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Starogard Gdanski vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-78
15-24 19-15 21-18 19-21
Position#3
Record20-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#1
Record25-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.5
Poland1 LigaRound 32
Other2025-26
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Bydgoszcz
10 May 2026
STAR70
BYDG72
09 May 2026
STAR103
BYDG82
11 Apr 2026
STAR74
BYDG78
29 Dec 2024
STAR77
BYDG103
16 Mar 2024
STAR82
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Starogard Gdanski
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.3
81.4▼ 2.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.9
79.0▼ 0.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.5
19.0▼ 1.5
🔥 Form · Bydgoszcz
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.2
82.0▼ 6.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.9
78.0▲ 0.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
58%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.1
17.4▼ 2.7
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H31/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H14/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A22/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H04/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H14/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A20/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H25/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H29/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A08/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-13
14-22
22-28
15-14
26-22
26-15
30-21
15-27
31-23
19-29
21-20
14-14
24-21
11-20
21-24
27-15
23-22
20-19
26-24
20-21
23-14
21-32
16-16
8-13
17-21
19-16
13-24
28-16
14-25
27-24
24-19
16-15
25-23
20-12
18-22
23-20
34-19
22-17
19-26
164.5Avg total
83.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.379.9164.3+4.467%
Season at home (15)89.782.3172.1+7.480%
Season away (15)78.977.5156.5+1.453%
Last 10 (10)83.481.1164.5+2.350%
Last 5 (5)81.479.0160.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (10)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (19)86.378.3164.5+8.074%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H01/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
104-81
104
81
+23
H07/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A14/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H21/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A25/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A29/03
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H07/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
17-20
19-16
25-11
28-12
20-25
13-17
15-12
20-23
14-21
25-15
16-14
14-22
21-26
32-12
22-20
28-22
25-28
25-18
26-13
16-20
26-20
21-15
20-17
13-22
22-20
21-11
32-14
18-12
14-24
20-24
19-19
20-26
21-19
22-21
12-22
27-22
23-13
18-27
25-22
159.3Avg total
83.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.577.5165.9+11.083%
Season at home (15)91.578.5170.0+13.187%
Season away (15)85.476.5161.9+8.980%
Last 10 (10)83.475.9159.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.579.0153.5-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.577.4166.8+12.186%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
Starogard GdanskiBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H31/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H14/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A20/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A08/04
1 Liga
80.6Avg total
42.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.382.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.287.3+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.476.8+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.180.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.644.084.6-3.440%-
vs Weaker (19)42.938.481.3+4.568%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H01/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H07/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A25/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/04
1 Liga
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.081.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.940.685.5+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.578.1+3.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.542.575.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.538.882.3+4.761%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.8
52.7%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
31.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws27.518.7
68.0%
70.0%18.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
31.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.117.4
69.3%
70.0%17.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WWWLLWLLWL
Bydgoszcz
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+2.9
Net rating
+8.7
95.4
Offensive rating
96.5
92.6
Defensive rating
87.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.0%
3-point %
32.5%
70.6%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 96.5Defence92.6 · 87.9Shooting49.8% · 53.1%3-point %30.0% · 32.5%Ball care13.5% · 13.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
3
Bydgoszcz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26APoli. Opolska98-82
29/03/26HLKS Lodz79-72
25/03/26HPoznan93-84
20/03/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg57-74
14/03/26HSpojnia Stargard80-83
04/03/26HWKK Wroclaw96-80
22/02/26AInowroclaw70-79
14/02/26HPolonia Warszawa86-99
08/02/26ALeszno97-72
31/01/26HLancut78-86
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26HMiners Katowice93-84
29/03/26AR. Rzeszow75-88
25/03/26ALancut71-79
21/03/26HPoznan88-67
14/03/26AZubry Bialystok83-72
07/03/26HPelplin104-81
01/03/26HPoli. Opolska89-80
21/02/26ALKS Lodz75-73
15/02/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg76-66
08/02/26ASpojnia Stargard80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%80%53%
Points / game84.389.778.9
Allowed / game79.982.377.5
Point differential+4.4+7.4+1.4
Avg total164.3172.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %83%87%80%
Points / game88.591.585.4
Allowed / game77.578.576.5
Point differential+11.0+13.1+8.9
Avg total165.9170.0161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz3025583%88.577.5+11.0
2 Spojnia Stargard31211068%83.379.7+3.5
3 Starogard Gdanski30201067%84.379.9+4.4
4 Lancut30201067%86.086.5-0.4
5 GKS Tychy31201165%83.481.1+2.3
6 LKS Lodz30191163%85.979.6+6.3
7 Pelplin30181260%86.182.9+3.2
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg30151550%81.778.4+3.3
9 WKK Wroclaw31141745%80.781.6-0.8
10 Polonia Warszawa31141745%80.482.8-2.5
11 R. Rzeszow30121840%81.283.0-1.9
12 Leszno30121840%78.282.4-4.2
13 Poli. Opolska31121939%81.684.5-2.9
14 Inowroclaw31121939%79.582.7-3.2
15 Poznan30111937%80.282.5-2.3
16 Miners Katowice3182326%80.586.0-5.5
17 Zubry Bialystok3162519%77.787.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski1519211974
Bydgoszcz2415182178
← all games of the day
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