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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-56
32-33 45-23
Position#118
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#200
Record6-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC
01 Feb 2026
ST. 99
UMKC64
01 Mar 2025
ST. 65
UMKC59
31 Dec 2023
ST. 77
UMKC56
11 Feb 2023
ST. 73
UMKC43
08 Feb 2022
ST. 67
UMKC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A01/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
66-50
66
50
+16
A10/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Crown College
#412
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H17/12
NCAA
Wisconsin Falcons
#664
W
104-51
104
51
+53
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
31-30
41-34
35-36
19-29
32-35
41-14
24-37
38-22
37-49
30-25
36-25
33-45
46-39
34-26
51-40
51-17
53-34
41-14
29-31
135.1Avg total
73.3Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.461.2133.6+11.164%
Season at home (7)79.160.9140.0+18.386%
Season away (7)65.661.6127.1+4.043%
Last 10 (10)73.361.8135.1+11.570%
Last 5 (5)80.859.2140.0+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (6)68.066.7134.7+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)68.764.9133.6+3.861%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H24/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A09/12
NCAA
Tabor
#442
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H13/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
34-35
38-36
33-35
31-28
28-35
38-17
36-27
30-44
39-44
28-28
44-39
35-34
45-23
34-45
35-34
27-36
30-34
38-23
39-37
140.1Avg total
70.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.469.3140.7+2.143%
Season at home (7)78.960.0138.9+18.971%
Season away (7)64.078.6142.6-14.614%
Last 10 (10)70.469.7140.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)71.066.6137.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.673.4136.0-10.825%
vs Similar (11)65.376.4141.6-11.118%
vs Weaker (5)72.256.4128.6+15.880%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.0+2.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.0+2.0
St. Thomas (Minn.)UMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A01/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A10/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NCAA
Crown College
#412
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Wisconsin Falcons
#664
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A30/12
NCAA
62.1Avg total
35.9Scored
26.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.929.864.7+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.228.365.5+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)32.831.163.9+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)35.926.262.1+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.825.463.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (6)31.731.363.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)34.129.263.3+4.856%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
38-17
38
17
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A09/12
NCAA
Tabor
#442
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H30/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.664.5-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.931.363.2+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)29.936.166.1-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.266.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.265.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.234.864.1-5.625%-
vs Similar (11)28.437.165.5-8.79%-
vs Weaker (5)34.823.658.4+11.280%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
UMKC wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ANorth Dakota70-45
22/12/23HWisconsin Falcons104-51
17/12/23HCrown College85-66
15/12/23AMarquette79-84
10/12/23AChicago State66-50
07/12/23HWisc. Milwaukee75-71
01/12/23AWestern Michigan65-51
25/11/23AWisc. Green Bay51-64
19/11/23HPortland State76-70
19/11/23ACalifornia Baptist62-66
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HOral Roberts77-60
21/12/23AEast Tennessee St57-70
16/12/23ABowling Green69-79
13/12/23HTabor80-57
09/12/23ALindenwood72-67
06/12/23AKansas69-88
01/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State74-44
26/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.59-63
25/11/23HBrown83-93 OT
24/11/23HNC Greensboro64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game72.479.165.6
Allowed / game61.260.961.6
Point differential+11.1+18.3+4.0
Avg total133.6140.0127.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game71.478.964.0
Allowed / game69.360.078.6
Point differential+2.1+18.9-14.6
Avg total140.7138.9142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)149564%72.461.2+11.1
2 Denver149564%84.376.8+7.5
3 South Dakota Coyotes148657%78.974.9+4.0
4 North Dakota148657%73.169.5+3.6
5 North Dakota St147750%76.070.6+5.4
6 South Dakota St.136746%74.771.5+3.2
7 UMKC146843%71.469.3+2.1
8 Nebraska O.146843%72.871.4+1.4
9 Oral Roberts125742%73.272.8+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)324577
UMKC332356
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