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Wagner vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-80 (OT)
24-25 34-33 7-22
Position#33
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#228
Record9-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Wagner v Merrimack Warriors
25 Jan 2024
WAGN44
MERR60
31 Dec 2022
WAGN48
MERR58
12 Feb 2022
WAGN65
MERR80
03 Mar 2021
WAGN64
MERR59
02 Mar 2021
WAGN74
MERR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wagner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#74
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H07/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H18/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#228
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A23/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A04/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H05/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
44-38
34-31
47-45
41-25
54-39
38-38
37-37
30-28
41-29
35-23
34-31
37-31
–
38-17
16-35
35-32
44-32
39-23
30-34
142.5Avg total
76.6Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.262.2137.3+13.089%
Season at home (9)83.461.3144.8+22.1100%
Season away (10)67.762.9130.6+4.880%
Last 10 (10)76.665.9142.5+10.7100%
Last 5 (5)68.659.2127.8+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)63.261.8125.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)75.264.1139.3+11.191%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#163
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H15/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H22/01
NCAA
Wagner
#33
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H23/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A04/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
65-64 OT
65
64
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
35-47
33-30
33-27
18-29
28-33
30-31
20-26
32-42
31-37
28-30
29-41
32-39
35-37
24-29
29-40
28-24
29-33
28-27
29-33
127.8Avg total
60.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)58.564.3122.8-5.838%
Season at home (12)62.463.3125.8-0.942%
Season away (12)54.565.2119.8-10.833%
Last 10 (10)60.667.2127.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)59.868.0127.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)57.170.6127.7-13.58%
vs Similar (12)61.865.3127.1-3.642%
vs Weaker (4)58.254.5112.8+3.875%
This opponent (Wagner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.6-5.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.6-5.6
WagnerMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#74
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H18/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#228
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A23/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H28/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
38-17
38
17
+21
A04/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H10/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
35.8Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.529.464.8+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.528.966.3+8.673%-
Last 30 away (15)33.529.963.3+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)35.828.564.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)36.825.262.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.232.265.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)35.729.164.8+6.578%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#163
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H31/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
18-29
18
29
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/01
NCAA
Wagner
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A04/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/02
NCAA
61.1Avg total
30.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.129.960.0+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.528.560.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)28.731.259.9-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)30.031.161.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)28.029.857.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.833.062.8-3.231%-
vs Similar (12)29.728.958.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker (4)30.225.255.5+5.0100%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wagner wins
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/22HMount St. Mary's69-57
05/02/22HLIU Sharks79-64
04/02/22ACentral Connecticut State54-52
30/01/22ASt. Francis Brooklyn72-69
28/01/22HSt. Francis (PA)69-54
23/01/22AMerrimack Warriors71-57
22/01/22ALIU Sharks92-85 OT
18/01/22HFairleigh Dickinson95-64
15/01/22HSt. Francis Brooklyn81-76
07/01/22HBryant University84-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/22HCentral Connecticut State57-60
05/02/22ASt. Francis (PA)65-64 OT
04/02/22AMount St. Mary's53-69
28/01/22ABryant University67-76
23/01/22HWagner57-71
22/01/22HBryant University63-79
17/01/22HMount St. Mary's50-57
15/01/22HSt. Francis (PA)46-62
08/01/22ACentral Connecticut State66-57
31/12/21HLIU Sharks82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wagner
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game75.283.467.7
Allowed / game62.261.362.9
Point differential+13.0+22.1+4.8
Avg total137.3144.8130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayWWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game58.562.454.5
Allowed / game64.363.365.2
Point differential-5.8-0.9-10.8
Avg total122.8125.8119.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner1917289%75.262.2+13.0
2 LIU Sharks23101343%73.373.2+0.1
3 St. Francis (PA)2481633%69.673.5-3.9
4 Central Connecticut State2571828%62.572.2-9.7
5 Chicago State2461825%62.874.7-11.9
6 Fairleigh Dickinson2021810%64.978.8-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona2419579%76.369.7+6.7
2 St. Peters2011955%67.063.9+3.1
3 Siena2011955%65.869.0-3.2
4 Quinnipiac22121055%73.571.6+1.9
5 Niagara22111150%68.966.5+2.4
6 Manhattan22111150%71.672.9-1.3
7 Mount St. Mary's23111248%66.866.7+0.1
8 Fairfield23101343%69.366.2+3.1
9 Rider23101343%67.169.2-2.1
10 Marist2291341%70.067.8+2.2
11 Merrimack Warriors2491538%58.564.3-5.8
12 Sacred Heart2381535%72.375.3-2.9
13 Canisius2481633%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Wagner2434765
Merrimack Warriors25332280
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