PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Stadio Italiano vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-59
22-9 16-17 26-16 9-17
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game78.5
ChileLNB 2· Stadio Italiano
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stadio Italiano v Sergio Ceppi
03 May 2025
STAD73
SERG59
06 Apr 2024
STAD67
SERG56
17 Jun 2023
STAD72
SERG76
18 Jun 2022
STAD76
SERG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
62-48
62
48
+14
54avg 60
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 60
H04/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 60
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
56avg 60
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
44avg 60
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
34avg 60
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 60
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 60
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 60
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
63-65 OT
63
65
-2
47avg 60
A26/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-6
16-15
19-15
19-12
18-14
10-13
10-17
13-17
12-14
16-19
22-13
20-18
18-19
20-21
16-22
16-15
14-17
11-26
15-18
16-15
14-26
23-20
14-28
6-17
27-17
24-21
18-10
21-21
15-12
14-21
21-20
21-15
20-26
20-22
8-25
26-13
11-23
17-9
18-14
14-14
136.9Avg total
66.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.572.0146.5+2.550%
Season at home (2)72.577.0149.5-4.550%
Season away (2)76.567.0143.5+9.550%
Last 10 (10)66.470.5136.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.371.8136.1-7.442%
vs Similar (8)65.663.8129.4+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.158.7130.8+13.480%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 57
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
67avg 57
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
48avg 57
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 57
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
45avg 57
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 57
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 57
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
76-65 OT
76
65
+11
63avg 57
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
49avg 57
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
71-90
71
90
-19
52avg 57
A26/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-13
14-12
14-16
19-18
21-18
18-12
21-23
11-15
19-18
15-19
15-16
23-24
21-20
19-17
15-30
12-23
23-14
18-21
9-18
16-18
14-15
8-20
12-20
17-27
21-24
10-18
21-21
10-13
25-16
15-17
15-19
19-16
13-13
9-18
18-22
22-22
18-22
14-17
17-29
141.9Avg total
66.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.878.5147.2-9.825%
Season at home (2)64.079.5143.5-15.50%
Season away (2)73.577.5151.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)66.475.5141.9-9.120%
Last 5 (5)65.077.4142.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.581.4149.9-12.815%
vs Similar (11)71.565.2136.6+6.373%
vs Weaker (6)80.075.3155.3+4.767%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.7-5.7
Stadio ItalianoSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H04/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
68.9Avg total
32.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.767.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.233.969.1+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)33.033.666.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.168.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.236.068.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (8)32.932.665.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.631.868.4+4.870%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
72.6Avg total
35.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.872.9-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.172.3+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.038.673.6-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.072.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.272.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.241.076.2-5.815%-
vs Similar (11)35.133.568.6+1.545%-
vs Weaker (6)40.033.873.8+6.2100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.416.9
40.8%
46.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.0
28.8%
27.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.1
63.7%
64.0%12.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.416.7
38.5%
46.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.1
27.4%
27.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.910.8
60.3%
64.0%10.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stadio Italiano
LLWWLLLWLW
Sergio Ceppi
LLWLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#17
-4.0
Net rating
-11.7
85.9
Offensive rating
79.6
89.9
Defensive rating
91.3
41.7%
Effective FG%
39.5%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.8%
3-point %
27.4%
56.1%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 79.6Defence89.9 · 91.3Shooting41.7% · 39.5%3-point %28.8% · 27.4%Ball care19.4% · 21.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Stadio Italiano   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stadio Italiano wins
4
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ABrisas63-65 OT
18/04/25HLuis Matte Larrain74-86
05/04/25HBoston C. C.71-68
28/03/25ASergio Ceppi90-69
24/08/24HColo Colo57-91
19/08/24AColo Colo56-76
18/08/24AColo Colo70-77
11/08/24ATruenos De Talca70-64
04/08/24HTruenos De Talca51-61
03/08/24HTruenos De Talca62-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ALuis Matte Larrain71-90
13/04/25HBoston C. C.59-69
04/04/25ABrisas76-65 OT
28/03/25HStadio Italiano69-90
04/08/24HColo Colo50-73
29/07/24AColo Colo62-76
28/07/24AColo Colo78-91
20/07/24AColo Colo60-68
14/07/24HArabe Valparaiso79-71
06/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.572.576.5
Allowed / game72.077.067.0
Point differential+2.5-4.5+9.5
Avg total146.5149.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game68.864.073.5
Allowed / game78.579.577.5
Point differential-9.8-15.5-4.0
Avg total147.2143.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt550100%89.865.2+24.6
2 Truenos De Talca440100%76.066.2+9.8
3 Liceo Curico43175%61.849.2+12.5
4 Boston C. C.43175%75.563.2+12.2
5 Aleman43175%68.258.2+10.0
6 Luis Matte Larrain43175%76.068.8+7.2
7 Illapel43175%73.570.0+3.5
8 Quilpue Basquetbol53260%75.868.8+7.0
9 Arabe Valparaiso53260%71.465.4+6.0
10 Omega53260%52.255.0-2.8
11 CDSB Constitucion42250%78.272.5+5.8
12 Stadio Italiano42250%74.572.0+2.5
13 The Sharks31233%71.076.7-5.7
14 Sergio Ceppi41325%68.878.5-9.8
15 Municipal Chillan41325%49.861.0-11.2
16 Brisas41325%61.273.5-12.2
17 Regional Temuco51420%71.284.4-13.2
18 CD Huachipato5050%59.676.2-16.6
19 Tinguiririca4040%61.578.2-16.8
20 Arturo Prat San Felipe3030%65.786.3-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stadio Italiano221626973
Sergio Ceppi917161759
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.