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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-61
37-34 35-27
Position#139
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#186
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A18/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Denver
#300
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
84-48
84
48
+36
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
37-44
30-39
30-40
41-30
43-44
31-29
49-62
47-36
48-38
35-40
25-32
38-24
45-37
46-23
38-25
28-43
31-35
36-38
42-38
147.7Avg total
74.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.867.0139.8+5.860%
Season at home (3)81.761.7143.3+20.0100%
Season away (2)59.575.0134.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)74.373.4147.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)72.867.0139.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.779.9145.6-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.077.1151.1-3.143%
vs Weaker (8)87.862.9150.6+24.988%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#33
W
80-65 OT
80
65
+15
A12/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H19/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A25/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
72-52
72
52
+20
A26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A07/11
NCAA
Clark Massachusetts
#400
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A17/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-24
33-34
37-24
33-39
29-27
35-17
43-40
37-39
28-43
46-42
30-31
42-21
30-51
42-46
29-17
35-31
29-38
25-35
25-25
26-37
134.9Avg total
68.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.270.0130.2-9.825%
Season at home (1)64.048.0112.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)59.077.3136.3-18.30%
Last 10 (10)68.166.8134.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)62.666.4129.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.373.6134.9-12.315%
vs Similar ◀ (12)63.664.5128.1-0.958%
vs Weaker (4)59.052.0111.0+7.075%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
St. Thomas (Minn.)Merrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#351
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A18/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.370.8+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.931.472.3+9.676%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.968.8-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.969.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.670.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.937.069.9-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.935.071.9+1.957%-
vs Weaker (8)46.126.272.4+19.9100%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#33
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A25/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A07/11
NCAA
Clark Massachusetts
#400
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A19/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
30.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.930.960.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.129.160.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)28.932.661.4-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)30.532.062.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.632.461.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.234.664.8-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.129.759.8+0.442%-
vs Weaker (4)28.826.255.0+2.5100%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HTroy78-76
18/11/22AMontana59-78
13/11/22HSt. Francis Brooklyn84-48
12/11/22HChicago State83-61
08/11/22ACreighton60-72
27/02/22HNebraska O.95-74
25/02/22HDenver80-91
22/02/22ANorth Dakota84-74
19/02/22ASouth Dakota St.60-79
18/02/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes60-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AMontana51-62
17/11/22ATroy54-73
11/11/22HClark Massachusetts64-48
07/11/22ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-97
26/02/22ASt. Francis Brooklyn72-52
25/02/22ALIU Sharks74-85
19/02/22HSacred Heart80-79
18/02/22HFairleigh Dickinson64-44
16/02/22ASacred Heart70-63
12/02/22AWagner80-65 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game72.881.759.5
Allowed / game67.061.775.0
Point differential+5.8+20.0-15.5
Avg total139.8143.3134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game60.264.059.0
Allowed / game70.048.077.3
Point differential-9.8+16.0-18.3
Avg total130.2112.0136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver43175%74.268.2+6.0
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)53260%72.867.0+5.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%73.071.8+1.2
4 South Dakota St.42250%67.570.0-2.5
5 South Dakota Coyotes42250%67.076.2-9.2
6 North Dakota42250%66.579.8-13.2
7 Nebraska O.41325%66.276.8-10.5
8 UMKC51420%66.668.4-1.8
9 North Dakota St4040%69.587.5-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac550100%81.673.4+8.2
2 Iona32167%75.761.0+14.7
3 Siena32167%81.375.3+6.0
4 Sacred Heart53260%74.278.6-4.4
5 St. Peters42250%64.267.8-3.5
6 Niagara42250%59.566.2-6.8
7 Manhattan31233%72.063.0+9.0
8 Canisius31233%74.076.7-2.7
9 Marist31233%67.370.3-3.0
10 Rider41325%76.271.0+5.2
11 Mount St. Mary's41325%67.870.0-2.2
12 Merrimack Warriors41325%60.270.0-9.8
13 Fairfield4040%61.875.0-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)373572
Merrimack Warriors342761
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