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Stadio Italiano vs Aleman Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 58-68
14-21 15-19 24-12 5-16
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game64.4
Stadio Italiano
Chile
vs
Aleman 🏆
Chile
Position#3
Record7-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game72.1
ChileLNB 2· Stadio Italiano
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stadio Italiano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
W
68-52
68
52
+16
62avg 57
A13/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 57
H20/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
37avg 57
A21/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
67-53
67
53
+14
57avg 57
A28/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
66-60
66
60
+6
61avg 57
H04/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
38avg 57
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
96-56
96
56
+40
97avg 57
H12/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A25/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
49avg 57
A01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 57
A09/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
14-16
20-15
17-7
24-13
15-18
26-20
13-24
9-20
16-14
16-13
11-12
23-15
16-15
12-12
16-11
19-13
14-12
11-17
22-18
12-19
15-6
16-17
8-20
15-9
30-21
25-10
26-16
14-23
8-19
20-29
22-20
16-9
15-17
14-10
16-18
13-11
15-12
24-24
15-21
130.0Avg total
67.0Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.164.4131.4+2.757%
Season at home (7)72.766.0138.7+6.771%
Season away (7)61.462.7124.1-1.343%
Last 10 (10)67.063.0130.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)67.866.2134.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.479.8143.2-16.529%
vs Similar ◀ (5)64.059.0123.0+5.060%
vs Weaker (8)70.059.6129.6+10.475%
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
72avg 63
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 63
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 63
A01/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 63
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 63
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 63
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 63
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 63
H08/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
29-18
19-14
6-9
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
151.5Avg total
76.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.472.1146.5+2.450%
Season at home (8)73.968.1142.0+5.862%
Season away (6)75.277.3152.5-2.233%
Last 10 (10)76.974.6151.5+2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.073.2148.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)58.685.1143.6-26.512%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.776.9150.6-3.129%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.7136.5+11.283%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Stadio ItalianoAleman
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A13/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A21/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A28/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A25/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A09/06
LNB 2
61.6Avg total
32.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.632.163.6-0.558%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.031.768.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (10)26.732.459.1-5.750%-
Last 10 (10)32.029.661.6+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.259.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.237.467.6-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.428.059.4+3.480%-
vs Weaker (6)33.528.361.8+5.283%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
78.4Avg total
41.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.041.074.0-8.029%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.140.274.3-6.127%-
Last 30 away (13)31.741.873.5-10.231%-
Last 10 (9)41.037.478.4+3.656%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)27.945.773.6-17.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.335.473.7+2.957%-
vs Weaker (5)42.033.675.6+8.460%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.617.2
39.4%
44.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.5
31.1%
28.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.411.9
64.7%
63.6%11.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.4
48.0%
44.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.4
25.9%
28.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.312.3
63.7%
63.6%12.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stadio Italiano
LWLWLWWLWW
Aleman
LLLWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#3
+4.7
Net rating
-0.5
85.2
Offensive rating
91.8
80.6
Defensive rating
92.3
41.8%
Effective FG%
44.2%
41.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.1%
3-point %
25.9%
59.5%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 91.8Defence80.6 · 92.3Shooting41.8% · 44.2%3-point %31.1% · 25.9%Ball care19.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Stadio Italiano   ■ Aleman
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stadio Italiano wins
0
Aleman wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Aleman v Stadio Italiano52-68
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/24ASergio Ceppi67-68
01/06/24AMunicipal Chillan61-54
25/05/24AColo Colo64-91
12/05/24HArabe Valparaiso96-56
12/05/24ALuis Matte Larrain51-62
04/05/24HBrisas66-60
28/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe67-53
21/04/24ABoston C. C.52-59
20/04/24HTruenos De Talca78-75
13/04/24AAleman68-52
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
20/04/24HArturo Prat San Felipe78-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game67.172.761.4
Allowed / game64.466.062.7
Point differential+2.7+6.7-1.3
Avg total131.4138.7124.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game74.473.975.2
Allowed / game72.168.177.3
Point differential+2.4+5.8-2.2
Avg total146.5142.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo14140100%85.564.9+20.6
2 Sergio Ceppi1510567%74.772.5+2.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Stadio Italiano148657%67.164.4+2.7
5 Truenos De Talca148657%70.868.1+2.6
6 Aleman147750%74.472.1+2.4
7 Arabe Valparaiso147750%66.770.3-3.6
8 Luis Matte Larrain146843%69.171.0-1.9
9 Quilpue Basquetbol146843%66.870.1-3.3
10 Municipal Chillan1661038%61.867.9-6.2
11 Brisas1321115%67.273.2-6.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1421214%72.585.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stadio Italiano141524558
Aleman2119121668
← all games of the day
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