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Starogard Gdanski vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-103
18-33 26-18 11-30 22-22
Position#10
Record8-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record11-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.1
Poland1 LigaRound 17· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Bydgoszcz
10 May 2026
STAR70
BYDG72
09 May 2026
STAR103
BYDG82
11 Apr 2026
STAR74
BYDG78
29 Dec 2024
STAR77
BYDG103
16 Mar 2024
STAR82
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
74avg 84
H27/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 84
A03/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
82avg 84
H09/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 84
A13/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
81avg 84
H17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
57avg 84
A30/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
73avg 84
H04/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
75-77
75
77
-2
56avg 84
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
75avg 84
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
102-78
102
78
+24
98avg 84
H22/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
17-12
17-18
30-22
25-18
23-16
21-18
22-20
15-20
27-26
23-14
20-14
18-20
24-27
17-24
27-22
28-11
23-24
19-15
20-25
14-14
12-20
21-12
15-16
25-19
15-21
30-20
17-31
14-30
24-14
16-17
21-16
15-29
33-12
13-21
25-26
23-20
23-20
29-17
27-21
166.0Avg total
85.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.281.2165.4+3.050%
Season at home (9)85.978.2164.1+7.767%
Season away (7)82.085.0167.0-3.029%
Last 10 (10)85.980.1166.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)83.881.8165.6+2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.888.4165.2-11.60%
vs Similar (12)84.779.3164.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (13)95.884.8180.5+11.069%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
W
92-85
92
85
+7
85avg 75
A26/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
64avg 75
A03/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 75
H06/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 75
A13/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 75
H17/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
76avg 75
A01/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
87avg 75
H04/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
48avg 75
A07/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
91-98
91
98
-7
94avg 75
H14/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
58avg 75
A21/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
29-31
24-17
19-28
11-11
15-13
24-17
22-20
22-22
27-22
17-10
26-30
25-27
31-15
16-20
20-16
12-20
24-24
22-21
20-12
23-14
20-21
13-10
18-19
25-14
16-21
25-18
22-23
16-26
17-14
15-11
15-22
14-35
23-22
30-22
24-19
20-15
16-26
13-15
24-15
158.2Avg total
81.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.077.1158.1+3.969%
Season at home (6)84.281.2165.3+3.067%
Season away (10)79.174.6153.7+4.570%
Last 10 (10)81.576.7158.2+4.880%
Last 5 (5)77.876.4154.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.576.0144.5-7.525%
vs Similar (7)78.976.9155.7+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.575.7156.2+4.868%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Starogard GdanskiBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A03/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A30/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
1 Liga
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.686.1+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.382.9+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)44.445.389.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.879.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
vs Similar (12)41.239.680.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (13)48.542.290.7+6.269%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A26/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A03/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H06/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A01/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H14/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A21/12
1 Liga
80.8Avg total
40.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.537.977.4+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.338.479.8+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.537.872.2-3.20%-
vs Similar (7)41.638.079.6+3.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.338.479.7+2.968%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.2
52.0%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.8
36.2%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.3
73.3%
70.2%14.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.0
54.2%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.514.1
62.7%
70.2%14.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WLLLLWLWWW
Bydgoszcz
WLLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
+8.2
Net rating
+6.0
112.9
Offensive rating
109.6
104.6
Defensive rating
103.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.2%
3-point %
31.4%
52.0%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 109.6Defence104.6 · 103.6Shooting53.1% · 51.6%3-point %36.2% · 31.4%Ball care14.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Starogard Gdanski wins
1
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Starogard Gdanski v Bydgoszcz82-70
10/12/23Bydgoszcz v Starogard Gdanski73-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HR. Rzeszow102-78
14/12/24HLancut86-88
08/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II75-77
04/12/24HMKKS Koszalin87-91
30/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg69-75 OT
17/11/24HInowroclaw90-75
13/11/24AHydroTruck Radom86-93
09/11/24HWKK Wroclaw85-74
03/11/24APoli. Opolska91-72
27/10/24HPelplin88-78
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II73-71
14/12/24HMKKS Koszalin91-98
07/12/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg63-73
04/12/24HInowroclaw88-76
01/12/24AHydroTruck Radom74-64
17/11/24HWKK Wroclaw78-77
13/11/24APoli. Opolska92-78
06/11/24HPelplin92-84
03/11/24ALKS Lodz72-61
26/10/24APoznan92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%67%29%
Points / game84.285.982.0
Allowed / game81.278.285.0
Point differential+3.0+7.7-3.0
Avg total165.4164.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%29%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %69%67%70%
Points / game81.084.279.1
Allowed / game77.181.274.6
Point differential+3.9+3.0+4.5
Avg total158.1165.3153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno1612475%85.181.8+3.3
2 Bydgoszcz1611569%81.077.1+3.9
3 Inowroclaw1611569%84.282.5+1.7
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1711665%80.273.9+6.2
5 Poznan1710759%86.082.0+4.0
6 Pelplin1710759%84.982.9+2.1
7 Lancut179853%84.682.9+1.6
8 Starogard Gdanski168850%84.281.2+3.0
9 GKS Tychy168850%80.779.2+1.5
10 WKK Wroclaw168850%80.279.2+1.0
11 Polonia Warszawa178947%84.682.5+2.1
12 Poli. Opolska178947%81.782.0-0.3
13 LKS Lodz167944%85.286.9-1.6
14 MKKS Koszalin1771041%79.584.3-4.8
15 Slask Wroclaw II1661038%75.079.6-4.6
16 Trefl Sopot II1751229%83.186.6-3.5
17 HydroTruck Radom1751229%77.782.2-4.5
18 R. Rzeszow1751229%75.385.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski1826112277
Bydgoszcz33183022103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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