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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs North Dakota Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#252
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#326
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game86.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota
10 Jan 2027
ST. v NORT
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ST. 66
NORT67
29 Jan 2026
ST. 80
NORT81
08 Mar 2025
ST. 85
NORT69
27 Feb 2025
ST. 86
NORT71
27 Jan 2024
ST. 64
NORT74
19 Dec 2022
ST. 75
NORT62
10 Feb 2022
ST. 70
NORT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#203
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
41-45
50-27
34-35
31-28
37-25
39-37
41-30
34-28
32-39
38-36
49-42
22-40
40-36
33-33
34-43
54-42
65-40
39-35
38-44
151.2Avg total
79.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Season at home (2)93.079.0172.0+14.050%
Season away (3)75.377.7153.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.072.2151.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.777.0145.7-8.30%
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.273.7158.9+11.576%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
50-85
50
85
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#347
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
48-35
44-42
39-49
31-44
32-52
42-29
41-38
28-34
39-32
30-38
32-32
25-41
25-44
42-45
51-45
40-38
37-54
38-33
33-47
154.1Avg total
73.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.886.8159.5-14.025%
Season at home (1)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
Season away (3)73.389.0162.3-15.733%
Last 10 (10)73.480.7154.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.283.8154.0-13.531%
vs Similar (12)81.478.8160.2+2.767%
vs Weaker (4)80.068.5148.5+11.575%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.1-5.1
St. Thomas (Minn.)North Dakota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#203
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.433.573.9+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.531.774.2+10.894%-
Last 30 away (13)37.635.873.5+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.372.2+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.067.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.433.774.0+6.786%-
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#51
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#347
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
35.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.173.3-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.873.1+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.039.573.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.973.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.938.271.1-5.231%-
vs Similar (12)38.537.876.2+0.858%-
vs Weaker (4)37.836.073.8+1.850%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AArmy77-79
12/11/26HMacalester119-82
08/11/26HWisc. Green Bay67-76
07/11/26AMinnesota62-76
03/11/26APresbyterian87-78
08/03/26HNorth Dakota66-67
06/03/26HSouth Dakota St.80-67
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMontana71-80
10/11/26AClemson77-92
07/11/26AWinthrop93-90
03/11/26AMinnesota50-85
09/03/26ANorth Dakota St62-70
08/03/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)67-66
07/03/26HDenver83-67
28/02/26ANorth Dakota St63-96
21/02/26ASouth Dakota St.83-91
20/02/26HUMKC85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.493.075.3
Allowed / game78.279.077.7
Point differential+4.2+14.0-2.3
Avg total160.6172.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game72.871.073.3
Allowed / game86.880.089.0
Point differential-14.0-9.0-15.7
Avg total159.5151.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St52340%77.283.0-5.8
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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