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Sergio Ceppi vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 69-90
17-27 21-24 10-18 21-21
Position#17
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ChileLNB 2· Sergio Ceppi Gimnasio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Stadio Italiano
28 Mar 2025
SERG69
STAD90
08 Jun 2024
SERG68
STAD67
22 Apr 2023
SERG64
STAD71
30 Apr 2022
SERG78
STAD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
38avg 62
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
71avg 62
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
60-72
60
72
-12
49avg 62
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
78avg 62
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 62
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
67avg 62
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
48avg 62
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 62
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
45avg 62
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 62
H04/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
9-22
16-26
22-18
25-28
26-14
15-16
19-12
20-18
8-25
16-16
16-13
14-10
22-16
26-12
18-19
16-21
16-13
14-12
14-16
19-18
21-18
18-12
21-23
11-15
19-18
15-19
15-16
23-24
21-20
19-17
15-30
12-23
23-14
18-21
9-18
16-18
14-15
8-20
12-20
140.6Avg total
67.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.673.0140.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)65.875.8141.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.584.4153.9-14.917%
vs Similar (12)71.165.8136.9+5.275%
vs Weaker (6)80.075.3155.3+4.767%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 58
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
46avg 58
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
46avg 58
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
71avg 58
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
62-48
62
48
+14
54avg 58
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 58
H04/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 58
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
56avg 58
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
44avg 58
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
34avg 58
H24/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
17-21
14-23
17-19
14-15
12-18
18-14
20-17
8-17
36-17
20-23
6-13
11-13
8-6
16-15
19-15
19-12
18-14
10-13
10-17
13-17
12-14
16-19
22-13
20-18
18-19
20-21
16-22
16-15
14-17
11-26
15-18
16-15
14-26
23-20
14-28
6-17
133.3Avg total
63.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.869.5133.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)60.873.8134.6-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.972.9136.8-9.033%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.458.6129.0+11.880%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
Sergio CeppiStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/08
LNB 2
72.4Avg total
35.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.937.673.6-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.534.371.8+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.740.274.9-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.472.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.672.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.444.378.8-9.98%-
vs Similar (12)35.432.868.2+2.650%-
vs Weaker (6)40.033.873.8+6.2100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A28/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H03/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H04/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/08
LNB 2
70.3Avg total
33.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.966.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.032.367.3+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)32.233.465.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.337.070.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.869.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.036.569.5-3.533%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.317.3
40.0%
46.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.1
28.1%
27.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.510.8
58.4%
64.0%10.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.716.4
41.3%
46.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
27.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.99.8
65.8%
64.0%9.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sergio Ceppi
LLLLWLWLWL
Stadio Italiano
LLLWLWWLLW
#17
League position
#9
-6.8
Net rating
-8.1
82.2
Offensive rating
86.4
89.0
Defensive rating
94.5
40.7%
Effective FG%
42.3%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.1%
3-point %
29.3%
57.4%
Assist %
47.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 86.4Defence89.0 · 94.5Shooting40.7% · 42.3%3-point %28.1% · 29.3%Ball care20.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds26.5% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Sergio Ceppi   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sergio Ceppi wins
2
Stadio Italiano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24HColo Colo50-73
29/07/24AColo Colo62-76
28/07/24AColo Colo78-91
20/07/24AColo Colo60-68
14/07/24HArabe Valparaiso79-71
06/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-62
30/06/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-57
23/06/24ABrisas60-72
16/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe85-70
15/06/24ATruenos De Talca62-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/08/24HColo Colo57-91
19/08/24AColo Colo56-76
18/08/24AColo Colo70-77
11/08/24ATruenos De Talca70-64
04/08/24HTruenos De Talca51-61
03/08/24HTruenos De Talca62-48
28/07/24ATruenos De Talca73-66
27/07/24ATruenos De Talca58-66
16/07/24ATruenos De Talca62-78
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega110100%64.061.0+3.0
2 CD Huachipato1010%61.064.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi1721102169
Stadio Italiano2724182190
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