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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-50
36-22 27-28
Position#118
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#329
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A01/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
66-50
66
50
+16
A10/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Crown College
#412
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H17/12
NCAA
Wisconsin Falcons
#664
W
104-51
104
51
+53
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H31/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-29
32-35
41-14
24-37
38-22
37-49
30-25
36-25
33-45
46-39
34-26
51-40
51-17
53-34
41-14
29-31
32-33
45-23
38-36
37-31
135.2Avg total
74.7Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.861.2134.1+11.669%
Season at home (8)78.960.2139.1+18.688%
Season away (8)66.862.2129.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)74.760.5135.2+14.280%
Last 5 (5)82.257.0139.2+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (6)68.066.7134.7+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)68.264.0132.2+4.261%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#280
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H09/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
100-45
100
45
+55
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
33-45
44-35
27-39
26-29
43-34
39-43
34-40
27-41
33-21
22-50
30-33
54-13
46-32
22-33
36-28
27-44
34-43
33-26
34-38
137.9Avg total
68.2Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.673.1144.7-1.429%
Season at home (7)78.467.0145.4+11.443%
Season away (7)64.979.1144.0-14.314%
Last 10 (10)68.269.7137.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)67.668.0135.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.476.1139.5-12.718%
vs Similar (17)63.866.8130.6-3.029%
vs Weaker (1)100.045.0145.0+55.0100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
St. Thomas (Minn.)Sacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A01/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A10/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Crown College
#412
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Wisconsin Falcons
#664
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
35.7Scored
26.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.164.5+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.028.464.4+7.669%-
Last 30 away (17)33.131.464.5+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)35.726.161.8+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.225.264.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (6)31.731.363.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)33.229.762.9+3.550%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H09/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
54-13
54
13
+41
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/12
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H04/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.666.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.431.166.5+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)29.338.167.4-8.913%-
Last 10 (10)33.234.467.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.264.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.237.568.7-6.427%-
vs Similar (17)29.934.364.2-4.441%-
vs Weaker (1)54.013.067.0+41.0100%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AIdaho75-67
31/12/23HUMKC77-56
30/12/23ANorth Dakota70-45
22/12/23HWisconsin Falcons104-51
17/12/23HCrown College85-66
15/12/23AMarquette79-84
10/12/23AChicago State66-50
07/12/23HWisc. Milwaukee75-71
01/12/23AWestern Michigan65-51
25/11/23AWisc. Green Bay51-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HUMKC67-64
30/12/23AEast. Washington61-87
29/12/23AIdaho58-61
21/12/23HBethesda100-45
19/12/23HUC San Diego52-83
09/12/23HCS Fullerton60-62
03/12/23ALong Beach State73-83
27/11/23AUC Davis69-63
22/11/23HAustin Peay71-74
20/11/23HCSU Bakersfield71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game72.878.966.8
Allowed / game61.260.262.2
Point differential+11.6+18.6+4.5
Avg total134.1139.1129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game71.678.464.9
Allowed / game73.167.079.1
Point differential-1.4+11.4-14.3
Avg total144.7145.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1611569%72.861.2+11.6
2 Denver1610662%85.177.9+7.2
3 South Dakota St.168850%75.870.4+5.4
4 Nebraska O.168850%72.969.1+3.9
5 South Dakota Coyotes168850%77.175.5+1.6
6 Oral Roberts147750%75.073.9+1.1
7 North Dakota178947%73.272.0+1.2
8 North Dakota St167944%77.173.5+3.6
9 UMKC1661038%70.069.6+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State1410471%76.460.7+15.7
2 Portland State1410471%72.969.0+3.9
3 Montana149564%76.672.0+4.6
4 Northern Colorado137654%79.677.8+1.8
5 East. Washington158753%79.173.2+5.9
6 Idaho157847%71.469.5+1.9
7 Northern Arizona157847%66.676.7-10.1
8 Montana State156940%72.574.7-2.1
9 Idaho State1441029%69.169.5-0.4
10 Sacramento State1441029%71.673.1-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)362763
Sacramento State222850
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