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Stadio Italiano vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 51-61
18-14 10-13 10-17 13-17
Position#4
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game62.9
Stadio Italiano
Chile
vs
Truenos De Talca 🏆
Chile
Position#2
Record16-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game67.0
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Semi-finals· Stadio Italiano
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca
04 Aug 2024
STAD51
TRUE61
03 Aug 2024
STAD62
TRUE48
19 Apr 2024
STAD78
TRUE75
03 Dec 2021
STAD68
TRUE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stadio Italiano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 60
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-47
97
47
+50
100avg 60
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
58avg 60
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
64-45
64
45
+19
63avg 60
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
52avg 60
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 60
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
46avg 60
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
46avg 60
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
71avg 60
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
62-48
62
48
+14
54avg 60
H03/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-17
23-18
13-13
28-17
20-15
18-6
31-9
22-12
9-16
16-8
10-18
21-9
16-11
12-13
15-12
20-16
10-17
19-7
11-19
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
17-21
14-23
17-19
14-15
12-18
18-14
20-17
8-17
36-17
20-23
6-13
11-13
8-6
16-15
19-15
19-12
129.1Avg total
68.8Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)67.462.9130.3+4.564%
Season at home (12)71.863.0134.8+8.875%
Season away (13)63.362.8126.1+0.554%
Last 10 (10)68.860.3129.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)66.865.2132.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.678.8142.4-15.233%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker (10)70.458.6129.0+11.880%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 63
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 63
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 63
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 63
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 63
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 63
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 63
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 63
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
48avg 63
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
48-62
48
62
-14
32avg 63
A03/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-22
14-25
20-15
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
17-36
23-20
13-6
13-11
6-8
15-16
15-19
12-19
140.9Avg total
75.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.267.0140.2+6.264%
Season at home (13)75.266.8142.0+8.377%
Season away (12)71.267.2138.3+4.050%
Last 10 (10)75.065.9140.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)68.866.8135.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.780.7144.3-17.00%
vs Similar (4)69.564.8134.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)74.965.4140.3+9.570%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
Stadio ItalianoTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H03/08
LNB 2
69.8Avg total
36.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.533.066.4+0.555%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.032.368.3+3.757%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.664.7-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.333.569.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.271.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.937.170.0-4.236%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A03/08
LNB 2
70.8Avg total
37.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.133.869.9+2.345%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.431.568.9+5.957%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.970.7-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.170.8+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.271.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.737.270.8-3.533%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.869.2+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.032.769.7+4.353%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.417.4
41.0%
44.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.3
32.9%
28.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.710.9
65.3%
63.6%10.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.9
47.7%
44.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
28.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.88.9
60.1%
63.6%8.9
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stadio Italiano
WWLLWWWWWW
Truenos De Talca
LLWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#2
+10.7
Net rating
+12.2
91.6
Offensive rating
99.3
80.9
Defensive rating
87.1
43.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.9%
3-point %
32.9%
64.4%
Assist %
53.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 99.3Defence80.9 · 87.1Shooting43.9% · 48.4%3-point %32.9% · 32.9%Ball care18.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Stadio Italiano   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stadio Italiano wins
3
Truenos De Talca wins
DateGameScore
03/08/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca62-48
28/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-58
16/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano78-62
20/04/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca78-75
03/12/21Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca68-62
23/10/21Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano69-67
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/24HTruenos De Talca62-48
28/07/24ATruenos De Talca73-66
27/07/24ATruenos De Talca58-66
16/07/24ATruenos De Talca62-78
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68
13/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain60-59
08/07/24ABrisas64-45
30/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-54
29/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe97-47
23/06/24HBoston C. C.76-72
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/24AStadio Italiano48-62
28/07/24HStadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
20/06/24AAleman68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%75%54%
Points / game67.471.863.3
Allowed / game62.963.062.8
Point differential+4.5+8.8+0.5
Avg total130.3134.8126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game73.275.271.2
Allowed / game67.066.867.2
Point differential+6.2+8.3+4.0
Avg total140.2142.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo25250100%81.963.2+18.6
2 Truenos De Talca2516964%73.267.0+6.2
3 Stadio Italiano2516964%67.462.9+4.5
4 Aleman2213959%74.471.6+2.8
5 Boston C. C.22121055%71.368.0+3.3
6 Sergio Ceppi25131252%71.972.7-0.8
7 Quilpue Basquetbol22101245%64.968.6-3.7
8 Municipal Chillan2291341%63.066.5-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2281436%68.973.9-5.0
10 Arabe Valparaiso2281436%66.072.3-6.3
11 Brisas2481633%68.270.1-1.8
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe242228%69.586.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stadio Italiano1810101351
Truenos De Talca1413171761
← all games of the day
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