464.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.331.158.4-3.837%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)27.628.255.9-0.625%-
vs Weaker (3)35.022.057.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
6
CSU Bakersfield wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ACS Northridge53-64
10/02/23AUC Irvine54-55
05/02/23HHawaii56-69
03/02/23AUC Santa Barbara62-68
29/01/23HCS Fullerton36-65
27/01/23HLong Beach State52-70
21/01/23AUC Davis63-65
20/01/23HUC San Diego64-71
17/01/23AUC Riverside78-83 OT
13/01/23ALong Beach State58-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HLong Beach State69-79
10/02/23HCS Northridge73-58
05/02/23AUC San Diego75-69 OT
03/02/23HUC Riverside82-76 OT
29/01/23AHawaii69-72
27/01/23HUC Davis58-79
22/01/23AUC Santa Barbara58-76
17/01/23ACS Fullerton46-76
14/01/23HUC San Diego56-52
12/01/23HUC Santa Barbara48-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%42%8%
Points / game59.563.156.2
Allowed / game65.664.466.7
Point differential-6.1-1.3-10.5
Avg total125.1127.5122.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game61.464.757.8
Allowed / game64.661.667.8
Point differential-3.2+3.1-10.1
Avg total126.0126.3125.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara2420483%71.263.3+7.9
2 UC Irvine2517868%76.566.5+10.0
3 Hawaii2517868%66.961.9+5.0
4 UC Riverside26161062%71.569.0+2.5
5 UC Davis26151158%75.070.3+4.7
6 Long Beach State26151158%76.973.6+3.3
7 CS Fullerton26141254%68.264.4+3.8
8 CSU Bakersfield2591636%61.464.6-3.2
9 UC San Diego2581732%66.971.9-5.0
10 Cal Poly2561924%59.565.6-6.1
11 CS Northridge2662023%63.467.4-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly273562
CSU Bakersfield264470
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