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Stadio Italiano vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 23:45
Final 62-48
8-6 16-15 19-15 19-12
Position#4
Record15-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game63.5
Stadio Italiano 🏆
Chile
vs
Truenos De Talca
Chile
Position#2
Record16-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game67.2
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Semi-finals· Stadio Italiano
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca
04 Aug 2024
STAD51
TRUE61
03 Aug 2024
STAD62
TRUE48
19 Apr 2024
STAD78
TRUE75
03 Dec 2021
STAD68
TRUE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
58-68
58
68
-10
51avg 60
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 60
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-47
97
47
+50
100avg 60
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
58avg 60
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
64-45
64
45
+19
63avg 60
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
52avg 60
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 60
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
46avg 60
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
46avg 60
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
71avg 60
A28/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
15-19
24-12
5-16
21-24
19-17
23-18
13-13
28-17
20-15
18-6
31-9
22-12
9-16
16-8
10-18
21-9
16-11
12-13
15-12
20-16
10-17
19-7
11-19
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
17-21
14-23
17-19
14-15
12-18
18-14
20-17
8-17
36-17
20-23
6-13
11-13
130.7Avg total
68.4Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.663.5131.1+4.162%
Season at home (11)72.764.4137.1+8.473%
Season away (13)63.362.8126.1+0.554%
Last 10 (10)68.462.3130.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)66.467.4133.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.781.6145.4-17.927%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker (11)70.958.7129.6+12.282%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 64
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 64
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 64
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 64
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 64
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 64
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 64
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 64
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 64
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
48avg 64
H28/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-9
26-16
18-22
13-15
21-22
14-25
20-15
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
17-36
23-20
13-6
13-11
145.1Avg total
79.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.367.2141.5+7.167%
Season at home (13)75.266.8142.0+8.377%
Season away (11)73.367.6140.9+5.655%
Last 10 (10)79.265.9145.1+13.380%
Last 5 (5)76.066.8142.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.780.7144.3-17.00%
vs Similar (4)69.564.8134.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.565.6142.1+10.975%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Stadio ItalianoTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A28/07
LNB 2
72.2Avg total
36.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.833.467.2+0.454%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.933.270.1+3.854%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.664.7-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.472.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.838.772.5-4.930%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H28/07
LNB 2
73.3Avg total
40.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.534.270.7+2.345%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.969.0+5.353%-
Last 30 away (14)35.936.772.6-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.173.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.737.270.8-3.533%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.869.2+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.633.471.0+4.353%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.317.7
42.9%
44.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
28.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
63.6%11.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.7
50.2%
44.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
28.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.49.0
58.4%
63.6%9.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stadio Italiano
WLLWWWWWWL
Truenos De Talca
LWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+7.4
Net rating
+17.9
91.0
Offensive rating
103.0
83.5
Defensive rating
85.0
43.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
39.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.9%
3-point %
34.6%
65.2%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.0 · 103.0Defence83.5 · 85.0Shooting43.6% · 50.9%3-point %29.9% · 34.6%Ball care18.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Stadio Italiano   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stadio Italiano wins
3
Truenos De Talca wins
DateGameScore
28/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-58
16/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano78-62
20/04/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca78-75
03/12/21Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca68-62
23/10/21Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano69-67
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/24ATruenos De Talca73-66
27/07/24ATruenos De Talca58-66
16/07/24ATruenos De Talca62-78
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68
13/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain60-59
08/07/24ABrisas64-45
30/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-54
29/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe97-47
23/06/24HBoston C. C.76-72
15/06/24HAleman58-68
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/24HStadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
20/06/24AAleman68-77
15/06/24HSergio Ceppi90-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%73%54%
Points / game67.672.763.3
Allowed / game63.564.462.8
Point differential+4.1+8.4+0.5
Avg total131.1137.1126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %67%77%55%
Points / game74.375.273.3
Allowed / game67.266.867.6
Point differential+7.1+8.3+5.6
Avg total141.5142.0140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo24240100%82.263.8+18.5
2 Truenos De Talca2416867%74.367.2+7.1
3 Stadio Italiano2415962%67.663.5+4.1
4 Aleman2213959%74.471.6+2.8
5 Boston C. C.22121055%71.368.0+3.3
6 Sergio Ceppi24131154%72.872.7+0.1
7 Quilpue Basquetbol22101245%64.968.6-3.7
8 Municipal Chillan2291341%63.066.5-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2281436%68.973.9-5.0
10 Arabe Valparaiso2281436%66.072.3-6.3
11 Brisas2481633%68.270.1-1.8
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe242228%69.586.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stadio Italiano816191962
Truenos De Talca615151248
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